NBA · resolved market
Spurs vs. Thunder
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9aa73bfe5123a44867e959acb8c2d1e7d91cbe66a9f684895b821576101273c7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spursof Spurs, Thunder
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,314,946
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,985,139
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,314,946 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,156 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Spurs | 20c | 480,909$94,892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386,017.63 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ab…ded1backed Spurs | 20c | 367,145$75,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292,145.11 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5350…2fdabacked Spurs | 18c | 296,108$54,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241,808.21 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25cc…9297backed Spurs | 20c | 219,176$42,844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176,331.08 | 169 | 42%71 W · 98 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Spurs | 18c | 200,003$37,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163,002.35 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Spurs | 20c | 118,702$24,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94,516.65 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Spurs | 32c | 112,614$35,883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76,730.99 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Spurs | 20c | 102,673$20,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82,508.5 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27cb…169ebacked Spurs | 18c | 83,045$15,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67,836.37 | 274 | 24.5%67 W · 207 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2487…fa80backed Spurs | 19c | 63,000$12,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,729.94 | 180 | 45%81 W · 99 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Spurs | 19c | 60,000$11,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48,600 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Thunder | 74c | 53,561$39,678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,677.51 | 480 | 46%221 W · 259 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…bc51backed Spurs | 20c | 49,849$9,964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,884.18 | 219 | 44.7%98 W · 121 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e6…025bbacked Spurs | 41c | 44,125$18,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,910.3 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Spurs | 24c | 42,113$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,113.13 | 340 | 62.1%211 W · 129 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Thunder | 80c | 40,000$32,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,000 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Thunder | 52c | 39,106$20,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,201.76 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15bd…3e07backed Thunder | 77c | 37,752$29,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,222.93 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Thunder | 31c | 36,721$11,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,461.67 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Spurs | 36c | 35,963$12,928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,035.06 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Thunder | 79c | 35,084$27,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,792.38 | 444 | 59.7%265 W · 179 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2838…fdd3backed Spurs | 16c | 34,302$5,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,652.77 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Thunder | 34c | 33,061$11,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,251.28 | 279 | 17.9%50 W · 229 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Thunder | 80c | 31,967$25,573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,573.39 | 148 | 56.1%83 W · 65 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Thunder | 80c | 30,001$24,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,000.42 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Spurs | 31c | 30,000$9,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,600.7 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Thunder | 24c | 28,464$6,865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,865.42 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Thunder | 80c | 25,250$20,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,200 | 403 | 50.1%202 W · 201 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f05…8937backed Spurs | 20c | 23,637$4,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,020.63 | 470 | 28.1%132 W · 338 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Thunder | 80c | 21,485$17,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,153.92 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1252…dec2backed Thunder | 80c | 20,037$16,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,029.58 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Thunder | 2c | 20,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcddd…166cbacked Thunder | 79c | 19,867$15,695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,694.92 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cff…c3dabacked Thunder | 22c | 19,495$4,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,289.71 | 185 | 18.4%34 W · 151 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Thunder | 80c | 19,055$15,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,164.85 | 690 | 49.4%341 W · 349 L | -30.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf54e…0950backed Spurs | 21c | 19,000$3,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,010 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.19per pick | 55cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e65…7bc1backed Thunder | 79c | 19,000$15,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,009.99 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Spurs | 51c | 18,060$9,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,842.73 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…1395backed Spurs | 19c | 17,644$3,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,230.45 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +8.4wins | +0.17per pick | 37cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Spurs | 28c | 16,552$4,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,876.39 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Thunder | 13c | 16,394$2,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,115.34 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Thunder | 79c | 16,086$12,706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,705.81 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Thunder | 52c | 16,000$8,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,249.96 | 443 | 37.9%168 W · 275 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Thunder | 80c | 15,665$12,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,500 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2c…94c5backed Thunder | 73c | 15,400$11,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,176.98 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…6793backed Spurs | 17c | 15,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,500 | 174 | 41.4%72 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked Spurs | 10c | 15,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,499.96 | 105 | 30.5%32 W · 73 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f2…702cbacked Thunder | 80c | 14,998$11,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,936.25 | 98 | 68.4%67 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Thunder | 69c | 14,826$10,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,230.12 | 379 | 44.3%168 W · 211 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Thunder | 80c | 14,666$11,726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,725.63 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca8…1a39backed Thunder | 56c | 13,879$7,823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,823.13 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd864…497ebacked Spurs | 19c | 13,119$2,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,626.73 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Spurs | 37c | 11,590$4,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,319.51 | 131 | 53.4%70 W · 61 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9dd…3cc5backed Spurs | 15c | 11,165$1,709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,455.91 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +3.8wins | +0.14per pick | 30cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Thunder | 12c | 11,035$1,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,283.03 | 645 | 17.1%110 W · 535 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47ca…88dbbacked Spurs | 16c | 11,001$1,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,203.16 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +68.