TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 232.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$109,694
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$115,078

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $109,694 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x16b2…a881backed Over52c21,600$11,229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,228.62,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x245b…00c5backed Under48c20,000$9,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,40014052.1%73 W · 67 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Under50c19,563$9,781 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,781.391,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3d6…34e3backed Under49c14,972$7,329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,642.9520542.9%88 W · 117 L-7.5wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e79…29a7backed Over50c14,000$7,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,000450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc125…fb4bbacked Over50c10,005$5,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,002.3810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ef5…325ebacked Over52c6,000$3,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,1201450%7 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39fd…5a3fbacked Under48c6,000$2,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,119.9719958.3%116 W · 83 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x827a…8a2bbacked Under49c5,500$2,690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,81022053.6%118 W · 102 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over50c5,015$2,523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,522.889,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x159f…5862backed Over52c3,563$1,853 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8532142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xea22…747abacked Over4c3,355$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.0667921.4%145 W · 534 L+32.4wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+33.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Over51c2,352$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,199.522,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb116…940abacked Over52c2,000$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,04012655.6%70 W · 56 L-8.1wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under51c2,000$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9801,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Over49c1,531$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75065339.5%258 W · 395 L-24.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Under49c1,345$659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$685.951,15747.9%554 W · 603 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc87b…51d4backed Over53c1,321$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70021055.2%116 W · 94 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under48c1,093$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$568.362,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x44f7…266fbacked Over2c1,077$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.354573.5%16 W · 441 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01b4…372ebacked Over1c1,039$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3929810.4%31 W · 267 L+22.5wins+0.08per pick3cpaid+230.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2c6f…014ebacked Over51c1,020$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.218345.4%83 W · 100 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2984…0fc6backed Under50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5002642.3%11 W · 15 L-4.1wins-0.16per pick58cpaid-28.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x17b9…430dbacked Under50c949.08$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474.5413040%52 W · 78 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xedb1…819ebacked Under53c915$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.0515855.7%88 W · 70 L-9.8wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-10.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over35c895.74$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.688,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46bd…37e8backed Over52c889.03$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46016837.5%63 W · 105 L-20.6wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-25%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under49c616.52$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.42,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7b7…0adbbacked Over51c502$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.027252.8%38 W · 34 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xae81…f04bbacked Over52c480.77$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2502352.2%12 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc69…78b3backed Over50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004151.2%21 W · 20 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over51c400$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2041,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under37c391.33$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.453,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfcee…089ebacked Over53c383.43$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.22250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03fc…a8e6backed Over32c375.31$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1212254.5%12 W · 10 L+3.2wins+0.15per pick40cpaid+44%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x468e…3e25backed Over52c358.91$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.6350%0 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xdab0…2fe9backed Over66c268.62$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.294459.1%26 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Over51c250$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.585147.5%404 W · 447 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc89…c577backed Over49c242.86$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa42a…d91fbacked Over52c236.54$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12362347.5%296 W · 327 L-17.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3f…e00bbacked Under49c235.29$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1207132.4%23 W · 48 L-10.6wins-0.15per pick47cpaid-36.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x14c3…bfb9backed Over51c235.29$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1207256.9%41 W · 31 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Over47c219.13$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.9995049.4%469 W · 481 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6236…6881backed Over49c210$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.923748.1%114 W · 123 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed Under49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.0865649.2%323 W · 333 L+9.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Over51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10278652.4%412 W · 374 L+14.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,11052%577 W · 533 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b23…e20fbacked Under50c195$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.549938.9%194 W · 305 L-23.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfa0b…9672backed Over10c194.97$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.959828.6%28 W · 70 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-15.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7180…bdbabacked Over52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015657.7%90 W · 66 L+8.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9c13…99b7backed Over52c192.12$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.947738.2%182 W · 295 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa198…9601backed Over50c150$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7516346.6%76 W · 87 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3a7…9707backed Over51c137$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.87633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-39.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3b46…121dbacked Under49c128.57$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.5731551.7%163 W · 152 L-1.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed Over37c127.55$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.4352643%226 W · 300 L-19.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2000…df78backed Over51c125$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.758053.8%43 W · 37 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+13.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc757…f18cbacked Under50c119.25$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.258661.6%53 W · 33 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9061…9510backed Under46c114$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.567162%44 W · 27 L+8.4wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+22%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x110d…cd01backed Over32c110.29$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.6634556.2%194 W · 151 L+17.1wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0b4b…14e2backed Under48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.1723547.7%112 W · 123 L+8.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c90…272cbacked Under46c100$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$546947.8%33 W · 36 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0495…c68fbacked Under52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4811346%52 W · 61 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb433…f543backed Over51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504146.3%19 W · 22 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-15.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5060346.4%280 W · 323 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8776…1ca3backed Under52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.156336.5%23 W · 40 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x763a…2e91backed Over50c96$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-33.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c80…9564backed Under49c89.69$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.7412159.5%72 W · 49 L-0.5wins0.00per pick60cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ca…0d75backed Over52c81.37$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.0812735.4%45 W · 82 L-12.4wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-22.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3940…9e72backed Under50c80$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4030044.3%133 W · 167 L+0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa710…f1ccbacked Over50c80$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408146.9%38 W · 43 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb0cb…85babacked Under49c79.98$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.7952242.7%223 W · 299 L-1.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2599…9218backed Over52c76.92$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4011761.5%72 W · 45 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8328…0a5cbacked Over52c76.63$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.8536842.4%156 W · 212 L-8.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc42…01b2backed Over55c71.49$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.3211651.7%60 W · 56 L-10.0wins-0.09per pick60cpaid-13.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7e07…c0d4backed Over54c63$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.0213456.7%76 W · 58 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick59cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb052…7adabacked Over50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3029046.9%136 W · 154 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x04b3…ad8dbacked Over50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3011848.3%57 W · 61 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a9f…c2a6backed Over54c55.92$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307550.7%38 W · 37 L-4.4wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa024…4929backed Under46c51$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.546058.3%35 W · 25 L+4.9wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6468…e03dbacked Over54c49$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.463053.3%16 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b35…a23cbacked Over56c44.64$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5956…e127backed Over54c42$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.684353.5%23 W · 20 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x08cc…da60backed Under49c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.48248.8%40 W · 42 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fb4…8830backed Over51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020241.1%83 W · 119 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x87e8…5e6ebacked Over52c38.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2016743.7%73 W · 94 L-16.6wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-18.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x47e0…6510backed Under52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.462759.3%16 W · 11 L+3.8wins+0.14per pick45cpaid+49.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3c86…288cbacked Under77c32.43$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.439242.4%39 W · 53 L-6.9wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-13.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf4f1…6349backed Under47c29.79$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.7917350.9%88 W · 85 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-5.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0068…d7b0backed Over54c23$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.423234.4%11 W · 21 L-6.0wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-34.4%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x6be8…f449backed Under50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109644.8%43 W · 53 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x168e…d2e0backed Under50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+16.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.