TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Army Black Knights vs. UMBC Retrievers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Army Black Knightsof Army Black Knights, UMBC Retrievers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$56,227
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$61,690

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,227 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1e3a…4033backed UMBC Retrievers60c8,400$5,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,039.9911662.1%72 W · 44 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed UMBC Retrievers75c3,452$2,602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,602.112,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Army Black Knights39c3,000$1,165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,83549746.5%231 W · 266 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked Army Black Knights40c1,917$767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,150.41631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-31.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Army Black Knights40c1,913$765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,147.9755657.4%319 W · 237 L+20.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked UMBC Retrievers62c1,600$996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$995.527955.2%154 W · 125 L+22.0wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+22.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfb61…8e04backed Army Black Knights52c1,500$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$720475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+15.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24db…1332backed Army Black Knights25c1,427$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,076.9413219.7%26 W · 106 L-8.0wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-32.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Army Black Knights37c1,271$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$795.782,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Army Black Knights51c1,256$646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$610.493,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Army Black Knights72c1,254$903 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.681,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Army Black Knights42c1,245$524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$721.381,17325.2%296 W · 877 L-43.0wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-21.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfa5c…be69backed Army Black Knights25c1,199$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$895.6516135.4%57 W · 104 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed UMBC Retrievers51c1,129$573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$573.115,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x65cd…1e0bbacked UMBC Retrievers70c1,124$792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$792.361040%4 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-27.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaa57…a128backed UMBC Retrievers49c1,000$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.186162.3%38 W · 23 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2c2…4de7backed Army Black Knights25c999.99$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754.994829.2%14 W · 34 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Army Black Knights28c883$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$635.761,39144.1%613 W · 778 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b10…acabbacked UMBC Retrievers58c862$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.063855.3%21 W · 17 L+5.3wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+41.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb4bf…eab4backed UMBC Retrievers59c810$478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.651631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.14per pick45cpaid-52.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xea81…eeaebacked Army Black Knights27c797.05$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$581.61,22727.8%341 W · 886 L-0.9wins0.00per pick28cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed UMBC Retrievers24c779.07$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.282,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c0f…66a1backed UMBC Retrievers51c646.29$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.241030%3 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-23.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed UMBC Retrievers45c620.35$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.8945644.5%203 W · 253 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed UMBC Retrievers3c600$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.5140%0 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked UMBC Retrievers45c530$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.231,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Army Black Knights46c522.64$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.882,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Army Black Knights24c521.62$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.042,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked UMBC Retrievers17c518.63$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.731,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9ed…617ebacked Army Black Knights48c503.52$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.831952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked UMBC Retrievers72c422.42$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.3512,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd397…5052backed Army Black Knights64c420.31$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.3110757.9%62 W · 45 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Army Black Knights37c412.5$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.54,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked UMBC Retrievers62c376.01$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.541,48743%639 W · 848 L+50.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ff2…49febacked Army Black Knights25c365.36$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.276428.1%18 W · 46 L-5.4wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-29%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5834…f0cbbacked Army Black Knights45c333.33$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.335942.4%25 W · 34 L-7.3wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-29.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked UMBC Retrievers43c316.08$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.061,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x62f4…4588backed UMBC Retrievers67c299.99$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20110%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked UMBC Retrievers41c279$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.5333438.9%130 W · 204 L-16.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-23.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed UMBC Retrievers75c272$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.2234947.9%167 W · 182 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Army Black Knights23c249.6$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.1940147.6%191 W · 210 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5571…4015backed Army Black Knights46c218.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.57540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick34cpaid-25.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde7d…499ebacked Army Black Knights42c200$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1164122%9 W · 32 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-31.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d4c…2e02backed Army Black Knights60c167.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.931861.1%11 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick65cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa072…9e34backed UMBC Retrievers45c149.99$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.978342.2%35 W · 48 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+22%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed UMBC Retrievers63c138$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.941,07447%505 W · 569 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dd9…b1b1backed Army Black Knights45c133.33$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.332630.8%8 W · 18 L-3.4wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-37.