NBA · resolved market
Spread: Thunder (-11.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf58c65bfb1cc5d2b776f7180ae4960e87ecc5db114d717f4e1ca514719599bcd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spursof Thunder, Spurs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $341,732
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $353,704
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $341,732 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 137 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Spurs | 51c | 107,918$54,946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52,971.43 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Thunder | 48c | 101,651$49,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,000.11 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb744…5210backed Thunder | 49c | 84,351$41,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,277.75 | 154 | 43.5%67 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Spurs | 51c | 66,544$34,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,468.86 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Spurs | 53c | 30,106$15,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,252.99 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Spurs | 51c | 30,000$15,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,699.99 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x245b…00c5backed Thunder | 46c | 20,078$9,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,234.99 | 140 | 52.1%73 W · 67 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Thunder | 50c | 19,122$9,561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,560.91 | 403 | 50.1%202 W · 201 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Spurs | 52c | 15,740$8,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,555.2 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2734…6d9ebacked Spurs | 54c | 12,963$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,962.96 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Thunder | 49c | 10,204$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Spurs | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,800 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Thunder | 47c | 8,234$3,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,870 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Thunder | 49c | 7,755$3,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,800 | 123 | 41.5%51 W · 72 L | -8.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Thunder | 49c | 7,143$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Thunder | 47c | 6,745$3,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,167.36 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Spurs | 54c | 6,521$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,020.52 | 310 | 44.8%139 W · 171 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed Thunder | 49c | 5,345$2,596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,596.1 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Thunder | 47c | 5,145$2,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,417.93 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Thunder | 50c | 5,050$2,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,525.16 | 363 | 51.2%186 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Thunder | 45c | 4,279$1,945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,944.83 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x535b…25a9backed Thunder | 49c | 4,082$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 125 | 55.2%69 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Thunder | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,880 | 483 | 47.2%228 W · 255 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa45d…b413backed Spurs | 50c | 3,708$1,854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,854.16 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Thunder | 48c | 3,452$1,662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,661.87 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x188c…c62bbacked Thunder | 48c | 3,249$1,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,550 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3f…3446backed Spurs | 51c | 2,620$1,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,279.12 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Spurs | 53c | 2,442$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,142.35 | 419 | 54.4%228 W · 191 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Spurs | 52c | 2,292$1,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,088.84 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Spurs | 52c | 2,228$1,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,069.44 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Thunder | 50c | 2,014$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,002.1 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8e…b232backed Spurs | 53c | 1,886$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.42 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc87b…51d4backed Spurs | 58c | 1,885$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784.71 | 210 | 55.2%116 W · 94 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7591…9829backed Spurs | 54c | 1,654$893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760.96 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Spurs | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705 | 517 | 53.8%278 W · 239 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6de…95e8backed Thunder | 45c | 1,200$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.98 | 230 | 47%108 W · 122 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Thunder | 1c | 1,191$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.74 | 679 | 21.4%145 W · 534 L | +32.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68bf…3e67backed Thunder | 55c | 999.99$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | -6.9wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Spurs | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.54 | 656 | 49.2%323 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9d…992bbacked Thunder | 48c | 833.33$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 118 | 34.7%41 W · 77 L | -9.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x85e2…0980backed Thunder | 64c | 625$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03fc…a8e6backed Spurs | 47c | 609.09$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.09 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +44%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb1…0812backed Spurs | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fdecbacked Spurs | 52c | 600$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 185 | 56.8%105 W · 80 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…1124backed Spurs | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.92 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Thunder | 48c | 572.07$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.65 | 526 | 43%226 W · 300 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…2d1abacked Spurs | 53c | 563.19$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.19 | 489 | 57.5%281 W · 208 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a33…2534backed Spurs | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Spurs | 53c | 449.45$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.24 | 267 | 53.2%142 W · 125 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Thunder | 48c | 443.5$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.87 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Spurs | 52c | 434.62$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.62 | 623 | 47.5%296 W · 327 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf2…06c2backed Spurs | 52c | 431.46$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.1 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Thunder | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6512…5291backed Thunder | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9519…3b2ebacked Thunder | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 178 | 56.2%100 W · 78 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf457…d1a6backed Thunder | 49c | 406$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -3.9wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Spurs | 52c | 400$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 910 | 50.9%463 W · 447 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Thunder | 48c | 374.04$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.35 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf193…9838backed Spurs | 54c | 370.