NBA · resolved market
Spread: Nuggets (-10.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x555c03ca190a83408a3250bf01e529a3afd2f79e7918570a67fabddcc023e00e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nuggetsof Nuggets, Kings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $786,023
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $788,617
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $786,023 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x82a1…e03abacked Kings | 52c | 711,492$371,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371,000 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Nuggets | 48c | 473,043$227,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245,982.58 | 262 | 53.8%141 W · 121 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Nuggets | 47c | 111,766$52,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59,236.03 | 267 | 53.2%142 W · 125 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Nuggets | 48c | 50,000$24,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,000 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Nuggets | 48c | 29,632$14,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,408.57 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Nuggets | 48c | 15,200$7,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,831.84 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Nuggets | 49c | 14,898$7,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,597.96 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Nuggets | 49c | 13,620$6,674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,946.19 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Nuggets | 71c | 11,228$7,978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,249.38 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Nuggets | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb433…7705backed Kings | 5c | 8,195$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.92 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 25cpaid | +25%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Nuggets | 48c | 7,793$3,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,052.56 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Kings | 52c | 6,000$3,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,120 | 477 | 48.8%233 W · 244 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Nuggets | 48c | 5,500$2,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,885 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Nuggets | 48c | 2,604$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,354.08 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Nuggets | 49c | 2,134$1,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,088.16 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Nuggets | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Nuggets | 49c | 1,663$808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.86 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Kings | 51c | 1,501$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765.71 | 74 | 58.1%43 W · 31 L | +6.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked Nuggets | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.99 | 220 | 53.6%118 W · 102 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Nuggets | 48c | 1,465$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.58 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Nuggets | 47c | 1,170$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.1 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Nuggets | 74c | 1,067$789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.13 | 473 | 49%232 W · 241 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Kings | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 679 | 21.4%145 W · 534 L | +32.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb51…733cbacked Nuggets | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 115 | 42.6%49 W · 66 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Nuggets | 49c | 867.11$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.41 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Nuggets | 49c | 799.99$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408 | 156 | 53.8%84 W · 72 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked Nuggets | 49c | 683.26$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.46 | 315 | 38.1%120 W · 195 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Nuggets | 49c | 612$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.12 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Nuggets | 50c | 550.51$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.33 | 526 | 43%226 W · 300 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Kings | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 569 | 45.3%258 W · 311 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…9ef9backed Nuggets | 49c | 448.98$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.98 | 217 | 53%115 W · 102 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Nuggets | 47c | 435.34$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe29…1c8fbacked Kings | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b23…e20fbacked Nuggets | 50c | 380$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 499 | 38.9%194 W · 305 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93a2…5181backed Kings | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 150 | 38%57 W · 93 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Nuggets | 49c | 370$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.7 | 958 | 48.7%467 W · 491 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…e9b4backed Kings | 52c | 346.15$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 253 | 47%119 W · 134 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Nuggets | 49c | 326.53$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.53 | 417 | 42%175 W · 242 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf193…9838backed Nuggets | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.12 | 92 | 41.3%38 W · 54 L | -8.9wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Nuggets | 48c | 300$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b2…6d9dbacked Nuggets | 49c | 228.57$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.57 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b7d4backed Nuggets | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aaf…c132backed Kings | 52c | 185.54$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.48 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe35e…7754backed Kings | 13c | 177.54$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.08 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde19…8e43backed Kings | 52c | 171$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.92 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Nuggets | 47c | 149.2$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.08 | 511 | 46.6%238 W · 273 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb6b…943abacked Kings | 35c | 142$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.7 | 154 | 61.7%95 W · 59 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Kings | 53c | 132.08$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 818 | 45.7%374 W · 444 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d96…a9d9backed Nuggets | 49c | 122.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.45 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 40cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5256…24a5backed Kings | 51c | 104.33$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.21 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…df90backed Nuggets | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 514 | 51.9%267 W · 247 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce49…4740backed Nuggets | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 236 | 42.4%100 W · 136 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x270b…ff56backed Nuggets | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb583…3428backed Nuggets | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17e7…85a1backed Kings | 53c | 99.99$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 195 | 56.9%111 W · 84 L | +20.0wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xea5a…058abacked Kings | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked Kings | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 310 | 55.5%172 W · 138 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90cb…ae5fbacked Nuggets | 49c | 91.84$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.84 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Nuggets | 49c | 90$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.9 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f6…a31cbacked Nuggets | 49c | 90$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.9 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ad…6ed7backed Kings | 50c | 87$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8eca…6882backed Nuggets | 50c | 84$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 159 | 36.5%58 W · 101 L | -11.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa49…949ebacked Kings | 52c | 68$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.36 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +6.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Kings | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe44a…c4f8backed Nuggets | 50c | 55.52$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.77 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Nuggets | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 1,053 | 53.5%563 W · 490 L | -15.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Nuggets | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc89d…5909backed Nuggets | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Kings | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0e…b74abacked Nuggets | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddd1…2739backed Kings | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa973…f639backed Kings | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +5.1wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa7e8…c457backed Nuggets | 49c | 38.38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.57 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a2…c2c2backed Kings | 55c | 38.36$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9698…de01backed Kings | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 267 | 57.3%153 W · 114 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cec…a075backed Kings | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7590…d6e0backed Kings | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Nuggets | 49c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Kings | 51c | 27.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 599 | 48.4%290 W · 309 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x369e…d016backed Nuggets | 68c | 24.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -6.6wins | -0.24per pick | 63cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…9652backed Nuggets | 49c | 23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.65 | 183 | 57.4%105 W · 78 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Nuggets | 65c | 19.17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.71 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb967…3bfdbacked Nuggets | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Nuggets (-10.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Nuggets (-5.5)Nuggets won
- Nuggets vs. KingsNuggets won
- Nuggets vs. Kings: 1H MoneylineNuggets won
- Nuggets vs. Kings: O/U 237.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Kings: O/U 238.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Kings: O/U 239.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Kings: O/U 240.5Over won
- Spread: Nuggets (-8.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Nuggets (-9.5)Nuggets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.