NHL · resolved market
Sabres vs. Flames: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1fa29860afc702d6d29f71ae1ae36d564dbf6ba9396040bb9cddda16d79bf6b4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $81,322
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $80,959
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,322 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Over | 46c | 52,287$24,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,282.45 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…5a3fbacked Under | 54c | 23,580$12,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,733.2 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd5…ed17backed Over | 46c | 20,000$9,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,800 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 53c | 7,905$4,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,217.93 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef92…9df5backed Under | 55c | 5,000$2,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,733.62 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d34…b76fbacked Under | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43fd…99a7backed Under | 54c | 4,444$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,399.7 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Under | 54c | 3,500$1,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,890 | 221 | 50.2%111 W · 110 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27df…e67cbacked Over | 48c | 2,021$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050.83 | 141 | 48.9%69 W · 72 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Over | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.83 | 309 | 46.3%143 W · 166 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Under | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…208bbacked Under | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 85 | 41.2%35 W · 50 L | -7.1wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 46c | 884$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.36 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 53c | 825.69$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.62 | 484 | 52.3%253 W · 231 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Over | 47c | 800$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Under | 55c | 719$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.18 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bd…f540backed Under | 54c | 661.37$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.14 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xacbe…85d4backed Under | 54c | 620.37$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335 | 201 | 47.3%95 W · 106 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 53c | 564$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.92 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 52c | 443.99$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.88 | 495 | 46.5%230 W · 265 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Under | 54c | 439.98$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.59 | 695 | 50.1%348 W · 347 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 318 | 48.1%153 W · 165 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53b9…292abacked Under | 54c | 398.15$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 53c | 260.42$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.02 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44f2…1415backed Over | 47c | 199.99$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.99 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Under | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 304 | 47.4%144 W · 160 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…8ab1backed Under | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 63cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe025…102fbacked Under | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 127 | 56.7%72 W · 55 L | +11.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Under | 54c | 150$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 346 | 53.2%184 W · 162 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8a…b155backed Under | 54c | 138.89$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 97 | 58.8%57 W · 40 L | +10.3wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d56…0ba5backed Over | 46c | 130$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.2 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 53c | 124$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.21 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f9f…c934backed Over | 47c | 109.84$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.65 | 214 | 54.2%116 W · 98 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd3…8254backed Over | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.11 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked Over | 46c | 76.09$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.09 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x591a…aec2backed Over | 46c | 75$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 136 | 44.9%61 W · 75 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…5c00backed Under | 54c | 74.52$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.24 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x65eb…5918backed Under | 55c | 73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Under | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 53c | 69.45$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.81 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 54c | 66.02$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.65 | 1,028 | 53.2%547 W · 481 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 201 | 45.8%92 W · 109 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05ba…2aecbacked Over | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5960…d692backed Over | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 457 | 56.2%257 W · 200 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf767…328dbacked Over | 47c | 49.3$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…9ef9backed Over | 47c | 48.76$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.79 | 490 | 53.7%263 W · 227 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd64…c090backed Under | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41f6…bc0dbacked Over | 51c | 39.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.45 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +4.8wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbb30…6ffbbacked Over | 46c | 39$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.06 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -57%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…3c72backed Under | 54c | 38.67$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.88 | 310 | 47.4%147 W · 163 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9134…ee18backed Over | 46c | 34$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 49c | 33.85$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.62 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7e8…c457backed Over | 47c | 33.17$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.58 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa1bd…4f40backed Over | 47c | 33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.48 | 165 | 52.7%87 W · 78 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0f…09debacked Under | 54c | 31.11$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.78 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f6…a31cbacked Over | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 109 | 55%60 W · 49 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa63d…f4e8backed Over | 47c | 22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.66 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sabres vs. Flames: O/U 6.5this page
- Sabres vs. FlamesFlames won
- Sabres vs. Flames: O/U 5.5Over won
- Spread: Flames (-1.5)Flames won
- Spread: Sabres (-1.5)Flames won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.