Premier League · resolved market
Wolves vs. Manchester United: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x802db700f40d823147741b79c7d4aba0f3f0ca462444b9ef12770bfd1ff78cf1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,621
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,449
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,621 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 41c | 2,097$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.98 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 55c | 2,012$1,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$908.8 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77a3…0e3fbacked Yes | 59c | 1,698$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.71 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed No | 45c | 1,530$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.57 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked No | 44c | 1,001$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.51 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27df…e67cbacked Yes | 58c | 902.5$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.5 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +4.1wins | +0.22per pick | 52cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x02c1…2e70backed No | 45c | 555.56$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Yes | 55c | 532.79$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.75 | 211 | 54.5%115 W · 96 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9d…e6c3backed No | 45c | 439.64$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.84 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a33…28e8backed Yes | 56c | 412.64$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.56 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 45cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Yes | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 78 | 69.2%54 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee7…0ba8backed Yes | 60c | 334.43$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.43 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked No | 52c | 330$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.6 | 137 | 60.6%83 W · 54 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 44c | 257$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.93 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…71e4backed No | 44c | 236$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.84 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41ce…6509backed No | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Yes | 57c | 206.75$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.74 | 401 | 50.1%201 W · 200 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a58…c236backed Yes | 54c | 200$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.5 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 47c | 193.26$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.13 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebf0…7c7ebacked Yes | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5172…31e6backed No | 54c | 172.11$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 55c | 169.74$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.35 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7615…d605backed Yes | 46c | 140$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed No | 39c | 134.43$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.43 | 130 | 54.6%71 W · 59 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb32e…a46abacked Yes | 55c | 127$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.15 | 78 | 38.5%30 W · 48 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed No | 41c | 126.58$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.98 | 373 | 42.6%159 W · 214 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e05…01cdbacked No | 45c | 113.13$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.91 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed No | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x265b…74dfbacked No | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28c8…aaccbacked Yes | 57c | 105.26$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.26 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…ecf3backed No | 44c | 101$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.44 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa024…4929backed No | 44c | 90$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +3.7wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6966…409bbacked Yes | 56c | 88$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.72 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…aeb8backed Yes | 56c | 84$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.96 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…f4d0backed Yes | 56c | 73.21$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.21 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa383…a2f0backed No | 44c | 70.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.01 | 220 | 40.5%89 W · 131 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefe7…0cdfbacked No | 44c | 65.91$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3a…9bdbbacked Yes | 56c | 64$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.16 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa23f…a64ebacked Yes | 56c | 63.48$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.93 | 139 | 54%75 W · 64 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f37…1edcbacked Yes | 57c | 61.4$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0157…d8dcbacked Yes | 57c | 61.09$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.27 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2897…0004backed Yes | 57c | 59.65$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.65 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…6563backed No | 44c | 59$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.96 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef41…2473backed Yes | 56c | 57.14$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.14 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe36e…ad3abacked No | 45c | 56.18$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.28 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa305…73c9backed Yes | 56c | 56$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.64 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd3…8254backed No | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b7…c02cbacked Yes | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Yes | 55c | 42.44$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.1 | 577 | 44.4%256 W · 321 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc049…48abbacked Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 89 | 25.8%23 W · 66 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1c…0dd0backed Yes | 56c | 38$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.72 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +3.6wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x52bd…1a8abacked No | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -7.4wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa50f…f999backed No | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4669…785ebacked No | 44c | 36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe333…cf5fbacked Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4cdb…ae41backed Yes | 56c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe70a…6a5cbacked No | 44c | 33.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb14…0da7backed Yes | 57c | 33.33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.33 | 69 | 33.3%23 W · 46 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d49…c438backed Yes | 56c | 33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.52 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc9…801ebacked Yes | 56c | 32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…cc70backed No | 44c | 29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Yes | 57c | 28.07$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.07 | 127 | 48.8%62 W · 65 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x426a…128bbacked Yes | 57c | 27.44$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.91 | 139 | 41%57 W · 82 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d67…cf38backed Yes | 56c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95c4…a93bbacked Yes | 56c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b5…6a22backed No | 45c | 23.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ccd…5330backed No | 45c | 23.49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 165 | 52.7%87 W · 78 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48a9…0d53backed Yes | 56c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe900…7937backed Yes | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7399…fe96backed Yes | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ff…dd8bbacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1cb…485abacked Yes | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…7d27backed Yes | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67de…1d9bbacked Yes | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed Yes | 56c | 18.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.19 | 217 | 47.9%104 W · 113 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wolves vs. Manchester United: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Spread: Manchester United (-1.5)Manchester United won
- Wolves vs. Manchester United: O/U 1.5Over won
- Wolves vs. Manchester United: O/U 2.5Over won
- Wolves vs. Manchester United: O/U 3.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.