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.88 | 92 | 41.3%38 W · 54 L | -8.9wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4192…7f00backed Spurs | 55c | 363.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.47 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…1121backed Spurs | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 909 | 57.6%524 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9776…fc56backed Spurs | 54c | 305.61$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.61 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44a0…c3b9backed Thunder | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 275 | 47.6%131 W · 144 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51e6…80d2backed Spurs | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd00…7a45backed Spurs | 54c | 277.87$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 380 | 50.8%193 W · 187 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f16…0246backed Thunder | 75c | 264.93$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 386 | 49.5%191 W · 195 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Spurs | 11c | 264.2$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.14 | 390 | 18.2%71 W · 319 L | +27.6wins | +0.07per pick | 11cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…8927backed Spurs | 50c | 250$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x623c…dde0backed Spurs | 71c | 248.67$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.92 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Thunder | 48c | 247$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.56 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f2…1415backed Thunder | 50c | 234.29$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ff…f3f3backed Spurs | 53c | 213.19$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.2 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb376…f6a0backed Spurs | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9527…928dbacked Thunder | 56c | 212.43$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffb2…3bb5backed Spurs | 54c | 209.35$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.3 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Thunder | 47c | 208$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.76 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Thunder | 39c | 194.59$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.11 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ba…f30dbacked Spurs | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb545…6e0abacked Thunder | 33c | 181.62$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 175 | 27.4%48 W · 127 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9038…f74cbacked Spurs | 54c | 179.63$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.63 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb589…33d4backed Spurs | 21c | 172.79$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.5 | 353 | 26.6%94 W · 259 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +31%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57bc…d82dbacked Spurs | 56c | 172.59$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.94 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Thunder | 48c | 166.67$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 660 | 46.8%309 W · 351 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7de6…cad1backed Spurs | 53c | 149.99$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe44a…c4f8backed Spurs | 52c | 148.8$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.42 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa32…58dcbacked Thunder | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9202…8ef9backed Spurs | 53c | 141.51$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.51 | 136 | 46.3%63 W · 73 L | -10.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0495…c68fbacked Spurs | 56c | 130$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.2 | 113 | 46%52 W · 61 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0b…9672backed Thunder | 32c | 115.71$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.53 | 98 | 28.6%28 W · 70 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb568…14d4backed Spurs | 80c | 113.67$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.82 | 277 | 47.7%132 W · 145 L | -20.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0b4b…14e2backed Spurs | 55c | 109.09$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.09 | 235 | 47.7%112 W · 123 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b23…e20fbacked Thunder | 47c | 107$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.29 | 499 | 38.9%194 W · 305 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked Thunder | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 310 | 55.5%172 W · 138 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x265b…74dfbacked Thunder | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f6…5ac8backed Thunder | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd28…2aefbacked Thunder | 49c | 101.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.55 | 314 | 30.3%95 W · 219 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Thunder | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 617 | 47.8%295 W · 322 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64c6…244cbacked Spurs | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -11.3wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Thunder | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 388 | 45.6%177 W · 211 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Spurs | 52c | 95.12$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.59 | 1,109 | 41.8%464 W · 645 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Thunder (-11.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-5.5)Spurs won
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-6.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-9.5)Spurs won
- Spurs vs. ThunderSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 115.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 116.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 118.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 119.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 120.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 224.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 225.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 226.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 227.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 228.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 229.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 230.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 231.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 232.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.