TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Lakers vs. Raptors: O/U 228.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$135,227
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$137,786

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $135,227 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x68dd…f0b2backed Over50c30,305$15,247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,058.8151350.1%257 W · 256 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd71a…9498backed Under50c23,807$11,895 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,895.3714549%71 W · 74 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b5e…83f8backed Under52c17,000$8,834 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,83411656.9%66 W · 50 L+10.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+17%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Over48c13,243$6,356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,886.1352460.1%315 W · 209 L+35.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+32.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa672…9eb1backed Over50c10,800$5,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,400580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+46.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5a95…000bbacked Under50c10,800$5,403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,402.5650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd5f2…88a6backed Under49c10,207$5,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,001.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over51c10,015$5,133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,882.491,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Over49c10,000$4,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,099.981,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d76…9168backed Over49c9,054$4,437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,617.683759.5%22 W · 15 L+5.1wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+26.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed Under51c8,570$4,402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,401.8447751.8%247 W · 230 L+1.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d17…9c89backed Under51c7,550$3,851 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,850.53333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x935b…6221backed Under51c7,351$3,749 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,749933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-34.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under49c6,544$3,214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,213.629,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Over51c5,365$2,736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,628.691,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Over49c5,000$2,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5501,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec13…862bbacked Under51c4,444$2,266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,266.4428850.3%145 W · 143 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x685e…6f30backed Over51c3,350$1,708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,641.510757.9%62 W · 45 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3c79…18eebacked Under49c3,277$1,606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,605.5920%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Under49c3,000$1,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,469.9966250.8%336 W · 326 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf6de…95e8backed Over50c2,508$1,254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,253.8223047%108 W · 122 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee86…e302backed Under49c2,490$1,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2201154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+11.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0610…8e4bbacked Over50c2,273$1,136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,136.33560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+27.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5de5…e9c6backed Under51c2,217$1,131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,130.58540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb62…abbdbacked Under52c2,055$1,069 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,069.152259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+16.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc1f7…c4e5backed Over48c2,000$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,04015656.4%88 W · 68 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7397…860cbacked Over48c2,000$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0402035%7 W · 13 L-2.9wins-0.15per pick50cpaid-32.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf7cd…0888backed Over48c2,000$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,04017744.1%78 W · 99 L-7.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-3.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x71ea…a8eebacked Over51c2,000$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9802356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb06d…7c03backed Under49c2,000$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9802070%14 W · 6 L+4.0wins+0.20per pick50cpaid+42.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over51c1,966$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$966.221,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1033…d851backed Over51c1,958$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$958.2127443.1%118 W · 156 L-0.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Under49c1,952$956 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$956.4892753.5%496 W · 431 L+20.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd8f6…15fbbacked Over52c1,769$920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$848.883030%9 W · 21 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-16.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9ae8…c2a8backed Over51c1,568$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$768.3224053.8%129 W · 111 L+12.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under48c1,421$682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$682.083,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Over48c1,374$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$714.621,15747.9%554 W · 603 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Under50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50045647.1%215 W · 241 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2c2…4de7backed Under50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50049142.6%209 W · 282 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5942…5641backed Under49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49025642.6%109 W · 147 L-9.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Under49c980.83$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.332,26543.4%982 W · 1,283 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Under2c786.98$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.881,39026%361 W · 1,029 L-5.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over31c782.25$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$542.583,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd54…b245backed Under48c766.64$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.9910235.3%36 W · 66 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Under68c588.24$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40040041.5%166 W · 234 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fc0…a988backed Under51c520$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.24250%21 W · 21 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Under49c500$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24572647.7%346 W · 380 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under32c401$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.618,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Over51c400$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1961,15153.7%618 W · 533 L-41.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4dc4…306fbacked Over50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15015844.3%70 W · 88 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under49c287.27$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.764,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Under46c260.19$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.692,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1015…c873backed Over50c246$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12362744.5%279 W · 348 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae53…d80bbacked Under73c220$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.640952.1%213 W · 196 L+16.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Under50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d53…061cbacked Over54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9211942.9%51 W · 68 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e46…0742backed Under50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10023948.5%116 W · 123 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6611…17e7backed Under52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1049048.9%44 W · 46 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x11ed…96c8backed Over48c178$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.56540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0eca…8d5ebacked Under52c165$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.8757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15a3…718ebacked Over49c150$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.511351.3%58 W · 55 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4556…2b35backed Over49c150$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.512952.7%68 W · 61 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked Under48c149.97$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.9937750.4%190 W · 187 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd55…c9bfbacked Over49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.042941.4%12 W · 17 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Over48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5295548.5%463 W · 492 L-3.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1351…bebcbacked Under49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4916552.7%87 W · 78 L+8.8wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+13%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Over49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5165855.6%366 W · 292 L+27.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Under51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Under49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe071…f836backed Over52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482560%15 W · 10 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+17.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7543…1852backed Under51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511450%7 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+21.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1696…c0d5backed Over52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xedcf…0446backed Under51c96$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.9620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa46d…59c4backed Over54c83.68$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.6112149.6%60 W · 61 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over52c80$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.645251.1%231 W · 221 L+1.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Under49c79.8$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.8295049.4%469 W · 481 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94d8…92ecbacked Under52c70.54$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.713154.8%17 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+17.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5961…56dbbacked Over49c70$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.737848.9%185 W · 193 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over52c67.31$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.3160346.4%280 W · 323 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Over48c59.1$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.7322945.9%105 W · 124 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x255e…2827backed Under51c55.27$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.19633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick57cpaid-42.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x206c…06b3backed Over50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa916…4f30backed Over51c49.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.0215841.1%65 W · 93 L-12.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-19.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x01a7…8400backed Over52c47.92$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53df…fac3backed Under49c47$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.031060%6 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+16.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x54c1…812fbacked Over50c46$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+33.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e4e…dc93backed Under52c44.33$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.055248.1%25 W · 27 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d18…4972backed Under50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2016339.3%64 W · 99 L-10.2wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xad87…f9a1backed Over50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2035052%182 W · 168 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb966…cac6backed Over50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2025351%129 W · 124 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd586…87cfbacked Under50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2011544.3%51 W · 64 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe947…2cf3backed Over51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.2284957.6%489 W · 360 L-52.1wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-9.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x86b0…9b74backed Under51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+27.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed Over48c38.52$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.0352643%226 W · 300 L-19.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xea3a…8297backed Over52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.462661.5%16 W · 10 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+19.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe56a…9ef1backed Over52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.464963.3%31 W · 18 L+4.7wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+18.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5c5c…3d3abacked Over52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.461050%5 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2aac…049fbacked Under49c38.43$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.83933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-39.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc4f…5c00backed Over52c37.41$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.989051.1%46 W · 44 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x571c…0bb5backed Over54c37.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.047058.6%41 W · 29 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.