Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Yakutou Brothers (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4ab8a9010cb1cb30af91ca85235cae75fb5ba5803343e089e72d169d34ebb9d6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Natus Vincereof Natus Vincere, Yakutou Brothers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $296,525
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $363,278
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $296,525 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 279 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yakutou Brothers | 43c | 13,563$5,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,799.23 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06eb…1a5fbacked Natus Vincere | 77c | 12,340$9,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,877.24 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 66cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Yakutou Brothers | 31c | 9,725$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Natus Vincere | 47c | 9,218$4,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,913.04 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3df8…a696backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 9,000$4,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,462.42 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…bc51backed Yakutou Brothers | 64c | 8,493$5,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,473 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -4.0wins | -0.28per pick | 50cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed Yakutou Brothers | 47c | 7,763$3,651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,650.64 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8979…9428backed Yakutou Brothers | 0c | 6,256$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 86 | 61.6%53 W · 33 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yakutou Brothers | 40c | 6,255$2,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,499.21 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc0c…cfc9backed Natus Vincere | 58c | 5,763$3,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,415.93 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.17per pick | 35cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Natus Vincere | 45c | 5,758$2,572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,185.99 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf1…c324backed Yakutou Brothers | 30c | 5,052$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…5695backed Natus Vincere | 64c | 4,424$2,812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,612.54 | 190 | 47.9%91 W · 99 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1568…c958backed Natus Vincere | 46c | 4,038$1,841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,197.27 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Natus Vincere | 75c | 4,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Natus Vincere | 41c | 3,507$1,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,086.06 | 628 | 41.1%258 W · 370 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fbe…7d07backed Natus Vincere | 57c | 3,449$1,969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,479.97 | 254 | 44.5%113 W · 141 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Natus Vincere | 62c | 3,246$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,246.04 | 115 | 57.4%66 W · 49 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…1e5bbacked Yakutou Brothers | 34c | 3,230$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110.45 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked Yakutou Brothers | 24c | 3,228$771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770.93 | 218 | 47.2%103 W · 115 L | +16.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd36b…d4d4backed Natus Vincere | 76c | 3,038$2,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$732.64 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Yakutou Brothers | 48c | 3,000$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,449.99 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Natus Vincere | 58c | 2,488$1,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,038.95 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…995abacked Yakutou Brothers | 16c | 2,267$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3db3…932fbacked Yakutou Brothers | 49c | 2,044$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 161 | 49.7%80 W · 81 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70d1…507cbacked Yakutou Brothers | 1c | 2,006$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Natus Vincere | 38c | 1,951$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,211.1 | 364 | 42.3%154 W · 210 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb30…302abacked Natus Vincere | 71c | 1,945$1,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.79 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd17d…d0eebacked Natus Vincere | 58c | 1,803$1,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$757.54 | 192 | 46.4%89 W · 103 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yakutou Brothers | 30c | 1,525$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.21 | 399 | 36.8%147 W · 252 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3103…d804backed Yakutou Brothers | 58c | 1,523$877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$876.87 | 86 | 27.9%24 W · 62 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd23d…f322backed Yakutou Brothers | 45c | 1,499$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.17 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Yakutou Brothers | 53c | 1,496$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked Yakutou Brothers | 24c | 1,437$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.96 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0caf…91adbacked Natus Vincere | 59c | 1,429$844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.01 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -9.7wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x34cd…9675backed Yakutou Brothers | 15c | 1,400$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaab5…aab4backed Natus Vincere | 75c | 1,331$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.58 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Natus Vincere | 47c | 1,315$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.25 | 123 | 51.2%63 W · 60 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4cd…e2abbacked Yakutou Brothers | 11c | 1,292$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.31 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb61…8e04backed Natus Vincere | 52c | 1,268$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.48 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb84b…95b1backed Yakutou Brothers | 1c | 1,266$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.09 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 9cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb10…8062backed Yakutou Brothers | 40c | 1,244$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.96 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…affbbacked Yakutou Brothers | 75c | 1,239$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930.36 | 255 | 47.8%122 W · 133 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb75e…1737backed Natus Vincere | 48c | 1,231$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.85 | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ab…ff0cbacked Natus Vincere | 72c | 1,187$852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.05 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa72e…3db9backed Yakutou Brothers | 52c | 1,160$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.64 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a4e…3309backed Yakutou Brothers | 35c | 1,143$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9571…1d98backed Natus Vincere | 65c | 1,119$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.56 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a22…c3b5backed Yakutou Brothers | 36c | 1,113$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -4.0wins | -0.17per pick | 30cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff2…49febacked Natus Vincere | 69c | 1,082$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.15 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yakutou Brothers | 22c | 1,080$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.03 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Natus Vincere | 65c | 1,069$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.19 | 166 | 65.7%109 W · 57 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x806f…7b97backed Yakutou Brothers | 70c | 1,006$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed Yakutou Brothers | 72c | 1,005$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.29 | 450 | 61.6%277 W · 173 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed Natus Vincere | 64c | 1,000$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.5 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Yakutou Brothers | 40c | 999.99$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.85 | 592 | 50.5%299 W · 293 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc50c…fe5dbacked Yakutou Brothers | 41c | 970.03$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb116…940abacked Natus Vincere | 51c | 962.29$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.7 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ad7…f012backed Natus Vincere | 78c | 925.64$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.64 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51ec…a7b9backed Yakutou Brothers | 6c | 920$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.66 | 94 | 23.4%22 W · 72 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Natus Vincere | 72c | 917.59$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.57 | 234 | 65%152 W · 82 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaff5…57a8backed Yakutou Brothers | 35c | 854.89$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…3a09backed Yakutou Brothers | 48c | 834.98$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.22 | 149 | 48.3%72 W · 77 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…1124backed Yakutou Brothers | 39c | 796.9$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.27 | 171 | 46.8%80 W · 91 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7104…afefbacked Yakutou Brothers | 55c | 765.96$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Yakutou Brothers | 40c | 756.19$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 197 | 43.1%85 W · 112 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x031d…db9dbacked Natus Vincere | 59c | 748.96$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.96 | 156 | 53.2%83 W · 73 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Yakutou Brothers | 44c | 726.07$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.93 | 341 | 46.6%159 W · 182 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58bc…1fdbbacked Yakutou Brothers | 6c | 724.33$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.73 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +3.9wins | +0.20per pick | 11cpaid | +140.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Natus Vincere | 77c | 712.59$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.63 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1448…9b9cbacked Natus Vincere | 79c | 712.46$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.46 | 132 | 62.9%83 W · 49 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc76…f087backed Yakutou Brothers | 48c | 690.4$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.31 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5571…4015backed Yakutou Brothers | 53c | 685.49$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.52 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +50%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed Natus Vincere | 78c | 684.62$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.62 | 476 | 60.7%289 W · 187 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ffc…8967backed Yakutou Brothers | 26c | 676.14$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.67 | 220 | 33.6%74 W · 146 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Natus Vincere | 53c | 671.73$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.61 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…964dbacked Yakutou Brothers | 4c | 660$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 62 | 6.5%4 W · 58 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed Yakutou Brothers | 38c | 638.51$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.26 | 400 | 14.8%59 W · 341 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe08e…1d61backed Natus Vincere | 80c | 626.12$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.12 | 46 | 78.3%36 W · 10 L | +6.1wins | +0.13per pick | 65cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x469f…3d4fbacked Natus Vincere | 16c | 606.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.44 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf060…b07abacked Yakutou Brothers | 28c | 573.22$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.33 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa825…2ef0backed Yakutou Brothers | 31c | 546$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.44 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Yakutou Brothers | 41c | 531.18$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.75 | 145 | 37.2%54 W · 91 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1e…d5dfbacked Yakutou Brothers | 48c | 502.02$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 126 | 54.8%69 W · 57 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Yakutou Brothers | 32c | 500$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.95 | 130 | 27.7%36 W · 94 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf6de…95e8backed Natus Vincere | 65c | 500$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96ec…fcc4backed Natus Vincere | 76c | 500$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.65 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccb…0a10backed Yakutou Brothers | 34c | 497.85$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2da2…8c2bbacked Natus Vincere | 71c | 490.83$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.83 | 109 | 66.1%72 W · 37 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1351…bebcbacked Natus Vincere | 56c | 475.82$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.08 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51c7…98aabacked Yakutou Brothers | 21c | 472.7$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 291 | 60.1%175 W · 116 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b6…1765backed Natus Vincere | 61c | 461.77$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.33 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61e4…3030backed Natus Vincere | 61c | 449.99$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.5 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7acb…8c1dbacked Yakutou Brothers | 37c | 432.45$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.57 | 96 | 61.5%59 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa280…e6f0backed Yakutou Brothers | 35c | 413.47$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0039…046ebacked Natus Vincere | 73c | 411.52$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.52 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb26c…46ddbacked Natus Vincere | 64c | 406.7$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.45 | 82 | 39%32 W · 50 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x730e…fca0backed Yakutou Brothers | 7c | 402.59$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.66 | 205 | 35.1%72 W · 133 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa157…8641backed Yakutou Brothers | 25c | 401$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 61 | 31.1%19 W · 42 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed Yakutou Brothers | 31c | 400$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 191 | 47.6%91 W · 100 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Yakutou Brothers (BO3)this page
- Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Yakutou Brothers - Game 1 WinnerYakutou Brothers won
- Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Yakutou Brothers - Game 2 WinnerNatus Vincere won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.