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06c0…e618backed Thunder | 79c | 10,862$8,581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,580.95 | 134 | 55.2%74 W · 60 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Thunder | 16c | 10,486$1,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,640.02 | 894 | 44.4%397 W · 497 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Spurs | 18c | 10,400$1,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,519.98 | 618 | 35.4%219 W · 399 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Thunder | 42c | 10,397$4,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,374.64 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Thunder | 43c | 10,388$4,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,420.27 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1571…c4e6backed Spurs | 28c | 10,369$2,936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,432.58 | 194 | 19.1%37 W · 157 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Thunder | 11c | 10,187$1,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,106.77 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…bf91backed Spurs | 19c | 10,000$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,100.1 | 484 | 48.8%236 W · 248 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30e3…b595backed Thunder | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedc8…cca9backed Spurs | 21c | 10,000$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,900 | 205 | 51.2%105 W · 100 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe258…2330backed Thunder | 79c | 10,000$7,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,899.98 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Thunder | 43c | 9,451$4,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,067.12 | 222 | 43.7%97 W · 125 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54fd…ae61backed Thunder | 60c | 9,398$5,592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,592.14 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c10…8977backed Thunder | 80c | 9,249$7,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,391.61 | 623 | 47.7%297 W · 326 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a79…b1a8backed Thunder | 80c | 9,000$7,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,200 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Thunder | 62c | 8,690$5,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,388 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Spurs | 10c | 8,229$823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,405.99 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Spurs | 19c | 8,000$1,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,450 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8c…eaa2backed Spurs | 19c | 7,949$1,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,428.69 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Spurs | 19c | 7,650$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,170.5 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa72c…a633backed Thunder | 75c | 7,500$5,616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,615.85 | 99 | 53.5%53 W · 46 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Thunder | 75c | 7,022$5,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,253.38 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf386…3518backed Thunder | 67c | 6,700$4,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500.51 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a22…c3b5backed Spurs | 17c | 6,074$1,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,058.53 | 161 | 30.4%49 W · 112 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Thunder | 46c | 6,045$2,794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,794.34 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac0d…8bb7backed Spurs | 46c | 6,000$2,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,259.97 | 58 | 72.4%42 W · 16 L | +8.0wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x019d…2b01backed Thunder | 55c | 5,660$3,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,087.56 | 290 | 37.9%110 W · 180 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Spurs | 15c | 5,555$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,699.53 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Thunder | 80c | 5,455$4,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,349.45 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Thunder | 78c | 5,415$4,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,225.53 | 910 | 50.9%463 W · 447 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Spurs | 18c | 5,238$943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,295.16 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2734…6d9ebacked Spurs | 19c | 5,174$983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,190.68 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Spurs | 21c | 5,000$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,949.75 | 446 | 48%214 W · 232 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa849…c825backed Thunder | 79c | 5,000$3,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,950 | 166 | 41%68 W · 98 L | -12.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4534…f867backed Spurs | 19c | 5,000$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,050 | 136 | 25.7%35 W · 101 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed0e…b305backed Spurs | 19c | 5,000$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,050 | 217 | 23.5%51 W · 166 L | +9.6wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +75.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Spurs | 18c | 5,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,099.98 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a3…0848backed Spurs | 20c | 4,950$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,960 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…245ebacked Spurs | 19c | 4,900$931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,969 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff12…09f9backed Spurs | 25c | 4,832$1,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,610.33 | 193 | 88.1%170 W · 23 L | +48.6wins | +0.25per pick | 63cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 75+0.22 edge/pick |
| 0x44c7…62dabacked Spurs | 21c | 4,762$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,761.9 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Spurs | 16c | 4,500$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,800 | 475 | 35.8%170 W · 305 L | +41.1wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x94d7…bef5backed Thunder | 13c | 4,486$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.88 | 259 | 25.9%67 W · 192 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ebf…82d5backed Spurs | 20c | 4,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,200 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spurs vs. Thunderthis page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-5.5)Spurs won
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-6.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-11.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-9.5)Spurs won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 115.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 116.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 118.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 119.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 120.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 224.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 225.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 226.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 227.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 228.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 229.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 230.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 231.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 232.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.