College Football · resolved market
Michigan vs. Northwestern
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa7d0b371cc1c4c6e13f38d6c0f1b36563f877e95fb1f27d7003b428df84684f5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Michiganof Michigan, Northwestern
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $913,921
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,047,103
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $913,921 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 199 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Northwestern | 19c | 48,599$9,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,233.76 | 659 | 45.2%298 W · 361 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x006c…16eabacked Northwestern | 19c | 40,000$7,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,600 | 68 | 32.4%22 W · 46 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Northwestern | 21c | 30,730$6,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,425.34 | 204 | 50.5%103 W · 101 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked Northwestern | 19c | 26,250$4,988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,987.5 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Northwestern | 26c | 25,667$6,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,620.19 | 262 | 44.3%116 W · 146 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Northwestern | 19c | 25,336$4,859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,858.97 | 524 | 49.4%259 W · 265 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Northwestern | 20c | 21,000$4,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,100 | 526 | 41.8%220 W · 306 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…5029backed Northwestern | 22c | 19,920$4,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,382.36 | 327 | 45.6%149 W · 178 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Michigan | 65c | 17,673$11,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,205.95 | 198 | 42.9%85 W · 113 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Northwestern | 20c | 17,336$3,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,550.97 | 174 | 43.7%76 W · 98 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Michigan | 68c | 17,166$11,589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,576.59 | 405 | 41.2%167 W · 238 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Northwestern | 19c | 15,911$2,948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,947.68 | 588 | 50.2%295 W · 293 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Northwestern | 19c | 15,555$2,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,955.45 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa925…e1c8backed Northwestern | 40c | 15,216$6,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,083.35 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.25per pick | 48cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Michigan | 67c | 14,565$9,699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,866.4 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…cdaabacked Northwestern | 20c | 14,000$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 157 | 45.2%71 W · 86 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Michigan | 64c | 13,907$8,918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,989.02 | 237 | 51.1%121 W · 116 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked Northwestern | 20c | 13,829$2,766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,765.88 | 83 | 31.3%26 W · 57 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Michigan | 71c | 12,932$9,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,798.28 | 139 | 33.1%46 W · 93 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -45%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Northwestern | 19c | 11,695$2,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,222 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x817f…9802backed Michigan | 79c | 11,150$8,809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,341.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4940…0de1backed Northwestern | 21c | 11,150$2,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,341.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Northwestern | 20c | 10,456$2,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,042.6 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Northwestern | 20c | 10,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Northwestern | 20c | 7,622$1,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,524.24 | 292 | 49%143 W · 149 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed7…e617backed Michigan | 79c | 6,243$4,932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,311.04 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Michigan | 77c | 6,233$4,807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,426.04 | 215 | 38.6%83 W · 132 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Northwestern | 38c | 5,950$2,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,239.87 | 309 | 49.5%153 W · 156 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Michigan | 72c | 5,242$3,784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,457.78 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50ec…c1f5backed Michigan | 78c | 5,203$4,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,152.48 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Northwestern | 21c | 4,640$973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$972.98 | 385 | 46%177 W · 208 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Northwestern | 22c | 3,749$829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828.52 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d6d…1ba1backed Northwestern | 15c | 3,333$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Northwestern | 15c | 3,265$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.37 | 267 | 50.9%136 W · 131 L | +21.7wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Northwestern | 20c | 3,250$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -12.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Northwestern | 20c | 2,706$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.93 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e6…1dc2backed Michigan | 79c | 2,524$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.1 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 65cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Northwestern | 19c | 2,400$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466 | 256 | 29.3%75 W · 181 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74bc…98c9backed Michigan | 76c | 2,296$1,753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.2 | 105 | 55.2%58 W · 47 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Northwestern | 32c | 1,988$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.06 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Michigan | 78c | 1,896$1,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.11 | 494 | 43.7%216 W · 278 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed Northwestern | 21c | 1,800$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.98 | 345 | 29.9%103 W · 242 L | -21.