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Premier League · resolved market

Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-12-03?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$629,849
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$755,976

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $629,849 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 345 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet's whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x68dd…f0b2backed Yes57c111,007$62,991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48,015.9560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed No45c49,981$22,491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,491.448940.4%36 W · 53 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes56c45,000$25,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,80033048.2%159 W · 171 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes57c44,864$25,399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,464.961,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc16b…8404backed No44c44,776$19,701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,701.342661.5%16 W · 10 L+4.0wins+0.15per pick46cpaid+30.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes57c24,394$13,808 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,585.81,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9665…e721backed No44c18,032$7,879 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,878.94643.5%20 W · 26 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd54…b245backed No43c17,725$7,622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,621.662540%10 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-23.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeb4a…4ef5backed No44c17,660$7,770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,770.35933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked No43c16,263$6,993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,992.9115344.4%68 W · 85 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Yes56c15,000$8,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,6007147.9%34 W · 37 L-5.4wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed No44c14,194$6,245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,245.2324846.8%116 W · 132 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked No43c14,000$6,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,02035941.5%149 W · 210 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked No54c13,174$7,135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,134.7929253.4%156 W · 136 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+30%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd776…ffebbacked No44c11,860$5,218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,218.398853.4%47 W · 41 L+9.4wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+28.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x78ad…45ccbacked No45c11,386$5,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,119.9210962.4%68 W · 41 L+0.2wins0.00per pick62cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed No44c10,775$4,741 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,741.1627750.9%141 W · 136 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc478…d2e2backed Yes56c7,837$4,388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,448.14348.8%21 W · 22 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3eac…4c8cbacked No44c6,627$2,916 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,915.9510849.1%53 W · 55 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No34c6,543$2,217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,217.461,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No45c5,311$2,411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,410.996,22545.6%2,836 W · 3,389 L-34.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No43c4,902$2,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,110.471,27250.4%641 W · 631 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x886a…1ee3backed Yes56c4,816$2,697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,119.071100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b08…09b6backed No44c4,808$2,115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,115.4110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No43c4,510$1,928 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,927.811,00646.6%469 W · 537 L-20.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No44c4,419$1,944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,944.3630851.3%158 W · 150 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf36…e383backed No44c4,000$1,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,76010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d8f…731cbacked Yes56c4,000$2,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7601100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed No44c4,000$1,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,759.9920448.5%99 W · 105 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No44c4,000$1,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,759.9490751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No44c3,802$1,682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,682.321,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Yes55c3,045$1,675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,370.0525551.8%132 W · 123 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No43c3,000$1,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,29037054.9%203 W · 167 L+15.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x20da…e704backed No18c2,778$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5009111%10 W · 81 L-7.4wins-0.08per pick19cpaid-46%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes78c2,584$2,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$581.361,17657.4%675 W · 501 L+40.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbcc4…5a7abacked No44c2,511$1,105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,104.8420%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes48c2,333$1,126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,206.862,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed No45c2,256$1,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,01553534.2%183 W · 352 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No43c2,195$947 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$947.2250649.8%252 W · 254 L+1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x201c…58bfbacked Yes57c2,000$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8603855.3%21 W · 17 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed No43c1,939$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$840.2642048.6%204 W · 216 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Yes56c1,784$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$784.9324047.5%114 W · 126 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x63fa…7ea4backed Yes56c1,563$875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$687.52240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick51cpaid+43.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc23d…5a2ebacked Yes56c1,561$874 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$686.84366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick33cpaid+83%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed Yes56c1,450$812 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63811945.4%54 W · 65 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Yes55c1,334$734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600.3579650.8%404 W · 392 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc5fa…5b59backed Yes54c1,219$658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$560.942250%11 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed Yes57c1,200$684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51632758.4%191 W · 136 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe045…c149backed No43c1,170$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.13850%19 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe071…f836backed Yes54c1,164$632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.6316453.7%88 W · 76 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes54c1,100$589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.944,89241.5%2,028 W · 2,864 L+25.4wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-15%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb6b…7b61backed Yes54c1,100$594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5064658.7%27 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2885…486cbacked No44c1,096$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.485431.5%17 W · 37 L-6.7wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-32.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No43c1,092$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473.241,22440%490 W · 734 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked No43c1,086$467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$467.0521965.3%143 W · 76 L+20.8wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+19%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed No49c1,056$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51511346%52 W · 61 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed No44c1,042$463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463.0340150.1%201 W · 200 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Yes57c1,015$579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.499846.9%46 W · 52 L+0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Yes55c1,000$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4509055.6%50 W · 40 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8dd…ec86backed No45c1,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4502245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-17.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3859…3070backed Yes48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5206833.8%23 W · 45 L-6.8wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-23.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed No43c1,000$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43041453.6%222 W · 192 L+12.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed No20c1,000$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19525836%93 W · 165 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid+1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed No43c998.62$431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$430.5837036.2%134 W · 236 L-18.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed No47c995$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$467.6541437.9%157 W · 257 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes49c933.37$457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$476.0229044.8%130 W · 160 L-1.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes56c899.71$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.269042.2%291 W · 399 L+13.5wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb72b…f4e0backed Yes57c877.19$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.195841.4%24 W · 34 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Yes55c865.98$476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.6921656.9%123 W · 93 L+14.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x919d…60e1backed No45c800$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3602661.5%16 W · 10 L+2.6wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+21.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes58c782$453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.871,20450.7%610 W · 594 L+1.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5675…f99cbacked Yes58c750$435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3155743.9%25 W · 32 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0bae…55b5backed Yes58c750$433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.58742.5%37 W · 50 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc47f…94b4backed Yes56c714.29$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.291442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-21.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd71a…9498backed No44c697.36$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.842552%13 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9678…b4bfbacked Yes57c618.73$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.736435.9%23 W · 41 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x216a…9380backed Yes51c592.59$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.592352.2%12 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e4e…05ccbacked Yes56c587$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf51…4b53backed Yes56c577.29$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.012544%11 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+20.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9c95…ed41backed No44c568$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.925635.7%20 W · 36 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe81c…a724backed Yes56c535.71$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.71944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0dd6…5f62backed No47c532.05$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.0611161.3%68 W · 43 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed No44c500$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22021839.4%86 W · 132 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f7a…db40backed No45c500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2253542.9%15 W · 20 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked No45c500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22531452.9%166 W · 148 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb3…f37fbacked No44c481.96$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.6415764.3%101 W · 56 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c67…63fcbacked No45c474.46$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.259555.8%53 W · 42 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-2.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked No44c454$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.7636956.9%210 W · 159 L+20.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked No46c453.99$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.712020.8%25 W · 95 L-9.0wins-0.07per pick28cpaid-39.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes49c452.11$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.1486748.7%422 W · 445 L-12.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ee1…e2bbbacked No45c444.44$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20023741.8%99 W · 138 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c9b…e74abacked No45c444.44$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20024648.8%120 W · 126 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes56c441$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.0436945.8%169 W · 200 L-0.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid+7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x705a…1678backed Yes48c416.44$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.55560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+41.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x35b9…1d44backed No44c400$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17613641.9%57 W · 79 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x537e…63ccbacked No44c400$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2a2…d5e9backed Yes56c392.68$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.785944.1%26 W · 33 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c0a…85e3backed Yes55c363.64$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.642751.9%14 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.09per pick61cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x22a5…6895backed Yes56c363$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6281…53afbacked Yes56c357.14$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.147339.7%29 W · 44 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
  • The position was at least $10.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.