NBA · resolved market
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 224.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3d66230f389946e71723682e81b4b81bb85a645ddd14a75f9f3bbfa6f45b6ca2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,236
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,610
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,236 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfa0b…9672backed Over | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 98 | 28.6%28 W · 70 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 44c | 5,404$2,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,014.99 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1033…d851backed Over | 55c | 3,657$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 274 | 43.1%118 W · 156 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Under | 27c | 3,104$831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,273.05 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67c3…5cc8backed Over | 58c | 1,890$1,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,103 | 111 | 55%61 W · 50 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 47c | 1,832$852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.94 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98b5…e61fbacked Over | 58c | 1,724$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Over | 25c | 1,505$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.63 | 191 | 35.6%68 W · 123 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbdb1…15fabacked Over | 73c | 1,378$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c86…cd2bbacked Over | 74c | 1,358$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Under | 44c | 1,344$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.15 | 483 | 47.2%228 W · 255 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd65d…a9e6backed Under | 44c | 1,236$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.33 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Over | 75c | 1,100$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825 | 690 | 49.4%341 W · 349 L | -30.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8380…b151backed Over | 55c | 1,039$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.4 | 150 | 56%84 W · 66 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 26c | 1,035$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.98 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Under | 30c | 928.74$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.14 | 679 | 21.4%145 W · 534 L | +32.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…a1d5backed Over | 27c | 869.5$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.77 | 250 | 39.6%99 W · 151 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Under | 45c | 817.5$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.63 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4cd…e2abbacked Over | 73c | 813.65$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.96 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68bf…3e67backed Under | 52c | 560.29$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.94 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | -6.9wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51f6…368cbacked Over | 48c | 498.21$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.14 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x107c…3ef7backed Over | 56c | 446.43$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x958f…7d5abacked Over | 56c | 434.27$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.19 | 134 | 64.2%86 W · 48 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Under | 45c | 375$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.25 | 500 | 47.2%236 W · 264 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Over | 51c | 283.33$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.5 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 45c | 247.62$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.93 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38dd…c20abacked Over | 10c | 240$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 336 | 50.6%170 W · 166 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80ea…5595backed Over | 77c | 137.66$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 43c | 125.03$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.84 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5f…7e6fbacked Over | 31c | 119.35$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 324 | 50%162 W · 162 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d29…4083backed Over | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 173 | 41%71 W · 102 L | -10.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b46…121dbacked Over | 56c | 112.5$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 315 | 51.7%163 W · 152 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Over | 55c | 110.96$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.3 | 710 | 44.6%317 W · 393 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x102f…9b6ebacked Under | 29c | 107$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.97 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b74…b58fbacked Over | 71c | 100$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 166 | 69.9%116 W · 50 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Under | 29c | 100$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 760 | 54.6%415 W · 345 L | +56.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Over | 69c | 100$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 612 | 53.1%325 W · 287 L | -20.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under | 32c | 99.99$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.99 | 807 | 44.1%356 W · 451 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc368…0622backed Over | 38c | 97.04$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 151 | 40.4%61 W · 90 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 29c | 92.52$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.83 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x186b…1148backed Over | 65c | 80$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12f7…ff1fbacked Over | 54c | 77$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.58 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe56e…0bb4backed Over | 71c | 70.9$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 242 | 48.3%117 W · 125 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…1943backed Over | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 201 | 50.7%102 W · 99 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…dce6backed Under | 27c | 65$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.45 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4970…21f6backed Under | 29c | 62$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.02 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x499e…c968backed Over | 28c | 54.68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.31 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Under | 44c | 52$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.12 | 762 | 47.1%359 W · 403 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x334f…0d32backed Over | 56c | 52$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.12 | 136 | 52.2%71 W · 65 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3647…6250backed Over | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6cb…18e9backed Over | 57c | 44.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ac…e166backed Over | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 187 | 57.2%107 W · 80 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff4e…7036backed Over | 71c | 40.96$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76ea…7600backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0a…ada0backed Over | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82a6…af86backed Over | 51c | 39.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ff…af12backed Over | 53c | 37.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 136 | 51.5%70 W · 66 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa8…7ea2backed Over | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 345 | 54.8%189 W · 156 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ecd…b2c0backed Over | 71c | 37$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.27 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -5.5wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd671…fb43backed Over | 71c | 35.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd67a…304cbacked Over | 71c | 34$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.14 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…405cbacked Over | 68c | 30.58$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.79 | 434 | 53.2%231 W · 203 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e1…f7fbbacked Over | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe1…cfbdbacked Over | 69c | 28.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4390…e842backed Over | 73c | 28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.44 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.8wins | -0.27per pick | 56cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a1…be8bbacked Over | 71c | 27$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.17 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x370a…cccebacked Over | 71c | 21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ad…cc15backed Over | 49c | 20.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -4.7wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x218e…e49dbacked Over | 73c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 482 | 55%265 W · 217 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ca2…2635backed Over | 70c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 28 | 75%21 W · 7 L | +4.4wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xff6a…baf0backed Over | 72c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4374…148dbacked Over | 72c | 16.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 51 | 66.7%34 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86cb…d231backed Over | 73c | 16.63$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.14 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.15per pick | 63cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc55…9f7cbacked Over | 71c | 16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x711d…fe4bbacked Over | 71c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…4028backed Over | 73c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -4.9wins | -0.19per pick | 54cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3af7…7451backed Over | 74c | 14.86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89fe…4293backed Over | 73c | 14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 224.5this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-5.5)Spurs won
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-6.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-11.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-9.5)Spurs won
- Spurs vs. ThunderSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 115.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 116.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 118.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 119.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 120.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 225.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 226.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 227.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 228.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 229.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 230.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 231.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 232.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.