NBA · resolved market
Spread: Nuggets (-9.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc7b1e03378e3ad8e3453b0c6cf1a50c75735a0793abb5898d50f3ee83ce02925
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nuggetsof Nuggets, Kings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $75,857
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $87,633
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,857 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Kings | 48c | 12,615$6,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,055.28 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Kings | 47c | 10,000$4,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,650.1 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa25…05e8backed Nuggets | 57c | 9,023$5,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,880.23 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Nuggets | 53c | 9,000$4,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,229.99 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Kings | 43c | 6,774$2,913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,912.82 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70e9…55ecbacked Nuggets | 52c | 6,704$3,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,217.85 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +4.0wins | +0.40per pick | 50cpaid | +76.9%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Kings | 47c | 6,250$2,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,940 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cff…6471backed Nuggets | 55c | 6,080$3,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,736.02 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked Nuggets | 54c | 5,211$2,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,401.52 | 220 | 53.6%118 W · 102 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Nuggets | 52c | 5,071$2,657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,413.95 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Kings | 45c | 3,304$1,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,486.82 | 403 | 50.1%202 W · 201 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Kings | 45c | 2,817$1,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,267.6 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Nuggets | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 270 | 51.5%139 W · 131 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf94…402dbacked Nuggets | 52c | 1,983$1,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$954.68 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -45%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Kings | 49c | 1,970$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965.3 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | +12.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Nuggets | 51c | 1,970$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$965.3 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Kings | 43c | 1,426$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.18 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Nuggets | 54c | 1,389$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.89 | 653 | 39.5%258 W · 395 L | -24.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Kings | 46c | 1,283$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.13 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kings | 44c | 1,010$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.74 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Kings | 46c | 911.04$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.08 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Kings | 46c | 869.57$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ad…6ed7backed Kings | 46c | 847.42$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.68 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Nuggets | 53c | 836.29$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.42 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Nuggets | 54c | 800$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368 | 910 | 50.9%463 W · 447 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Nuggets | 53c | 800$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376 | 156 | 53.8%84 W · 72 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe832…7abbbacked Nuggets | 54c | 793.04$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.04 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Kings | 47c | 746$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.14 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6de…95e8backed Nuggets | 53c | 650$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.5 | 230 | 47%108 W · 122 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Kings | 46c | 639.99$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.39 | 182 | 35.7%65 W · 117 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Kings | 46c | 600$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276 | 278 | 40.6%113 W · 165 L | -22.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Kings | 44c | 581.82$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.82 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Kings | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 491 | 42.6%209 W · 282 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Kings | 48c | 500$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96ec…fcc4backed Nuggets | 56c | 400$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 272 | 47.8%130 W · 142 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Kings | 38c | 338$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.97 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Kings | 46c | 301.85$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.85 | 807 | 44.1%356 W · 451 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacce…fe4ebacked Nuggets | 54c | 300$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Nuggets | 53c | 286.55$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.04 | 522 | 40%209 W · 313 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Nuggets | 54c | 277.78$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.78 | 175 | 40.6%71 W · 104 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0da5…5adfbacked Nuggets | 53c | 236.35$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.35 | 125 | 50.4%63 W · 62 L | -7.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Kings | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe025…102fbacked Kings | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 156 | 49.4%77 W · 79 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Nuggets | 52c | 210.69$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.93 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5385…fb59backed Nuggets | 50c | 207.36$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.68 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Nuggets | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 261 | 50.2%131 W · 130 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4211…0c8abacked Kings | 49c | 199.99$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41ce…6509backed Nuggets | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 280 | 46.8%131 W · 149 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e79…ff8bbacked Nuggets | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 174 | 56.9%99 W · 75 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7180…bdbabacked Nuggets | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 156 | 57.7%90 W · 66 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Nuggets | 50c | 174.51$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.16 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5f…7e6fbacked Nuggets | 54c | 157.41$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 324 | 50%162 W · 162 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x102f…9b6ebacked Kings | 47c | 150$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd976…7050backed Nuggets | 54c | 130.02$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.02 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 58cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Kings | 48c | 129$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.92 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Kings | 47c | 117.66$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Nuggets | 54c | 110$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.6 | 378 | 50.3%190 W · 188 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Kings | 46c | 109.02$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.15 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Kings | 30c | 106.44$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.69 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…a51bbacked Kings | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17e7…85a1backed Kings | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 195 | 56.9%111 W · 84 L | +20.0wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x805e…e345backed Kings | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Nuggets | 50c | 98.38$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.19 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc880…a622backed Kings | 47c | 98$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.06 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf54a…e25dbacked Nuggets | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 157 | 52.2%82 W · 75 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Nuggets | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbef9…d257backed Nuggets | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 96 | 58.3%56 W · 40 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x110d…cd01backed Nuggets | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 345 | 56.2%194 W · 151 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…df90backed Nuggets | 54c | 92.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.76 | 514 | 51.9%267 W · 247 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked Kings | 47c | 89.23$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.94 | 522 | 42.7%223 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0fd…5903backed Kings | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | -12.5wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9773…67e8backed Kings | 47c | 85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.95 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f17…2332backed Nuggets | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 121 | 55.4%67 W · 54 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Kings | 49c | 72.22$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.12 | 526 | 43%226 W · 300 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Nuggets | 54c | 71.69$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.98 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe44a…c4f8backed Kings | 47c | 67$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.49 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Nuggets | 55c | 63.53$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.53 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Kings | 47c | 60.36$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6191…e505backed Nuggets | 53c | 56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.32 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaef1…4058backed Kings | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08cc…da60backed Nuggets | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78b2…dd6dbacked Nuggets | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcba…d962backed Nuggets | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -7.9wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Nuggets | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…581bbacked Nuggets | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 91 | 65.9%60 W · 31 L | +8.4wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Nuggets | 54c | 37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.12 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…71e4backed Kings | 49c | 33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | -6.0wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb736…1946backed Nuggets | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe11a…d47ebacked Nuggets | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc968…c59bbacked Kings | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…9b15backed Nuggets | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d0…9b74backed Nuggets | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c9…bacfbacked Kings | 40c | 28.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Nuggets | 51c | 28.08$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.76 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9840…cb31backed Nuggets | 53c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.16 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1313…866abacked Nuggets | 53c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.16 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2348…9d10backed Nuggets | 53c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.16 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22dd…cc0fbacked Nuggets | 52c | 24.04$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.54 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5779…168dbacked Kings | 44c | 23.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 448 | 44.2%198 W · 250 L | -11.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b2…6127backed Nuggets | 54c | 22.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.22 | 126 | 39.7%50 W · 76 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Nuggets (-9.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Nuggets (-5.5)Nuggets won
- Nuggets vs. KingsNuggets won
- Nuggets vs. Kings: 1H MoneylineNuggets won
- Nuggets vs. Kings: O/U 237.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Kings: O/U 238.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Kings: O/U 239.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Kings: O/U 240.5Over won
- Spread: Nuggets (-10.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Nuggets (-8.5)Nuggets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.