NBA · resolved market
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 227.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0631a35532aff3fd67abf55e84092ff0c63490af78c9833ba57da70e0c8bac92
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,326
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,086
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,326 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 49c | 4,265$2,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,176.31 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa849…c825backed Over | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470 | 166 | 41%68 W · 98 L | -12.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Under | 33c | 2,750$903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,846.25 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc87b…51d4backed Over | 68c | 2,266$1,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,536.54 | 210 | 55.2%116 W · 94 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 60c | 1,887$1,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.12 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 64c | 1,566$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 52c | 1,377$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.3 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a1…2974backed Over | 25c | 1,300$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 173 | 31.8%55 W · 118 L | -8.0wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d6…34e3backed Under | 53c | 1,166$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.02 | 205 | 42.9%88 W · 117 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Under | 37c | 682.91$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.14 | 679 | 21.4%145 W · 534 L | +32.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Over | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Over | 53c | 374.07$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68bf…3e67backed Under | 52c | 336.19$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.37 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | -6.9wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeabf…97e5backed Over | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Under | 51c | 293.04$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.59 | 500 | 47.2%236 W · 264 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Over | 43c | 275.51$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.1 | 191 | 35.6%68 W · 123 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 35c | 247$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.86 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe47b…1b4bbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 357 | 39.8%142 W · 215 L | -25.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Under | 64c | 156.96$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.01 | 526 | 43%226 W · 300 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf247…e269backed Over | 48c | 150$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 247 | 31.2%77 W · 170 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 48c | 130$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.6 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…ecf3backed Under | 34c | 129$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.14 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x216f…9b1ebacked Under | 34c | 92$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.72 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 55c | 90$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Over | 52c | 86.54$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 364 | 50.8%185 W · 179 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 41c | 86.19$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.06 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 41c | 80.33$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.27 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0b…9672backed Over | 18c | 74.64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.39 | 98 | 28.6%28 W · 70 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbb…1594backed Under | 35c | 71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4f…73a6backed Over | 66c | 47$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.02 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08a7…e161backed Over | 66c | 47$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.02 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Under | 33c | 45.05$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.05 | 938 | 49.7%466 W · 472 L | +36.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…9ffabacked Over | 65c | 40.15$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60dc…9a3ebacked Over | 66c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +4.3wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfcba…d962backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -7.9wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d8…c8c0backed Under | 35c | 39$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.35 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 66c | 38.84$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 415 | 56.9%236 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ee…5d12backed Over | 65c | 38$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87e8…5e6ebacked Over | 66c | 37.88$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 167 | 43.7%73 W · 94 L | -16.6wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x48a9…0d53backed Under | 34c | 37$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.42 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e85…d253backed Over | 65c | 33$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.45 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd851…9305backed Under | 34c | 31$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.46 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 50c | 30.18$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f41…5cb3backed Under | 35c | 29$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.85 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb7…8745backed Over | 66c | 28$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa60c…b395backed Over | 66c | 27$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb780…e7a2backed Over | 66c | 25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda03…7f8cbacked Over | 66c | 24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8358…956bbacked Over | 65c | 24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc21f…5530backed Under | 76c | 14.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 227.5this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-5.5)Spurs won
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-6.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-11.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-9.5)Spurs won
- Spurs vs. ThunderSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 115.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 116.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 118.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 119.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 120.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 224.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 225.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 226.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 228.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 229.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 230.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 231.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 232.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.