NHL · resolved market
Sabres vs. Flames
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xafebc05b0af9b67a455f45272b6db8c58b03f77703cd98400bcff34f39c3cc2f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Flamesof Sabres, Flames
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $347,482
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $359,150
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $347,482 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 331 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xef54…d1eebacked Flames | 50c | 84,469$41,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,473.39 | 177 | 49.2%87 W · 90 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Sabres | 50c | 80,084$40,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,042 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b4…a278backed Flames | 50c | 79,890$39,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,945 | 103 | 49.5%51 W · 52 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Sabres | 50c | 60,000$30,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,000 | 166 | 56.6%94 W · 72 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9165…5b98backed Sabres | 51c | 46,814$23,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,874.91 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f21…3d6ebacked Sabres | 1c | 17,777$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.77 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Flames | 49c | 14,210$6,963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,247.1 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Flames | 55c | 8,419$4,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,759.64 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…0772backed Sabres | 50c | 5,898$2,949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,949.15 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Sabres | 16c | 5,318$829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829.46 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Flames | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Sabres | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,350 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb603…754bbacked Flames | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Flames | 62c | 4,230$2,623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,607.36 | 629 | 51.2%322 W · 307 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe7…2f3cbacked Sabres | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…60bebacked Sabres | 1c | 3,748$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.48 | 132 | 41.7%55 W · 77 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +70.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Sabres | 49c | 3,333$1,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,633.12 | 225 | 46.2%104 W · 121 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55fb…a3acbacked Sabres | 18c | 3,324$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.46 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Flames | 50c | 3,031$1,516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,515.5 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked Sabres | 50c | 2,714$1,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,357.01 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Flames | 49c | 2,500$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,274.95 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Sabres | 50c | 2,035$1,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,014.15 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…d80abacked Sabres | 50c | 2,010$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Sabres | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Flames | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…92a7backed Flames | 50c | 1,963$982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$981.5 | 275 | 48.7%134 W · 141 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Sabres | 28c | 1,869$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.34 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Sabres | 50c | 1,718$859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$858.88 | 540 | 47.6%257 W · 283 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Sabres | 49c | 1,501$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735.59 | 695 | 50.1%348 W · 347 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Flames | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d7…da62backed Flames | 50c | 1,366$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.19 | 188 | 40.4%76 W · 112 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Flames | 50c | 1,333$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.5 | 311 | 48.2%150 W · 161 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…80aebacked Sabres | 18c | 1,120$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.06 | 327 | 44%144 W · 183 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Flames | 66c | 1,080$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.88 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Flames | 49c | 1,054$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.91 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50cc…a534backed Flames | 51c | 1,020$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.61 | 102 | 50%51 W · 51 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Sabres | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Flames | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Sabres | 49c | 990.19$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.19 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Sabres | 22c | 988.34$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.33 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa32b…d02ebacked Flames | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.39 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf819…d410backed Flames | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.39 | 209 | 51.7%108 W · 101 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8163…1ce8backed Sabres | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe5b…7d6ebacked Sabres | 50c | 970$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…1b96backed Flames | 50c | 896$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448 | 200 | 47.5%95 W · 105 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Sabres | 2c | 850$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 145 | 8.3%12 W · 133 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | +135.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Flames | 49c | 815$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.65 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22e9…1682backed Sabres | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8525…bdbabacked Sabres | 15c | 764.97$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.61 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Sabres | 49c | 755.7$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.29 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd227…ce88backed Flames | 50c | 700$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -60%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Sabres | 14c | 678$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.18 | 437 | 42.3%185 W · 252 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x961d…953dbacked Flames | 50c | 660$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d3d…543cbacked Sabres | 51c | 650$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.5 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Flames | 56c | 635$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.1 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05a1…6b32backed Sabres | 51c | 630$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.3 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfc9…0b56backed Flames | 50c | 620$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb9…4734backed Sabres | 17c | 603$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.19 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6723…a540backed Sabres | 51c | 602$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.02 | 98 | 50%49 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc9…fa88backed Sabres | 25c | 589.77$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.77 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Flames | 50c | 527$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.5 | 1,079 | 54.3%586 W · 493 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Flames | 53c | 524$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.28 | 588 | 41.8%246 W · 342 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93b1…2c4ebacked Flames | 59c | 512.5$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.5 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +4.4wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed Flames | 49c | 505$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.55 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd74c…deb7backed Sabres | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.31per pick | 52cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Flames | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc007…1639backed Flames | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d29…6da9backed Flames | 70c | 490.09$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.23 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 67cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Sabres | 23c | 485$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.03 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Flames | 75c | 474.16$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.24 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Sabres | 49c | 448.96$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.99 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b0…c319backed Flames | 51c | 428$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6675…e36ebacked Flames | 51c | 425$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b8…d77cbacked Sabres | 51c | 424$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x026e…dcc8backed Sabres | 50c | 423$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b2a…92a1backed Flames | 50c | 423$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Sabres | 23c | 421.47$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.96 | 601 | 41.9%252 W · 349 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a0…bcbfbacked Flames | 51c | 420$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb24…56a2backed Sabres | 51c | 420$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f73…094dbacked Sabres | 50c | 420$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7aaf…cebdbacked Flames | 50c | 420$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ab…1e2dbacked Flames | 50c | 419$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40dc…563dbacked Sabres | 50c | 417.96$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.98 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb53…8395backed Flames | 51c | 417.65$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.65 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f0b…5063backed Sabres | 50c | 416$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec26…e6b7backed Sabres | 50c | 415$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Flames | 49c | 410$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.1 | 470 | 51.5%242 W · 228 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Sabres | 9c | 407.61$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.97 | 544 | 18%98 W · 446 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5998…4304backed Flames | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c7…2b48backed Flames | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…ddaabacked Flames | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 206 | 43.2%89 W · 117 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc89d…5909backed Flames | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3de…f2ffbacked Flames | 50c | 399$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00cf…d102backed Sabres | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 492 | 49.6%244 W · 248 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Flames | 52c | 387.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.14 | 784 | 43.8%343 W · 441 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Sabres | 50c | 361.92$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.96 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc479…e938backed Sabres | 9c | 359.52$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 117 | 13.7%16 W · 101 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Sabres | 44c | 355.09$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.86 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38ce…999fbacked Sabres | 12c | 348$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.76 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a03…2ca1backed Sabres | 50c | 334.04$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.02 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sabres vs. Flamesthis page
- Sabres vs. Flames: O/U 5.5Over won
- Sabres vs. Flames: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Flames (-1.5)Flames won
- Spread: Sabres (-1.5)Flames won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.