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf37c…3c74backed Army Black Knights53c125.72$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.0921830.7%67 W · 151 L-10.6wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6bf2…24d7backed UMBC Retrievers33c123.06$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.633429.4%10 W · 24 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-27.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc11d…421bbacked UMBC Retrievers35c112.25$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.133956.4%22 W · 17 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e3d…ed5dbacked UMBC Retrievers52c106.45$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.8310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7f0…fae5backed Army Black Knights72c102.5$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed UMBC Retrievers51c101.68$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.0710037%37 W · 63 L-8.6wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-30.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8cf9…1abfbacked UMBC Retrievers74c99$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.264358.1%25 W · 18 L+3.4wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+17.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc54f…dce8backed Army Black Knights40c95$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5764322.9%147 W · 496 L-17.1wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-27.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8fba…5dc5backed UMBC Retrievers53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+35.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed UMBC Retrievers67c93.47$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.719871.4%70 W · 28 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick67cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e95…2bb7backed Army Black Knights38c92$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.921346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fc9…fa88backed Army Black Knights40c84.96$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.923046.7%14 W · 16 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ac…5613backed UMBC Retrievers57c81.92$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a05…0329backed UMBC Retrievers54c77.4$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.642630.8%8 W · 18 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-33.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed UMBC Retrievers35c72.84$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.1373549.1%361 W · 374 L-14.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e49…bd4bbacked UMBC Retrievers45c71.39$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.932240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x65fd…5dd3backed Army Black Knights57c70.18$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.182040%8 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-27.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x28a2…91a4backed UMBC Retrievers76c59$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.848756.3%49 W · 38 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed UMBC Retrievers66c56$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.9639144.5%174 W · 217 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc3cd…04f6backed Army Black Knights25c52$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394942.9%21 W · 28 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf442…ccf8backed Army Black Knights45c50.29$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.661353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Army Black Knights77c50$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.611,42043.9%623 W · 797 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d75…8b3abacked Army Black Knights48c47.92$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.923100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+82.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9698…de01backed UMBC Retrievers73c45.37$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333438.2%13 W · 21 L-6.6wins-0.19per pick58cpaid-34.8%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xdf93…bdc8backed Army Black Knights45c44.44$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.446767.2%45 W · 22 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x320f…b4a3backed UMBC Retrievers76c44$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.445851.7%30 W · 28 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f78…d7c1backed Army Black Knights25c43$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.252030%6 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick35cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8627…c8c3backed UMBC Retrievers70c41.5$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.051346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x83ee…82d6backed Army Black Knights30c41.5$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.05560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid+25.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc89d…5909backed UMBC Retrievers75c38.32$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.742839.3%11 W · 17 L-3.3wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-30.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x40d2…312fbacked UMBC Retrievers72c37.75$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.1812254.1%66 W · 56 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd164…f17bbacked UMBC Retrievers80c37.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303740.5%15 W · 22 L-6.0wins-0.16per pick57cpaid-31%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3cf3…50d9backed Army Black Knights40c35.56$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.344042.5%17 W · 23 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+6.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb849…64abbacked Army Black Knights30c34.54$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.181540%6 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-18.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x61b9…f46abacked UMBC Retrievers70c34.54$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.182268.2%15 W · 7 L+2.3wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+28.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x887e…7fb4backed UMBC Retrievers74c34.19$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.4210%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a80…cbf7backed Army Black Knights52c32$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.361764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.3wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+20.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b0e…7e25backed UMBC Retrievers46c30.79$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1920%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeba2…91cabacked Army Black Knights44c29.99$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.68250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed8d…a20dbacked UMBC Retrievers72c27.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+16.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d92…5f8ebacked UMBC Retrievers73c27.4$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20560%3 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick74cpaid-19.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xae69…0c24backed Army Black Knights52c27$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.962560%15 W · 10 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+15.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4b28…02dbbacked UMBC Retrievers77c25.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203577.1%27 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick71cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeeed…896bbacked Army Black Knights47c25.77$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.771100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+114.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ae6…5933backed UMBC Retrievers76c24.38$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.53250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid+13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec25…dec6backed UMBC Retrievers71c24.03$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173467.6%23 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick69cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4374…289dbacked UMBC Retrievers75c21.91$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4310%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd24b…c64cbacked UMBC Retrievers75c19.44$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5810%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdce4…6326backed UMBC Retrievers57c18$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.263557.1%20 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.