NBA · resolved market
Nuggets vs. Kings
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa9e2a4e0afe064fc76aa327b394fc9730027ef4611aa2a621aae9017279d6aad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nuggetsof Nuggets, Kings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,741,757
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,830,243
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,741,757 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Kings | 19c | 130,768$24,846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,846 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0da…1f3cbacked Kings | 0c | 84,987$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 14cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Kings | 20c | 67,575$13,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,275.25 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Nuggets | 80c | 50,000$40,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,000 | 382 | 48.7%186 W · 196 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Kings | 0c | 41,564$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.69 | 645 | 17.1%110 W · 535 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf963…0637backed Nuggets | 79c | 39,306$31,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,171.59 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Nuggets | 80c | 32,665$26,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,537.15 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Kings | 20c | 31,764$6,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,347.35 | 367 | 41.4%152 W · 215 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Kings | 20c | 31,158$6,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,231.67 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Kings | 0c | 31,140$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.2 | 721 | 1%7 W · 714 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a22…c3b5backed Kings | 10c | 29,038$2,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,920 | 161 | 30.4%49 W · 112 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb433…7705backed Kings | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 25cpaid | +25%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27cb…169ebacked Kings | 20c | 18,257$3,604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,603.63 | 274 | 24.5%67 W · 207 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Kings | 5c | 16,911$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795.25 | 266 | 37.2%99 W · 167 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Kings | 3c | 16,146$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.7 | 279 | 17.9%50 W · 229 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b73…7421backed Kings | 16c | 13,216$2,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,111.07 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Kings | 2c | 13,076$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.82 | 866 | 41.5%359 W · 507 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90f6…48f3backed Nuggets | 80c | 12,338$9,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,467.5 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdac…f7e2backed Kings | 7c | 12,103$809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.06 | 191 | 36.1%69 W · 122 L | -15.3wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Nuggets | 79c | 11,096$8,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,330.16 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Kings | 5c | 10,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 475 | 35.8%170 W · 305 L | +41.1wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Kings | 20c | 9,999$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.79 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…6440backed Kings | 21c | 9,201$1,968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,967.52 | 469 | 28.4%133 W · 336 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Kings | 0c | 8,666$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.07 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b40…d85ebacked Kings | 2c | 7,800$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Kings | 7c | 7,672$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.74 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4087…1665backed Kings | 22c | 7,570$1,665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,665.29 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Nuggets | 80c | 7,447$5,957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,489.33 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Nuggets | 80c | 6,621$5,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,324.2 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Kings | 2c | 6,485$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.93 | 69 | 31.9%22 W · 47 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Kings | 20c | 6,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Kings | 20c | 5,972$1,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,184.86 | 489 | 44.2%216 W · 273 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe89e…bb74backed Kings | 19c | 5,622$1,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,068.26 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Kings | 20c | 5,597$1,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.43 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9feb…bd88backed Kings | 3c | 5,400$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Kings | 2c | 5,321$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 566 | 46.5%263 W · 303 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9363…fbfabacked Nuggets | 80c | 5,100$4,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.97 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Kings | 21c | 5,050$1,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060.5 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f05…8937backed Kings | 20c | 5,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 470 | 28.1%132 W · 338 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Kings | 13c | 4,697$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.65 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Kings | 2c | 3,942$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.94 | 679 | 11%75 W · 604 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3605…1ae1backed Kings | 4c | 3,447$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.2 | 230 | 43%99 W · 131 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kings | 12c | 3,387$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.88 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e4e…498abacked Nuggets | 80c | 3,250$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Nuggets | 80c | 3,172$2,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.4 | 136 | 38.2%52 W · 84 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Kings | 19c | 3,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.99 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc081…224dbacked Kings | 5c | 2,998$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.97 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Kings | 20c | 2,935$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.04 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a8…3d3fbacked Kings | 20c | 2,780$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | +7.4wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +63.