NBA · resolved market
Spread: Raptors (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdd7d01b098e0cc46ba45400e73ac7d4f7f43807b87a73ee9c0abba539a6b55ac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lakersof Raptors, Lakers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $321,431
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $324,802
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $321,431 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x82a1…e03abacked Lakers | 51c | 243,425$125,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118,425.3 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Raptors | 49c | 215,511$104,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104,600.93 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Raptors | 50c | 37,614$18,694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,693.54 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd71a…9498backed Lakers | 50c | 11,452$5,726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,725.75 | 145 | 49%71 W · 74 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Lakers | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,900 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x501c…c181backed Raptors | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Lakers | 49c | 6,247$3,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,185.74 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bfe…0736backed Lakers | 50c | 6,187$3,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,093.25 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4335…fc2fbacked Lakers | 50c | 5,600$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,800 | 173 | 54.3%94 W · 79 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed Raptors | 51c | 5,269$2,687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,686.95 | 293 | 51.5%151 W · 142 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Raptors | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Lakers | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…31dfbacked Raptors | 51c | 3,922$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…f5b6backed Raptors | 52c | 3,846$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Raptors | 50c | 3,320$1,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,659.91 | 363 | 51.2%186 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Lakers | 51c | 3,078$1,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,508.43 | 131 | 53.4%70 W · 61 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Lakers | 50c | 3,040$1,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,522 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8567…514cbacked Raptors | 50c | 2,598$1,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,299 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Lakers | 51c | 2,330$1,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,145 | 517 | 53.8%278 W · 239 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2e5…eec3backed Raptors | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92db…4fabbacked Lakers | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Raptors | 50c | 1,800$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Raptors | 50c | 1,662$831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$831 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Raptors | 49c | 1,583$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$773.95 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed Lakers | 51c | 1,569$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.63 | 152 | 44.1%67 W · 85 L | -14.4wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Raptors | 51c | 1,471$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 653 | 39.5%258 W · 395 L | -24.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Raptors | 49c | 1,463$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.08 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Raptors | 48c | 1,145$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.6 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Lakers | 49c | 1,040$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.13 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Raptors | 48c | 1,005$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.4 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Raptors | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 228 | 45.2%103 W · 125 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Lakers | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.39 | 462 | 58.2%269 W · 193 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Raptors | 49c | 600$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Lakers | 50c | 590$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.95 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Raptors | 48c | 547.74$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.92 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x419b…6ea1backed Raptors | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Raptors | 49c | 339$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.29 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0a…0809backed Raptors | 51c | 311.49$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.86 | 75 | 37.3%28 W · 47 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Raptors | 51c | 306.98$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 623 | 47.5%296 W · 327 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Raptors | 48c | 256$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.88 | 801 | 48.3%387 W · 414 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6881…525dbacked Raptors | 51c | 217.25$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.8 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Raptors | 50c | 210.5$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.25 | 511 | 46.6%238 W · 273 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Raptors | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…e9b4backed Lakers | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 253 | 47%119 W · 134 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Lakers | 50c | 187.9$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.95 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a9…b9e9backed Lakers | 50c | 180$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Lakers | 50c | 136$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 175 | 54.9%96 W · 79 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc26…d732backed Raptors | 50c | 108$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21b2…b602backed Lakers | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8044…358ebacked Raptors | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 549 | 51.9%285 W · 264 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Raptors | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 446 | 54.3%242 W · 204 L | +21.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…3017backed Raptors | 49c | 99.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Raptors | 49c | 99.12$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.31 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf2d…1100backed Raptors | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Raptors | 49c | 94.12$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.12 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…79f9backed Lakers | 77c | 83.65$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.65 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2195…16f9backed Raptors | 49c | 78.43$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.43 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cdb…f383backed Lakers | 51c | 71.82$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.19 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Raptors | 50c | 70$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.77 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Raptors | 27c | 69.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.58 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfed0…0585backed Lakers | 72c | 63.89$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.89 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…1121backed Lakers | 51c | 62.78$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.78 | 909 | 57.6%524 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5d…4c40backed Lakers | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9549…b936backed Lakers | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 244 | 52.5%128 W · 116 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b8…68a5backed Raptors | 52c | 58$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4139…20c9backed Lakers | 50c | 56$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Lakers | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 388 | 45.6%177 W · 211 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb317…1893backed Lakers | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8aaf…c132backed Lakers | 51c | 47.29$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.17 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x075a…8d34backed Lakers | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 128 | 58.6%75 W · 53 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb3…c801backed Lakers | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d60…50dbbacked Raptors | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6156…6ad5backed Lakers | 51c | 39.23$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.23 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f6e…6a74backed Lakers | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 216 | 51.4%111 W · 105 L | -12.5wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee35…11ecbacked Lakers | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7181…1b0abacked Lakers | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 249 | 55%137 W · 112 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…97dfbacked Raptors | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 162 | 53.1%86 W · 76 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacd8…b9f6backed Lakers | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5256…24a5backed Lakers | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb966…cac6backed Lakers | 55c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 253 | 51%129 W · 124 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3559…f7edbacked Lakers | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7ce…2e0cbacked Lakers | 51c | 25.49$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c21…bd2fbacked Lakers | 50c | 24.68$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.34 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -60%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa916…4f30backed Raptors | 51c | 24.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 158 | 41.1%65 W · 93 L | -12.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0e…4049backed Lakers | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 242 | 53.3%129 W · 113 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf782…6849backed Raptors | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 137 | 50.4%69 W · 68 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Raptors (-2.5)this page
- Lakers vs. RaptorsLakers won
- Lakers vs. Raptors: 1H MoneylineLakers won
- Lakers vs. Raptors: 1H O/U 116.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Raptors: 1H O/U 118.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Raptors: O/U 227.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Raptors: O/U 228.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Raptors: O/U 229.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Raptors: O/U 230.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Raptors: O/U 231.5Over won
- Spread: Lakers (-1.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Raptors (-1.5)Lakers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.