Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
North Alabama Lions vs. San Francisco Dons
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3198b4de3ed820c92829193ef071bf1f4b980219c161cbf9f84bf06c79ca73f0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- North Alabama Lionsof North Alabama Lions, San Francisco Dons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,767
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,341
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,767 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked San Francisco Dons | 65c | 7,123$4,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,665.51 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked North Alabama Lions | 5c | 4,890$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,645.16 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked San Francisco Dons | 70c | 2,424$1,688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,688.33 | 231 | 58.9%136 W · 95 L | +23.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa7e0…f075backed North Alabama Lions | 21c | 1,378$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,082.98 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +42%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed North Alabama Lions | 13c | 1,150$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.5 | 161 | 35.4%57 W · 104 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed North Alabama Lions | 40c | 1,055$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.71 | 154 | 42.9%66 W · 88 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed North Alabama Lions | 28c | 890.23$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.23 | 239 | 41.4%99 W · 140 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bdb…a90dbacked North Alabama Lions | 13c | 888$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775.89 | 149 | 25.5%38 W · 111 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked San Francisco Dons | 73c | 853$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.14 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e2…0f82backed North Alabama Lions | 25c | 801.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.62 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | +6.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked North Alabama Lions | 14c | 650$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559 | 170 | 51.2%87 W · 83 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa72e…3db9backed North Alabama Lions | 58c | 517.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.24 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed San Francisco Dons | 42c | 451.91$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.56 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae9…74acbacked North Alabama Lions | 38c | 410.58$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.71 | 159 | 39%62 W · 97 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb04…6df9backed San Francisco Dons | 25c | 394.81$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec7a…a1f2backed North Alabama Lions | 62c | 355.68$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.68 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed North Alabama Lions | 44c | 330.74$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.73 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef34…86b2backed North Alabama Lions | 31c | 325.74$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.74 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0306…dcf6backed San Francisco Dons | 46c | 299.99$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.99 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed San Francisco Dons | 63c | 228.39$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.29 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed North Alabama Lions | 9c | 222$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.02 | 658 | 25.7%169 W · 489 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab3…5fa4backed North Alabama Lions | 32c | 221.7$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.68 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed San Francisco Dons | 58c | 171.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 176 | 47.2%83 W · 93 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd08…0635backed San Francisco Dons | 73c | 150$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.8 | 78 | 64.1%50 W · 28 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80ce…2972backed San Francisco Dons | 69c | 138.06$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.78 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5f…7e6fbacked North Alabama Lions | 16c | 125$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a05…0329backed San Francisco Dons | 74c | 110$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.41 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…b646backed San Francisco Dons | 39c | 109.74$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.8 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed San Francisco Dons | 78c | 109.71$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.7 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x499d…65ecbacked North Alabama Lions | 74c | 107.12$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.18 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54bf…0eb3backed San Francisco Dons | 76c | 104.08$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.1 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.39per pick | 59cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8a…c4e7backed North Alabama Lions | 42c | 70.17$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x905f…ad6bbacked San Francisco Dons | 78c | 69.69$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.02 | 23 | 91.3%21 W · 2 L | +4.1wins | +0.18per pick | 73cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ee…373ebacked North Alabama Lions | 23c | 66.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.3 | 134 | 56.7%76 W · 58 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…5f8ebacked North Alabama Lions | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 74cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedfd…1432backed North Alabama Lions | 28c | 63.27$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.27 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb379…0ff3backed San Francisco Dons | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff9…e494backed North Alabama Lions | 26c | 57.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.05 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 35cpaid | +88.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bae…61b8backed North Alabama Lions | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6709…385bbacked North Alabama Lions | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 66cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed North Alabama Lions | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 391 | 44.5%174 W · 217 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed North Alabama Lions | 55c | 41$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.38 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed North Alabama Lions | 62c | 40.39$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.19 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cff…6471backed North Alabama Lions | 58c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12c1…3c0abacked San Francisco Dons | 73c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.