Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Heroic vs Team Tidebound (BO1)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd28d4d90d7509c8527bd7e4118625b5db02442f80edb05d3d6d6b5feaf7a67c9

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Heroicof Heroic, Team Tidebound
Resolved: Nov 28, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $117,835
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $135,793

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $117,835 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 151 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Dota2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x2586…f071backed Team Tidebound	1c	10,500$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105	344	68.9%237 W · 107 L	+26.3wins	+0.08per pick	61cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Team Tidebound	44c	10,000$4,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,399.99	26	34.6%9 W · 17 L	-2.4wins	-0.09per pick	44cpaid	-22.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2307…3934backed Heroic	56c	9,163$5,131 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,031.78	228	48.2%110 W · 118 L	-4.1wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Team Tidebound	26c	8,814$2,249 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,248.51	2,012	44.2%889 W · 1,123 L	+36.6wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Team Tidebound	1c	5,000$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	804	43.9%353 W · 451 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-11%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb569…5695backed Team Tidebound	53c	3,848$2,027 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,027.04	190	47.9%91 W · 99 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xac0d…b006backed Heroic	56c	3,665$2,041 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,624.07	106	61.3%65 W · 41 L	+10.4wins	+0.10per pick	52cpaid	+18.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd397…5052backed Heroic	68c	2,869$1,941 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$927.9	234	65%152 W · 82 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	65cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb744…5210backed Team Tidebound	43c	2,504$1,077 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,076.58	21	33.3%7 W · 14 L	-0.9wins	-0.04per pick	38cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc7c…d9d7backed Team Tidebound	1c	2,500$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	97	50.5%49 W · 48 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde17…68d2backed Team Tidebound	29c	2,375$686 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$685.94	179	50.3%90 W · 89 L	+14.7wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3aff…c55ebacked Heroic	57c	2,145$1,223 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$922.28	23	65.2%15 W · 8 L	+2.8wins	+0.12per pick	53cpaid	+14.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8808…b2c4backed Team Tidebound	10c	1,895$184 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$184.2	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.0wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x61fa…7f62backed Team Tidebound	35c	1,691$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	464	51.5%239 W · 225 L	-12.1wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2418…66c8backed Team Tidebound	44c	1,535$675 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$675.27	82	53.7%44 W · 38 L	+3.4wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x39c6…daeebacked Team Tidebound	37c	1,351$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	-1.5wins	-0.10per pick	37cpaid	-49.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2787…e0c4backed Heroic	61c	1,068$652 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$415.83	33	66.7%22 W · 11 L	+1.0wins	+0.03per pick	64cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe48…5895backed Heroic	75c	1,044$785 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$258.79	121	47.9%58 W · 63 L	+3.6wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	-1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd4b…f8fbbacked Team Tidebound	39c	1,006$396 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$395.97	51	37.3%19 W · 32 L	-1.7wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Heroic	56c	1,000$560 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$440	123	51.2%63 W · 60 L	-7.0wins	-0.06per pick	57cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe24c…8f5bbacked Team Tidebound	2c	1,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf967…8cd4backed Team Tidebound	44c	999.99$440 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$439.99	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	+1.2wins	+0.08per pick	46cpaid	+15.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8245…4f87backed Team Tidebound	49c	898.19$440 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$440.11	62	61.3%38 W · 24 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	59cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd36…a8acbacked Team Tidebound	43c	889.98$383 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$382.69	18	27.8%5 W · 13 L	-1.9wins	-0.10per pick	38cpaid	-33%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe08e…1d61backed Heroic	57c	877.19$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$377.19	46	78.3%36 W · 10 L	+6.1wins	+0.13per pick	65cpaid	+16.9%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5388…4d5abacked Team Tidebound	23c	850$196 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$195.5	218	47.2%103 W · 115 L	+16.5wins	+0.08per pick	40cpaid	+16.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x25f4…20e0backed Team Tidebound	20c	831$168 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$167.55	56	42.9%24 W · 32 L	-3.3wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb78f…3a77backed Heroic	80c	800$640 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$160	42	64.3%27 W · 15 L	+1.8wins	+0.04per pick	60cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Team Tidebound	25c	754.61$185 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$185.09	628	41.1%258 W · 370 L	-17.8wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f99…c209backed Heroic	63c	728$457 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$271.32	128	51.6%66 W · 62 L	-9.8wins	-0.08per pick	59cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1f2d…2b35backed Heroic	59c	699.97$413 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$286.99	536	52.6%282 W · 254 L	-3.9wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Heroic	64c	642.96$410 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$232.65	1,821	45%820 W · 1,001 L	+33.5wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x00ce…3f01backed Team Tidebound	49c	617.98$303 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$302.81	153	45.8%70 W · 83 L	-7.2wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1bcb…b05abacked Team Tidebound	13c	600$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78	380	49.2%187 W · 193 L	+13.1wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+168.