TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9cd5…ed17

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
34
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: NBA, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 55 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT1618.8%3 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.15per pick33cpaid-69.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.96
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Jordan vs. Algeria end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$23.53
Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$184Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$108
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Curaçao O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Will Brazil vs. Haiti end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$75.44
All 16 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-67%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick11cpaid+86.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick65cpaid-48.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texas Longhorns vs. BYU Cougarsbacked BYU Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14,000
South Florida Bulls vs. Louisville Cardinalsbacked Louisville Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$35,000
SMU Mustangs vs. Miami (OH) RedHawksbacked SMU Mustangs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$14,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14,800
All 3 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Cavaliers (-7.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25,444Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+127.3%+$32,383.27
Lakers vs. Raptorsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$17,597Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+127.3%+$22,396.64
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 8, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Wolves vs. Manchester United end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+44.9%+$15.49
Wolves vs. Manchester United: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$50
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 9, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sabres vs. Flames: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$9,200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+117.4%+$10,800
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$426Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$426
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Villarreal vs. Getafe: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20,651Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$20,651.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 9, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sam Altman say "Car" or "Tesla" on The Tonight Show on December 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,494Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$1,493.62
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.