NBA · resolved market
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 229.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd1243b12cfe5d61e21a1a7911bb9ab07c10be80caee8b71bdf9e9b778784e6a1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $63,271
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $63,307
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,271 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8c20…7d4fbacked Over | 55c | 25,500$14,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,025 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…1a5dbacked Under | 45c | 21,000$9,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,550 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 46c | 13,619$6,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,374.64 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Over | 53c | 10,314$5,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,444.95 | 116 | 56.9%66 W · 50 L | +10.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +17%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…22d6backed Over | 58c | 4,672$2,709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,709.48 | 98 | 43.9%43 W · 55 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d1…6c1cbacked Under | 45c | 4,500$2,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,475 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x869b…c625backed Over | 51c | 4,466$2,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,277.43 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +6.3wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Under | 47c | 4,084$1,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,150.76 | 500 | 47.2%236 W · 264 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c0…93fdbacked Under | 44c | 3,750$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Over | 53c | 3,334$1,767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,767.11 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,139.99 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51e1…c98abacked Under | 45c | 1,889$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,038.89 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…405cbacked Over | 57c | 1,488$848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$848 | 434 | 53.2%231 W · 203 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…0a77backed Over | 57c | 1,149$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655 | 157 | 56.7%89 W · 68 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa849…c825backed Under | 43c | 999.99$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.99 | 166 | 41%68 W · 98 L | -12.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd65d…a9e6backed Under | 45c | 858.07$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.94 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…a1d5backed Over | 57c | 700$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399 | 250 | 39.6%99 W · 151 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d59…e0edbacked Over | 61c | 661.13$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 262 | 50.4%132 W · 130 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 40c | 605.68$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.41 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x107c…3ef7backed Over | 59c | 423.73$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc2…8416backed Under | 45c | 389.55$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.55 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -29%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 53c | 316.98$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Under | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 658 | 55.6%366 W · 292 L | +27.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Under | 47c | 238.09$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.19 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64c6…244cbacked Over | 59c | 219.53$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.52 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -11.3wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3908…20eabacked Over | 57c | 183.02$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.32 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe08c…e03cbacked Over | 61c | 180.88$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.14 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Under | 38c | 158.28$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.72 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc69…78b3backed Over | 58c | 131.03$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f27…6ea7backed Over | 30c | 130.88$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.26 | 141 | 45.4%64 W · 77 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12f7…ff1fbacked Over | 57c | 126$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.82 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49c…6dcabacked Under | 42c | 108$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.64 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9773…67e8backed Under | 41c | 101$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.59 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9714…3014backed Over | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | -9.3wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3cdb…7a7abacked Over | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 46c | 98$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.92 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Over | 53c | 84.98$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.04 | 191 | 35.6%68 W · 123 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf9…1abfbacked Under | 43c | 83$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.31 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e06…b0d9backed Over | 57c | 69$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.33 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…dce6backed Under | 41c | 67$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.53 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2af2…9aa5backed Over | 57c | 63.16$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4970…21f6backed Under | 40c | 60$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 39c | 60$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.74 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 47c | 59$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.73 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 57c | 55.68$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.89 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87e8…5e6ebacked Over | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 167 | 43.7%73 W · 94 L | -16.6wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f7…1cddbacked Over | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac7a…414fbacked Under | 42c | 48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.84 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…e23dbacked Under | 39c | 47$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.67 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9b…0bc0backed Over | 59c | 47$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.73 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd22f…d0eebacked Over | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 408 | 53.7%219 W · 189 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67bc…4d94backed Over | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 210 | 51.4%108 W · 102 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43dc…88cfbacked Over | 58c | 42$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.36 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…5b7dbacked Over | 59c | 37$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.83 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -3.7wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7cff…6471backed Over | 58c | 36$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa46d…59c4backed Over | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 121 | 49.6%60 W · 61 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Under | 39c | 34.6$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.93 | 938 | 49.7%466 W · 472 L | +36.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…3a8abacked Under | 41c | 34$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.06 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -5.6wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Over | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 183 | 47.5%87 W · 96 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9255…87a4backed Over | 59c | 29$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.11 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1315…d32ebacked Over | 60c | 26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…bdecbacked Over | 61c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -7.2wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3be0…e4e5backed Over | 60c | 24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52cc…9998backed Over | 59c | 24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5d…be79backed Over | 61c | 22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4aa…947cbacked Over | 57c | 21.87$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ad…cc15backed Under | 47c | 21.28$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -4.7wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7773…f936backed Over | 58c | 21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -5.1wins | -0.30per pick | 54cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…8137backed Over | 58c | 21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x888b…8f3fbacked Over | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe286…b1d3backed Over | 56c | 19.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22e5…81acbacked Over | 59c | 17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -4.8wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -32%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 229.5this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-5.5)Spurs won
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-6.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-11.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-9.5)Spurs won
- Spurs vs. ThunderSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 115.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 116.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 118.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 119.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 120.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 224.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 225.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 226.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 227.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 228.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 230.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 231.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 232.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.