TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 225.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$63,478
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$63,992

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,478 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe60a…6a47backed Over54c11,613$6,233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,233.032,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xedf0…1e2abacked Over51c7,759$3,940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,939.675749.1%28 W · 29 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39fd…5a3fbacked Under46c7,397$3,403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,994.519958.3%116 W · 83 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under48c6,096$2,937 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,158.939,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Under48c4,997$2,397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,599.072,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x414b…73bcbacked Over55c4,563$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50014753.1%78 W · 69 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa5dc…ec43backed Over70c4,175$2,941 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,940.5769049.4%341 W · 349 L-30.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa849…c825backed Over54c3,000$1,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,62016641%68 W · 98 L-12.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-17.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Under52c2,354$1,213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,140.3292753.5%496 W · 431 L+20.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Under30c2,209$663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,546.391,91145.4%868 W · 1,043 L+22.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4278…0e92backed Over54c2,100$1,136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,13641652.2%217 W · 199 L+1.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf51…4a30backed Under49c2,041$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,041.0276746.4%356 W · 411 L-16.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x25cc…9297backed Under46c2,000$920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,08016942%71 W · 98 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75e1…3ff3backed Over70c1,900$1,330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3308853.4%47 W · 41 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under38c1,521$585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$936.48,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b80…76fabacked Over66c1,313$866 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$866.431030%3 W · 7 L-2.6wins-0.26per pick56cpaid-51%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd3d6…34e3backed Under48c1,255$602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$652.3420542.9%88 W · 117 L-7.5wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd65d…a9e6backed Under45c1,226$552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$674.27347.9%35 W · 38 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Under34c1,224$417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$807.1754246.7%253 W · 289 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed Under34c1,000$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66048347.2%228 W · 255 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Under48c951$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494.521,15747.9%554 W · 603 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67c3…5cc8backed Over61c810.15$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496.9711155%61 W · 50 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick57cpaid+0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Under42c724$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.72,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Under32c723.56$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49219135.6%68 W · 123 L-9.3wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xea22…747abacked Under38c600$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37567921.4%145 W · 534 L+32.4wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+33.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over48c500$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2404,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15d5…ef7bbacked Under45c500$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2751,19838.8%465 W · 733 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Over50c360$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1801,39026%361 W · 1,029 L-5.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under33c357.3$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.244,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bea…5d50backed Under48c352$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.0450047.2%236 W · 264 L-1.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over30c321.8$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.273,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8776…1ca3backed Over68c255.77$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.196336.5%23 W · 40 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa75d…1d45backed Over50c250.95$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12522347.1%105 W · 118 L-9.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a33…2534backed Under34c240$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.410042%42 W · 58 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x87e8…5e6ebacked Over73c206.85$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15116743.7%73 W · 94 L-16.6wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-18.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Under47c200$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1061,19747.5%569 W · 628 L-32.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under30c200$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1401,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under34c166.4$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.442,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Under46c152$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.081,45149.7%721 W · 730 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under44c137.25$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.1680744.1%356 W · 451 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9270…7c9ebacked Over50c120$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6011445.6%52 W · 62 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa4cd…e2abbacked Under69c119.92$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.171650%8 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Over60c113.75$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.881,69544.7%758 W · 937 L-30.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b74…b58fbacked Under77c104.16$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2416669.9%116 W · 50 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick68cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f41…5cb3backed Under29c103$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.132948.3%14 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x941b…5ef5backed Over70c100.07$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9fbd…3d15backed Under47c95.84$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.876247.1%359 W · 403 L+2.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e47…a7abbacked Over53c93.8$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5049852.4%261 W · 237 L-0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc07d…5bd8backed Under41c90.02$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.8218554.1%100 W · 85 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x086f…8bc3backed Under55c88.01$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.452751.9%14 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+14.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x12ea…0722backed Over55c88.01$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.412035%7 W · 13 L-3.4wins-0.17per pick52cpaid-37.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x21c2…1943backed Over19c85.63$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2720150.7%102 W · 99 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under43c84.21$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.632,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Under46c82$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.892,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Under39c80$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.863745.8%292 W · 345 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d30…2645backed Under29c79$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.097448.6%36 W · 38 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8a3…a380backed Under30c77$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.98644.2%38 W · 48 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa7b7…0adbbacked Under33c76.12$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517252.8%38 W · 34 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc880…a622backed Under30c65$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.57441.9%31 W · 43 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-11.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Under43c58.79$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.7929346.4%136 W · 157 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3647…6250backed Under58c51.72$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.7212245.9%56 W · 66 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8fef…a3d3backed Over71c47$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.371838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.8wins-0.15per pick54cpaid-23.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa024…4929backed Under29c47$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.376058.3%35 W · 25 L+4.9wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfa0b…9672backed Over26c43.55$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.349828.6%28 W · 70 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-15.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07a4…be3abacked Over70c40$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283161.3%19 W · 12 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+12.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Under48c39.73$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.6695049.4%469 W · 481 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2999…50bcbacked Over70c39$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.33647.2%17 W · 19 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fb4cbacked Over55c36.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010257.8%59 W · 43 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2061…1ed1backed Over70c35$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.53652.8%19 W · 17 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x373a…668abacked Over71c35$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.853240.6%13 W · 19 L-4.0wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-25.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Under33c31.16$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.0330616.7%51 W · 255 L-36.5wins-0.12per pick29cpaid-37.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xe166…edcebacked Over71c30$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.31741.2%7 W · 10 L-2.3wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-25.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7690…92cbbacked Over71c29$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.591163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+17.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9a2…218cbacked Over71c29$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.591936.8%7 W · 12 L-3.3wins-0.17per pick54cpaid-30.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Under47c28.55$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.22,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb1ae…1683backed Over54c28$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.12977.8%7 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick69cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e8e…1ef0backed Over67c26.87$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189954.5%54 W · 45 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-9.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5253…b898backed Over70c26$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.23441.2%14 W · 20 L-4.4wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-24.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe2e6…d3eebacked Over63c23.81$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151030%3 W · 7 L-3.0wins-0.30per pick60cpaid-42.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc727…adc2backed Over71c23$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.332462.5%15 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+17.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x686f…19febacked Over71c22.54$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1610%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0068…d7b0backed Over71c22$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.623234.4%11 W · 21 L-6.0wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-34.4%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x8975…ffe6backed Over52c21.27$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.061266.7%8 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick69cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67ec…06aabacked Over71c20$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.22254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2643…28c2backed Over52c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.43243.8%14 W · 18 L-3.3wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe8bd…8deabacked Over70c20$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143438.2%13 W · 21 L-4.6wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-28.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x13a4…581ebacked Over71c17$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.071838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.8wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-27.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x711d…fe4bbacked Over71c17$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.072040%8 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-23.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4918…3db7backed Over71c15$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.652948.3%14 W · 15 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.