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x96e1…50aabacked Michigan | 72c | 1,797$1,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.51 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7d…423fbacked Michigan | 74c | 1,683$1,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.74 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked Northwestern | 20c | 1,200$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 471 | 31.4%148 W · 323 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c0…be99backed Northwestern | 22c | 1,140$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.8 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef8…8712backed Northwestern | 43c | 1,093$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Northwestern | 19c | 1,000$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 134 | 17.2%23 W · 111 L | -8.3wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafd0…56c1backed Northwestern | 21c | 1,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfcf…96aebacked Michigan | 79c | 1,000$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3597…bb13backed Northwestern | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Michigan | 78c | 974.22$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.33 | 107 | 42.1%45 W · 62 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Northwestern | 20c | 948$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.6 | 216 | 44.9%97 W · 119 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Northwestern | 7c | 857$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.99 | 86 | 29.1%25 W · 61 L | +15.2wins | +0.18per pick | 11cpaid | +361.6%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Michigan | 79c | 806$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.32 | 108 | 51.9%56 W · 52 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed Michigan | 66c | 728.03$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.71 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9769…7cd7backed Michigan | 51c | 682.37$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.58 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5be…46cebacked Northwestern | 16c | 666$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.56 | 33 | 3%1 W · 32 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 13cpaid | -81.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Michigan | 67c | 654$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.87 | 205 | 53.7%110 W · 95 L | +14.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x00b5…b3cabacked Michigan | 80c | 600$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 36 | 80.6%29 W · 7 L | +5.3wins | +0.15per pick | 66cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Michigan | 71c | 541.01$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.38 | 571 | 44.7%255 W · 316 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x057c…1296backed Michigan | 77c | 525.16$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.31 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Northwestern | 5c | 525$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.28 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a90…8218backed Michigan | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…a1d5backed Northwestern | 21c | 500$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ebb…017abacked Northwestern | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63ea…e0fbbacked Northwestern | 46c | 456.53$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.98 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1802…d00fbacked Northwestern | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafa5…7507backed Northwestern | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…a807backed Northwestern | 5c | 450$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23e5…d41fbacked Northwestern | 18c | 436.98$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.66 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Michigan | 63c | 414$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.19 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5916…8d4fbacked Michigan | 69c | 402.41$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.01 | 61 | 63.9%39 W · 22 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a43…2fcebacked Northwestern | 45c | 401.57$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.51 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcda0…6d11backed Michigan | 48c | 393.9$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.78 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85e2…0980backed Michigan | 77c | 389.61$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.61 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dfe…9ff6backed Michigan | 80c | 375$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Michigan | 73c | 370.69$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.6 | 402 | 44.8%180 W · 222 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff9…bb89backed Michigan | 78c | 350$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.5 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7df…c123backed Michigan | 80c | 343.75$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5441…da3bbacked Michigan | 77c | 342.09$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.68 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Michigan | 71c | 340.59$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.83 | 269 | 39.8%107 W · 162 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00d6…aa44backed Northwestern | 17c | 327.22$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.63 | 127 | 18.9%24 W · 103 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…9965backed Northwestern | 12c | 315$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Michigan | 79c | 311$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.31 | 207 | 57.5%119 W · 88 L | +13.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…5d9ebacked Michigan | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…570cbacked Northwestern | 10c | 301.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Northwestern | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 132 | 42.4%56 W · 76 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Northwestern | 19c | 300$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.13 | 216 | 29.2%63 W · 153 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0074…2be0backed Northwestern | 41c | 285.75$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.67 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88f4…874abacked Northwestern | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x504f…3ddcbacked Michigan | 54c | 277.78$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.78 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae00…f7b0backed Michigan | 78c | 277.23$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.55 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Northwestern | 19c | 265$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.35 | 568 | 44.5%253 W · 315 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7de0…7c66backed Northwestern | 11c | 265$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.75 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Michigan | 77c | 258.89$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.89 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbae0…5cd6backed Northwestern | 20c | 249.4$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.88 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc557…6496backed Northwestern | 38c | 228.22$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.78 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8bd…463dbacked Michigan | 80c | 211.49$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.08 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00c1…6939backed Northwestern | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.23per pick | 38cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Michigan vs. Northwesternthis page
- Michigan vs. Northwestern: O/U 41.5Over won
- O/U 40.5Over won
- Spread: Michigan (-10.5)Northwestern won
- Spread: Michigan (-11.5)Northwestern won
- Spread: Michigan (-9.5)Northwestern won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.