NBA · resolved market
Bulls vs. Magic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x87b5a75e424684a10d262b4251d00c108bb6650b43655918d6d0cfefd346d686
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Magicof Bulls, Magic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,198,383
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,236,212
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,198,383 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 720 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4259…936fbacked Bulls | 26c | 250,000$64,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64,075.77 | 83 | 33.7%28 W · 55 L | -7.6wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Magic | 74c | 147,336$109,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,755.73 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Bulls | 24c | 56,587$13,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,830.24 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94d7…bef5backed Bulls | 33c | 55,020$18,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,238.93 | 259 | 25.9%67 W · 192 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Magic | 68c | 52,503$35,876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,626.99 | 382 | 48.7%186 W · 196 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Magic | 67c | 44,495$29,839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,655.19 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Magic | 75c | 34,000$25,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,500 | 340 | 62.1%211 W · 129 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Magic | 78c | 25,130$19,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,531.28 | 375 | 57.6%216 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Bulls | 24c | 24,663$5,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,849.7 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Magic | 77c | 24,102$18,559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,543.56 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Magic | 72c | 23,773$17,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,690.22 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x818b…ccc8backed Bulls | 56c | 21,386$12,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,079.74 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Magic | 77c | 20,000$15,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,600 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Bulls | 23c | 19,999$4,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,599.84 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…bc51backed Magic | 54c | 18,453$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,453.05 | 219 | 44.7%98 W · 121 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Magic | 65c | 17,732$11,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,198.12 | 260 | 38.1%99 W · 161 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb90c…9a6abacked Bulls | 36c | 14,879$5,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,342.62 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff12…09f9backed Magic | 80c | 14,337$11,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,900.26 | 193 | 88.1%170 W · 23 L | +48.6wins | +0.25per pick | 63cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 75+0.22 edge/pick |
| 0xa117…a311backed Magic | 76c | 13,000$9,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,119.98 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdac…f7e2backed Bulls | 30c | 12,527$3,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,780.31 | 191 | 36.1%69 W · 122 L | -15.3wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Magic | 50c | 12,000$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,000 | 108 | 37%40 W · 68 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe653…c4a7backed Magic | 73c | 10,021$7,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,680.27 | 224 | 57.1%128 W · 96 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8049…8f36backed Bulls | 24c | 10,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f16…0246backed Magic | 52c | 9,997$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,796.63 | 386 | 49.5%191 W · 195 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Magic | 71c | 9,429$6,724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,704.45 | 444 | 59.7%265 W · 179 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Magic | 77c | 9,011$6,938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,072.43 | 724 | 50.7%367 W · 357 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdeaf…dbaabacked Bulls | 20c | 8,000$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 379 | 30.6%116 W · 263 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Bulls | 23c | 7,754$1,783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,783.46 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Bulls | 22c | 7,336$1,614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,613.92 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9615…60ddbacked Magic | 77c | 7,332$5,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,689.67 | 148 | 53.4%79 W · 69 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Magic | 51c | 7,148$3,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,496.58 | 310 | 44.8%139 W · 171 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Bulls | 23c | 7,033$1,627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,627.46 | 446 | 48%214 W · 232 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe916…4563backed Bulls | 24c | 6,608$1,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,586 | 88 | 46.6%41 W · 47 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdddc…ced2backed Bulls | 23c | 6,432$1,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,479.26 | 125 | 41.6%52 W · 73 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Bulls | 17c | 6,207$1,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,032.13 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…4c8cbacked Bulls | 22c | 5,950$1,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,309 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Magic | 58c | 5,948$3,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,520.64 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd54…b245backed Bulls | 22c | 5,555$1,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,222.1 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Bulls | 34c | 5,413$1,823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,822.64 | 667 | 44.5%297 W · 370 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed Bulls | 43c | 5,000$2,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,149.99 | 430 | 51.4%221 W · 209 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Magic | 56c | 4,695$2,627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,067.58 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Magic | 53c | 4,673$2,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,206.74 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe756…e006backed Bulls | 25c | 4,640$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160 | 328 | 27.4%90 W · 238 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ae…7b92backed Bulls | 22c | 4,500$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 181 | 42%76 W · 105 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa83b…0e4abacked Bulls | 67c | 4,478$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Magic | 58c | 4,196$2,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,763.74 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0af1…abc0backed Bulls | 23c | 4,174$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa72e…3db9backed Bulls | 39c | 4,084$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 142 | 43%61 W · 81 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed Bulls | 51c | 4,067$2,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,073.98 | 123 | 34.1%42 W · 81 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25cc…9297backed Magic | 71c | 4,000$2,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,159.99 | 169 | 42%71 W · 98 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a60…3170backed Magic | 76c | 3,724$2,821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$903.63 | 126 | 46%58 W · 68 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Magic | 58c | 3,695$2,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,534.66 | 736 | 49.9%367 W · 369 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8245…4f87backed Bulls | 63c | 3,633$2,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,288.55 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Magic | 62c | 3,534$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,334.63 | 446 | 54.3%242 W · 204 L | +21.