NBA · resolved market
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 228.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4ca4aa1bdee6982c010225fc4911be46c0836b22b309b8d9792220350deb696a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $177,035
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $170,980
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $177,035 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd43c…04e8backed Under | 39c | 71,755$27,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,757.57 | 115 | 35.7%41 W · 74 L | -12.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 57c | 30,653$17,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,348.57 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x869b…c625backed Over | 53c | 30,330$15,978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,978.19 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +6.3wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa117…a311backed Over | 61c | 29,003$17,692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,691.58 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Under | 47c | 27,329$12,918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,411.03 | 246 | 50%123 W · 123 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Over | 61c | 27,006$16,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,473.79 | 267 | 53.2%142 W · 125 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Under | 47c | 24,000$11,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,610 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 40c | 12,098$4,846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,252.28 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 52c | 8,396$4,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,364.51 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 40c | 4,661$1,864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,796.6 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Under | 40c | 4,340$1,732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,608.1 | 483 | 47.2%228 W · 255 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1313…85d8backed Over | 64c | 4,300$2,752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,752 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd65d…a9e6backed Under | 48c | 4,150$1,992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,158 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 64c | 3,865$2,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,398.21 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 54c | 2,996$1,605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,604.66 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Over | 53c | 2,541$1,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,344.47 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe403…3d50backed Under | 40c | 2,234$893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,340.56 | 547 | 47.5%260 W · 287 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d6…34e3backed Under | 39c | 2,199$861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,337.83 | 205 | 42.9%88 W · 117 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 56c | 2,155$1,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,213.7 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x773c…cf18backed Under | 47c | 2,149$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,138.94 | 184 | 48.9%90 W · 94 L | -13.3wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Under | 36c | 2,144$764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,379.47 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x336a…1915backed Under | 46c | 2,036$942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,093.92 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8013…5b52backed Under | 36c | 1,650$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056 | 175 | 54.9%96 W · 79 L | +15.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 62c | 1,454$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 462 | 58.2%269 W · 193 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Under | 40c | 1,400$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$846.99 | 491 | 42.6%209 W · 282 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a94…822cbacked Under | 48c | 950$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494 | 213 | 55.9%119 W · 94 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae53…d80bbacked Over | 61c | 850$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.5 | 409 | 52.1%213 W · 196 L | +16.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Over | 54c | 817.62$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.51 | 193 | 51.3%99 W · 94 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 52c | 800$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Over | 47c | 781.31$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.26 | 191 | 35.6%68 W · 123 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Under | 48c | 664.2$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.38 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 26c | 550.13$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.81 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50f7…3da2backed Over | 65c | 487.09$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.61 | 177 | 53.1%94 W · 83 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba4…8a89backed Under | 40c | 449.99$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc17f…50aabacked Under | 40c | 413.34$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248 | 240 | 48.3%116 W · 124 L | -13.4wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Under | 40c | 400$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Over | 56c | 386.43$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.85 | 526 | 43%226 W · 300 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20c2…895fbacked Over | 68c | 320.59$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -3.5wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 61c | 300$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f27…6ea7backed Over | 61c | 300$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183 | 141 | 45.4%64 W · 77 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 36c | 294.16$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.29 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f7…c4e5backed Under | 36c | 280$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.2 | 156 | 56.4%88 W · 68 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x243c…9ae0backed Over | 61c | 255$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.55 | 383 | 47%180 W · 203 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Over | 62c | 250$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 10c | 250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 43c | 208.68$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.2 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Over | 5c | 200.01$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 679 | 21.4%145 W · 534 L | +32.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb07…0769backed Over | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x919d…60e1backed Under | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 46c | 194.87$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.3 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x474b…c5b1backed Over | 61c | 164.05$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.07 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5698…dd7cbacked Over | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c21…6ce6backed Over | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16e6…dc3dbacked Over | 65c | 154.05$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 12c | 143$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddb…420bbacked Over | 61c | 130$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.3 | 294 | 58.5%172 W · 122 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Under | 45c | 120$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0b…9672backed Over | 17c | 110.37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 98 | 28.6%28 W · 70 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09e3…cf81backed Over | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 189 | 55%104 W · 85 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 36c | 95$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.52 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c6c…ce09backed Over | 69c | 72.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 128 | 65.6%84 W · 44 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Under | 36c | 69.13$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.2 | 938 | 49.7%466 W · 472 L | +36.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Under | 38c | 65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.35 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf5…5948backed Over | 65c | 61$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.65 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 61c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…241bbacked Under | 40c | 45$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Under | 51c | 42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.58 | 339 | 49.9%169 W · 170 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Under | 47c | 34$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.02 | 500 | 47.2%236 W · 264 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec1…dd29backed Over | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 225 | 56.9%128 W · 97 L | +12.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x631e…a121backed Under | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b68…a4abbacked Over | 61c | 26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b5…e049backed Under | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 92 | 37%34 W · 58 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over | 61c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 52c | 19.98$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2a…cde8backed Over | 61c | 18.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.42 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 45cpaid | -66%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3179…3d2abacked Over | 60c | 18.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c47…6951backed Over | 69c | 16.04$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 228.5this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-5.5)Spurs won
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-6.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-11.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-9.5)Spurs won
- Spurs vs. ThunderSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 115.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 116.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 118.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 119.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 120.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 224.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 225.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 226.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 227.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 229.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 230.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 231.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 232.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.