TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Other European Leagues · resolved market

Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2025-12-15?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$176,998
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$199,032

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $176,998 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No16c15,503$2,423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,423.448651.2%44 W · 42 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No4c14,496$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517.167,88945.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L+11.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed No22c12,123$2,609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,609.440%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No19c7,908$1,526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,525.752,13045.8%975 W · 1,155 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90e0…ff4cbacked No0c3,948$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.38717%5 W · 66 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-89.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No19c3,859$733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$733.292,17948%1,046 W · 1,133 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes79c2,787$2,205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$582.4339637.1%147 W · 249 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c82…1f13backed Yes78c2,750$2,145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$605366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+12.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No20c2,054$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.762536%9 W · 16 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick29cpaid+2.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf18b…51b9backed Yes80c2,000$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.973050%15 W · 15 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e00…eb46backed No21c1,837$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.783342.4%14 W · 19 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-20.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No19c1,799$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.8385340.1%342 W · 511 L-12.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x31ac…392cbacked No20c1,750$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed No19c1,661$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.614841.7%20 W · 28 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-21.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd07…6bb7backed No1c1,400$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141915.8%3 W · 16 L-4.8wins-0.25per pick41cpaid-57.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed No20c1,354$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.458535.3%30 W · 55 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick29cpaid+26%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No19c1,283$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.381,09850.5%554 W · 544 L-36.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No20c1,209$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.581,40129.2%409 W · 992 L-32.2wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed No4c1,120$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.519241.7%80 W · 112 L-12.2wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-25.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0ab1…7df3backed Yes79c1,109$876 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.962157.1%12 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick67cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Yes79c1,033$816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.911100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked No19c948.44$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.6429425.9%76 W · 218 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0a0…35cdbacked Yes80c716.25$571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.2114949%73 W · 76 L-9.4wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-0.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xff63…5aa1backed No23c704.05$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.22per pick40cpaid+33.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1e2b…a74cbacked No20c641.98$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.96812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.19per pick32cpaid-60.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes78c638.3$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.7467050.6%339 W · 331 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x380c…1099backed Yes80c636.04$509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.3225263.5%160 W · 92 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes78c583.76$458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.191,44151.1%736 W · 705 L-16.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x187b…f545backed No19c571$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.493644.4%16 W · 20 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x98e9…8dbebacked Yes80c510.43$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.093444.1%15 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc64a…74c0backed No20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002540%10 W · 15 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-37.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9714…3014backed Yes79c499.94$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.992055%11 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No20c469.48$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.791,15960.7%703 W · 456 L+68.5wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5942…5641backed No21c408$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.755435.2%19 W · 35 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9de5…e8f5backed Yes80c400.1$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.027100%7 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+40.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xae75…e41cbacked Yes80c388.72$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.91250%6 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf43…ae9abacked Yes80c375.27$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.051770.6%12 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick70cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2104…82d7backed Yes80c375$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7513362.4%83 W · 50 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x26ae…97b8backed No21c364.95$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.5815162.3%94 W · 57 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x58e4…73f9backed Yes79c316.46$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.46475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe92e…0a8dbacked No21c308.72$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.26217.7%11 W · 51 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick21cpaid-22.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked No21c299.95$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.9921044.8%94 W · 116 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No15c288.07$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4318143.6%79 W · 102 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked No23c266.57$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.3657019.8%113 W · 457 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick21cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1326…2803backed Yes77c259.74$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.742055%11 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x873a…2066backed No14c246.39$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.663145.2%14 W · 17 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-24.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7aba…7442backed Yes79c215.74$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.2683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick65cpaid+30.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3ae9…74acbacked No12c200$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+11.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd2f…37ddbacked No20c200$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401315.4%2 W · 11 L-3.1wins-0.24per pick40cpaid-65.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x74d7…6beabacked No21c200$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421414.3%2 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick25cpaid-66.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9fa6…0b3bbacked No20c200$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-34.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No8c195.64$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5651140.9%209 W · 302 L-12.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-22.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa7b7…0adbbacked No19c194.48$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.955450%27 W · 27 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes78c192$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.245438.9%21 W · 33 L-5.4wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-20.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xea68…ff92backed Yes78c188.51$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.472875%21 W · 7 L+2.6wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+11.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b9e…db57backed Yes80c183.06$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.611369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+15.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed No22c181.82$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-36.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x86de…4f4ebacked Yes79c180$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.83100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+42.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x22b2…e7cfbacked Yes80c160.44$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.212360.9%14 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2ef…c56bbacked Yes80c147.5$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.52100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+37%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a05…0329backed No20c140.72$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.67955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-14%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9da…1ec7backed Yes80c129.35$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.881586.7%13 W · 2 L+2.8wins+0.19per pick68cpaid+31.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0e41…36f2backed Yes80c126.93$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.3923256.9%132 W · 100 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x566e…1340backed No20c125.3$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.433545.7%16 W · 19 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d33…3701backed Yes80c125$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1838…6ba8backed Yes80c125$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252356.5%13 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2085…dd27backed Yes80c125$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257142.3%30 W · 41 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8a3…a380backed No21c124$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.043339.4%13 W · 20 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddd7…1596backed No20c117.82$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.932860.7%17 W · 11 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+8.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc4f…5c00backed Yes80c113.5$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.98475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick64cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes79c106$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.3429742.8%127 W · 170 L-10.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x62d0…27d9backed No20c101.5$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.5425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-65%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a29…16c5backed Yes79c101.27$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.2732051.9%166 W · 154 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb82b…3a09backed No22c100$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222832.1%9 W · 19 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked No20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202227.3%6 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-40.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes79c96.2$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.222349.3%110 W · 113 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfca6…9553backed No20c93.8$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1120%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed No23c87$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0149528.7%142 W · 353 L-0.6wins0.00per pick29cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4130…a35bbacked No21c82$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.222751.9%14 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid-0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a26…5cb2backed Yes80c81.25$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.25862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a8e…5593backed Yes80c75$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f3c…615dbacked Yes80c71.13$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.231376.9%10 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.16per pick61cpaid+18.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x241e…2de2backed Yes80c71.09$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.225100%5 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+46.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1889…0714backed No20c70$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1416953.8%91 W · 78 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed No21c68.99$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4921755.3%120 W · 97 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4dc…d394backed No22c67$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.742944.8%13 W · 16 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd14…5ab9backed No22c65$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.33641.7%15 W · 21 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5699…418dbacked Yes77c64.94$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.945160.8%31 W · 20 L-4.2wins-0.08per pick69cpaid-11.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3138…b523backed Yes79c63.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.293171%22 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+17.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3609…3a0bbacked Yes79c62.64$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.993372.7%24 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick69cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc32e…203dbacked Yes80c62.5$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.52166.7%14 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+27.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d7a…d0d1backed No20c57.98$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8830%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1401…0707backed No21c55.91$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.64450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+25.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes79c50.63$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.6321256.6%120 W · 92 L-10.2wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-5.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d29…5111backed Yes78c50$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111346.2%6 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.19per pick65cpaid-37.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x25b6…4fcfbacked Yes80c50$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x373a…668abacked Yes78c49$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.781154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-21.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01fa…c2edbacked Yes79c46.2$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.7475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+22.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0251…e693backed Yes79c45.04$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.462100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10b5…4d41backed Yes79c44.3$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.32142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid+27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.