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Bulls | 24c | 3,514$843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843.35 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35fe…95f7backed Bulls | 23c | 3,261$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Bulls | 17c | 3,186$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.31 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa9…a36dbacked Bulls | 47c | 3,175$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 240 | 38.3%92 W · 148 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb322…2179backed Bulls | 29c | 3,172$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x194f…3d95backed Bulls | 23c | 3,000$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23ed…f088backed Bulls | 24c | 3,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -49%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f3…f6bebacked Magic | 77c | 3,000$2,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +83.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba41…5f4fbacked Bulls | 23c | 3,000$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 314 | 45.2%142 W · 172 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8980…d4f4backed Magic | 77c | 3,000$2,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690 | 219 | 51.1%112 W · 107 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8166…6770backed Magic | 78c | 3,000$2,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94e5…6cfebacked Bulls | 27c | 3,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Magic | 71c | 3,000$2,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed Magic | 47c | 3,000$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600 | 228 | 46.1%105 W · 123 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…80aebacked Bulls | 12c | 2,995$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.91 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Bulls | 23c | 2,931$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.45 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Magic | 77c | 2,912$2,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.51 | 477 | 51.8%247 W · 230 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Bulls | 22c | 2,500$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc6…c936backed Bulls | 41c | 2,439$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 155 | 47.1%73 W · 82 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Magic | 59c | 2,409$1,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$998.17 | 439 | 58.8%258 W · 181 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27c5…6d61backed Bulls | 21c | 2,381$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf65d…e573backed Bulls | 40c | 2,325$922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$921.61 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Magic | 73c | 2,254$1,638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.85 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Bulls | 1c | 2,241$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.41 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa3…bce6backed Bulls | 23c | 2,174$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2785…2dddbacked Bulls | 24c | 2,169$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.26 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +3.4wins | +0.20per pick | 33cpaid | +70%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Magic | 56c | 2,150$1,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1013…87d5backed Magic | 50c | 2,101$1,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056.34 | 88 | 63.6%56 W · 32 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…60bebacked Bulls | 28c | 2,062$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.32 | 250 | 16.8%42 W · 208 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Magic | 75c | 2,037$1,528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.34 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x306a…0d29backed Magic | 77c | 2,021$1,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Magic | 79c | 2,000$1,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.03 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Magic | 78c | 1,949$1,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.78 | 949 | 51.3%487 W · 462 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…a645backed Magic | 60c | 1,922$1,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770.97 | 215 | 48.4%104 W · 111 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Bulls | 1c | 1,895$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.95 | 645 | 17.1%110 W · 535 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Magic | 51c | 1,790$913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$877.1 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…6793backed Bulls | 40c | 1,731$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 174 | 41.4%72 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee7…0ba8backed Bulls | 24c | 1,685$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Bulls | 39c | 1,664$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.9 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1e…d5dfbacked Magic | 72c | 1,583$1,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.28 | 171 | 53.8%92 W · 79 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c22…8f64backed Bulls | 53c | 1,577$836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$836.34 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2800…4dd0backed Magic | 53c | 1,505$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.64 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Bulls | 24c | 1,500$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0306…dcf6backed Magic | 48c | 1,470$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.81 | 98 | 39.8%39 W · 59 L | -12.3wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Bulls | 38c | 1,452$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.57 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Magic | 70c | 1,400$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 589 | 51.3%302 W · 287 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bulls vs. Magicthis page
- Bulls vs. Magic: O/U 238.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Magic: O/U 239.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Magic: O/U 240.5Over won
- Spread: Magic (-7.5)Bulls won
- Spread: Magic (-8.5)Bulls won
- Spread: Magic (-9.5)Bulls won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.