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Kings | 20c | 2,770$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…245ebacked Kings | 20c | 2,678$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.73 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Nuggets | 76c | 2,511$1,909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.73 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe6…555dbacked Kings | 4c | 2,400$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd0…e557backed Kings | 19c | 2,371$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.49 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x980d…985fbacked Kings | 1c | 2,300$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 72 | 30.6%22 W · 50 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Nuggets | 80c | 2,289$1,828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.99 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17b9…430dbacked Kings | 5c | 2,200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe3…e0fdbacked Kings | 22c | 2,021$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.73 | 203 | 49.8%101 W · 102 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Kings | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3701…02e6backed Kings | 23c | 2,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa189…8dd0backed Kings | 23c | 2,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca9e…d256backed Kings | 6c | 2,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 30cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…7c15backed Nuggets | 77c | 2,000$1,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8373…0504backed Nuggets | 77c | 2,000$1,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Kings | 22c | 1,998$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.57 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb568…14d4backed Nuggets | 79c | 1,997$1,578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.37 | 277 | 47.7%132 W · 145 L | -20.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x59ee…99e9backed Kings | 23c | 1,990$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.7 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd5…e3e3backed Nuggets | 77c | 1,990$1,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.7 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945f…8926backed Nuggets | 77c | 1,990$1,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.7 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf64…6aa4backed Kings | 23c | 1,990$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.7 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cbf…b1b9backed Kings | 23c | 1,990$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.7 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +45%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde7b…eaaebacked Kings | 23c | 1,990$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.7 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4efa…b28bbacked Kings | 23c | 1,990$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.7 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff5a…531cbacked Nuggets | 77c | 1,990$1,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.7 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x839d…c9b5backed Nuggets | 77c | 1,990$1,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x826d…eeefbacked Nuggets | 77c | 1,990$1,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9af5…d852backed Nuggets | 77c | 1,980$1,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.4 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5667…72aabacked Kings | 23c | 1,980$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.4 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75a8…5327backed Kings | 23c | 1,980$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.4 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80b9…5c86backed Nuggets | 77c | 1,980$1,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.4 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…4edebacked Kings | 23c | 1,960$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.8 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa531…f0b8backed Nuggets | 77c | 1,960$1,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb61…8e04backed Nuggets | 78c | 1,956$1,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.41 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91d3…623abacked Kings | 23c | 1,950$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.5 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d52…814abacked Nuggets | 77c | 1,950$1,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf73…2c07backed Nuggets | 77c | 1,950$1,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.5 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.34per pick | 51cpaid | +69.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb834…e966backed Kings | 23c | 1,950$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb920…3a08backed Kings | 23c | 1,950$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.5 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa439…3253backed Nuggets | 77c | 1,950$1,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd974…bac4backed Kings | 23c | 1,940$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa601…f0a9backed Nuggets | 77c | 1,940$1,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.2 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb406…eaefbacked Nuggets | 77c | 1,940$1,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90b1…7591backed Nuggets | 77c | 1,940$1,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +121.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce2…0bbabacked Kings | 23c | 1,940$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.2 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b09…a2d3backed Kings | 23c | 1,940$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.2 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +30%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9138…b410backed Nuggets | 77c | 1,940$1,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.2 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +43%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41bc…5590backed Kings | 23c | 1,940$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.2 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd4…ca01backed Kings | 1c | 1,935$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ca8…ddddbacked Kings | 10c | 1,934$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 278 | 46.8%130 W · 148 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae77…0c50backed Kings | 23c | 1,930$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.9 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nuggets vs. Kingsthis page
- 1H Spread: Nuggets (-5.5)Nuggets won
- Nuggets vs. Kings: 1H MoneylineNuggets won
- Nuggets vs. Kings: O/U 237.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Kings: O/U 238.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Kings: O/U 239.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Kings: O/U 240.5Over won
- Spread: Nuggets (-10.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Nuggets (-8.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Nuggets (-9.5)Nuggets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.