Premier League · resolved market
Will Burnley FC vs. Crystal Palace end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdcd848fdae68f9efc6f710421b0f890c5b14de599fd5ff0da2723d4dc1647770
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,311
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,041
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,311 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 15c | 26,078$4,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,039 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed No | 69c | 5,049$3,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,586 | 111 | 62.2%69 W · 42 L | +10.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 24c | 2,025$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486 | 466 | 51.9%242 W · 224 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed No | 74c | 2,000$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.98 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked No | 73c | 1,788$1,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.68 | 153 | 44.4%68 W · 85 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 26c | 1,667$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.57 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd96…e623backed Yes | 14c | 1,435$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.09 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 26c | 1,186$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.04 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 13c | 1,073$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.97 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Yes | 34c | 1,063$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.37 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf515…0805backed Yes | 26c | 769.23$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 84 | 48.8%41 W · 43 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe045…c149backed No | 75c | 680$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 75c | 645$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.25 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 26c | 570.02$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.05 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b6…cfe5backed Yes | 20c | 311.36$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.13 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +4.3wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x154b…4917backed No | 74c | 307.34$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.83 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 19c | 283.84$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.7 | 845 | 49%414 W · 431 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe351…e48dbacked No | 74c | 265.46$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.02 | 153 | 50.3%77 W · 76 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84b2…f1dabacked Yes | 25c | 244$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 101 | 39.6%40 W · 61 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbda…6b69backed Yes | 26c | 221$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 24c | 212$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.96 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d65…7d4abacked Yes | 26c | 192.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 25c | 184.38$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.04 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Yes | 25c | 182.49$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.62 | 370 | 36.2%134 W · 236 L | -18.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 78c | 152.99$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.49 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x426a…128bbacked Yes | 18c | 150.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.7 | 139 | 41%57 W · 82 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bd5…8971backed Yes | 18c | 150$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +171.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9de2…3adbbacked No | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Yes | 27c | 129.63$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 193 | 36.8%71 W · 122 L | -14.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3776…73c1backed Yes | 25c | 120$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfba8…8d3cbacked Yes | 26c | 106.82$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.36 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…3a09backed No | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4702…457fbacked Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 73c | 93.75$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.31 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa26e…d280backed Yes | 27c | 92.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 100 | 31%31 W · 69 L | -8.4wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -12%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Yes | 21c | 90.16$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2885…486cbacked No | 74c | 80.77$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | -6.7wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed No | 74c | 77.18$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.07 | 292 | 59.2%173 W · 119 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf581…0892backed Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.26per pick | 53cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 422 | 40.3%170 W · 252 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0102…8b43backed No | 74c | 75$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.25 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 67c | 74.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 227 | 64.8%147 W · 80 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 26c | 69$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ddb…44c4backed No | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 76cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4da1…40cfbacked Yes | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5485…231cbacked Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0613…5204backed Yes | 27c | 51.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked No | 75c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2822…741dbacked Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed Yes | 24c | 49.19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 274 | 54%148 W · 126 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8249…01a8backed Yes | 32c | 46.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef4…a780backed Yes | 33c | 45.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 76c | 41.5$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9620…5052backed No | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08c1…ee09backed Yes | 26c | 39.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…5bd8backed No | 70c | 32.19$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…ba55backed No | 74c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.42 | 229 | 61.6%141 W · 88 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb15e…5111backed No | 74c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.42 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed No | 74c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.42 | 401 | 57.6%231 W · 170 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x566e…1340backed No | 74c | 18.46$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.73 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x098f…47cdbacked No | 76c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.36 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Burnley FC vs. Crystal Palace end in a draw?this page
- Will Burnley FC win on 2025-12-03?No won
- Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-12-03?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.