TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Wolves vs. Manchester United: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$89,005
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$99,635

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $89,005 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 168 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x37e4…c991backed Under43c14,168$6,092 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,092.3924846.8%116 W · 132 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d7d…ec26backed Over57c10,148$5,785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,363.794447.7%21 W · 23 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7087…c61fbacked Under43c8,000$3,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,439.9810148.5%49 W · 52 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Over56c7,500$4,235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,26513852.2%72 W · 66 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x011c…31dfbacked Under44c6,818$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0002360.9%14 W · 9 L+2.7wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+24.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under21c4,294$906 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905.841,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3db3…932fbacked Under45c3,362$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,500887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.29per pick58cpaid+47.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over58c2,822$1,632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,189.186,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed Under45c2,700$1,208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,207.9412642.9%54 W · 72 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over57c2,434$1,399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,034.731,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under41c2,199$911 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$911.2939156%219 W · 172 L+12.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over57c2,105$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$904.971,00646.6%469 W · 537 L-20.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa39a…1246backed Over55c2,001$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$901.275754.4%31 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbcdb…461abacked Over53c1,869$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$869.32450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Over56c1,600$896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$703.935560%33 W · 22 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+18.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Over57c1,586$896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$689.492,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Under41c1,502$616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$615.9960728%170 W · 437 L+2.7wins0.00per pick28cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6ee…697bbacked Over57c1,305$744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5616046.7%28 W · 32 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2c3…0e32backed Under40c1,257$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-20.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8955…b51dbacked Under44c1,109$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x27df…e67cbacked Over59c880.5$519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.51973.7%14 W · 5 L+4.1wins+0.22per pick52cpaid+42.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed Over52c828.9$431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.0419652%102 W · 94 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d16…85f3backed Under44c818.18$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3603221.9%7 W · 25 L-5.7wins-0.18per pick40cpaid-53.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6723…a540backed Over58c789.95$454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.466269.4%43 W · 19 L+5.4wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+16%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb0e6…84a8backed Over56c700$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3088851.1%45 W · 43 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under26c563.23$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.134,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under42c543.9$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.159254.3%50 W · 42 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under47c504$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.882,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7253…89edbacked Under34c500$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1701040%4 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x54a8…c43bbacked Under41c487.8$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.19per pick62cpaid-37.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Under41c484.64$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.735941.5%149 W · 210 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f56…f93cbacked Over59c464.23$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.041163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.16per pick48cpaid+23.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x43de…d169backed Over59c458.85$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.131952.6%10 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa7b7…0adbbacked Over56c443.52$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.1510956%61 W · 48 L+10.2wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+28.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xcc5a…613dbacked Under44c443.18$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x775e…6541backed Over47c425.53$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.535625%14 W · 42 L-9.4wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-50.4%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xf6fd…1128backed Over57c407.95$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.42955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+42.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x96ec…fcc4backed Over59c400$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1646642.4%28 W · 38 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed Over57c394.06$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.8240150.1%201 W · 200 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Over58c387.43$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.551,22440%490 W · 734 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over56c357$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.0836956.9%210 W · 159 L+20.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over57c350$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.545751.2%234 W · 223 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ee7…0ba8backed Over58c344.91$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.916743.3%29 W · 38 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-18%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfe78…db98backed Over47c334$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.027737.7%29 W · 48 L-4.3wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x75ef…cb71backed Over56c330.36$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.364656.5%26 W · 20 L+4.0wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+15.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Over60c326$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.423926.4%63 W · 176 L-10.5wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9fc9…fa88backed Under54c315$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.13663.9%23 W · 13 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+21.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x250e…b699backed Over56c300$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2af…e3bcbacked Over57c300$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1292100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+89.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8393…253cbacked Over57c290.53$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.934850%24 W · 24 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3df8…3ee8backed Under44c272.73$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+30.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9cd5…ed17backed Under19c263.16$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b47…25d3backed Over60c258$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.2837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick43cpaid+1.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Under42c239.12$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003243.8%14 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb04…3ce1backed Under45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016160.9%98 W · 63 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Over58c213.79$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.7949544.2%219 W · 276 L-20.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x06be…8a46backed Over59c200$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$824831.3%15 W · 33 L-6.4wins-0.13per pick45cpaid-42%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe300…8a97backed Under44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$881457.1%8 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+35%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8cf2…5803backed Under43c184.99$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+32.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe562…4fa9backed Over57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.4418841.5%78 W · 110 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82e3…2151backed Over58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.412556%14 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick60cpaid+3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0cb6…b350backed Over60c167.52$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.011457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83b8…d1fbbacked Over50c150$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$751040%4 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Under41c146$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.8659958.9%353 W · 246 L+26.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8816…7082backed Over59c143.07$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.6614252.8%75 W · 67 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over56c142$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.4883459.4%495 W · 339 L+25.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f7a…db40backed Under58c140$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.23542.9%15 W · 20 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x091e…3432backed Under49c135.41$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.351275%9 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+32.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x02ba…2652backed Under44c133.42$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.78650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x934f…5bd8backed Over61c130.79$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.784358.1%25 W · 18 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1683…e4abbacked Under45c117.78$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$537745.5%35 W · 42 L-6.5wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-16.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0d0a…0809backed Under46c108.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506838.2%26 W · 42 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Over56c107$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.0865557.7%378 W · 277 L+26.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1941…c47fbacked Over56c107$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.0829657.8%171 W · 125 L+16.6wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+14.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over56c107$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.0860557.5%348 W · 257 L+25.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under44c102$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.720239.6%80 W · 122 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over66c100$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3413841.3%57 W · 81 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4b2…4ab2backed Under43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.59645.8%44 W · 52 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x72a2…e265backed Over59c100$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412268.2%15 W · 7 L+3.6wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+36.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1dcd…29eabacked Over51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0cb…85babacked Over57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433461.8%21 W · 13 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+23.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb583…3428backed Over57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434355.8%24 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ccd…5330backed Under42c98.34$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.0916552.7%87 W · 78 L+0.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Over56c89$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.1637958%220 W · 159 L+24.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9ddc…f21cbacked Over59c84.63$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.76747.8%32 W · 35 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d30…2645backed Under41c83$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.034949%24 W · 25 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under36c75$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2761441.2%253 W · 361 L-27.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-19.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x51f6…368cbacked Under42c73.9$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.042142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Over59c72.33$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.7258445.9%268 W · 316 L-8.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+8.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over56c71$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.2435056.9%199 W · 151 L+20.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Over56c71$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.2425553.7%137 W · 118 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c2d…2570backed Over56c71$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.2427758.8%163 W · 114 L+17.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Over56c71$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.2456158.6%329 W · 232 L+29.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb95e…c6d6backed Over56c71$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.2425560%153 W · 102 L+18.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1170…8398backed Over57c70.18$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.182653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Under40c70$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2842048.6%204 W · 216 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa383…a2f0backed Over56c69.16$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.2322040.5%89 W · 131 L-9.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-30.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde77…8cd3backed Over60c66.67$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.674245.2%19 W · 23 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x98cd…9417backed Under43c65$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.661573.3%11 W · 4 L+3.2wins+0.21per pick52cpaid+45.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa89e…4ab4backed Over57c64.99$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.9512060%72 W · 48 L+6.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.