Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Konyaspor win on 2025-12-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x09b076223574e9dd17827164e85659ef0e3f73edb3fdc115f34e1b6e3322a87c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $80,118
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $82,427
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,118 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 9c | 24,693$2,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,156.45 | 396 | 37.1%147 W · 249 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 9c | 16,756$1,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,492.5 | 297 | 42.8%127 W · 170 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…edaabacked Yes | 4c | 2,479$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.79 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 4cpaid | +300%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 7c | 2,430$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.12 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Yes | 7c | 1,249$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.43 | 85 | 35.3%30 W · 55 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d11…6096backed Yes | 7c | 1,100$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeecc…6930backed Yes | 2c | 633.14$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.32 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 7c | 543.93$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.76 | 490 | 46.9%230 W · 260 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…3a09backed Yes | 8c | 499.94$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 4c | 375$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 242 | 42.1%102 W · 140 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdedc…8bcabacked Yes | 7c | 242.86$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62d0…27d9backed Yes | 7c | 240$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -65%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9c…0aa3backed Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed Yes | 7c | 150$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 9c | 149.47$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 570 | 19.8%113 W · 457 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ec…819dbacked Yes | 8c | 130.05$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -19%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 28c | 61$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.92 | 511 | 40.9%209 W · 302 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2382…4628backed No | 28c | 60$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b0e…7e25backed Yes | 27c | 45.54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Konyaspor win on 2025-12-15?this page
- Will Fenerbahçe SK vs. Konyaspor end in a draw?No won
- Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2025-12-15?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.