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked Heroic	50c	570.8$285 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$285.4	858	51.3%440 W · 418 L	+30.8wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x01db…16e3backed Heroic	56c	535.71$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$235.71	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-20%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Team Tidebound	44c	500$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220	80	37.5%30 W · 50 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x469f…3d4fbacked Team Tidebound	2c	500$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	235	46.8%110 W · 125 L	+10.7wins	+0.05per pick	42cpaid	0%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb81a…f3c6backed Team Tidebound	14c	500$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ea5…2af9backed Heroic	56c	499.99$280 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$220	50	78%39 W · 11 L	+7.4wins	+0.15per pick	63cpaid	+20.7%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xec61…4a2ebacked Team Tidebound	36c	499.99$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180	109	41.3%45 W · 64 L	-3.8wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Heroic	66c	485.47$322 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$163.59	897	49.6%445 W · 452 L	+22.4wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa188…3fccbacked Heroic	62c	451.56$280 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$171.59	49	67.3%33 W · 16 L	+3.4wins	+0.07per pick	60cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Team Tidebound	28c	433$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123.03	869	49%426 W · 443 L	-3.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-15%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Team Tidebound	16c	419.91$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.19	451	39.2%177 W · 274 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5cab…a8cfbacked Heroic	80c	375.25$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.25	353	70%247 W · 106 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	69cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed Team Tidebound	27c	375.19$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	235	29.4%69 W · 166 L	-21.5wins	-0.09per pick	39cpaid	-26.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0d5c…aad0backed Heroic	56c	357.14$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$157.14	10	60%6 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	61cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8b26…c9afbacked Team Tidebound	45c	353.38$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160	142	51.4%73 W · 69 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed Team Tidebound	25c	332.44$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.51	364	42.3%154 W · 210 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96ec…fcc4backed Team Tidebound	45c	300$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	-1.3wins	-0.08per pick	55cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f04…5fc4backed Heroic	59c	254.97$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104.54	315	45.4%143 W · 172 L	-19.2wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Team Tidebound	39c	248.52$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.92	399	36.8%147 W · 252 L	+4.9wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe816…74c5backed Team Tidebound	16c	230.18$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb893…bf4bbacked Team Tidebound	45c	222.22$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	25	48%12 W · 13 L	+0.9wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd1e…ff14backed Heroic	54c	218.18$118 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100.36	112	53.6%60 W · 52 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	+2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x32eb…0c1bbacked Heroic	50c	200$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	42	57.1%24 W · 18 L	+6.3wins	+0.15per pick	42cpaid	+37.1%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6597…895dbacked Heroic	62c	199.98$123 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76.99	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	+1.5wins	+0.11per pick	46cpaid	+8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a06…31d8backed Team Tidebound	51c	196.08$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	416	55.3%230 W · 186 L	-6.5wins	-0.02per pick	57cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8046…a845backed Team Tidebound	15c	192.65$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.84	59	50.8%30 W · 29 L	+3.5wins	+0.06per pick	45cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb15e…5111backed Team Tidebound	43c	190$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.42	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x031d…db9dbacked Heroic	59c	190$111 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78.8	156	53.2%83 W · 73 L	-6.9wins	-0.04per pick	58cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x020b…ddfabacked Team Tidebound	18c	188.87$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.37	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.0wins	-0.33per pick	33cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa1fa…f3bebacked Team Tidebound	38c	187.62$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.6	134	50.7%68 W · 66 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4f2…3263backed Heroic	56c	178.57$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78.57	61	75.4%46 W · 15 L	+5.8wins	+0.09per pick	66cpaid	+14.1%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7b4c…e430backed Heroic	64c	176.92$113 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.84	49	49%24 W · 25 L	-2.6wins	-0.05per pick	54cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9318…a645backed Heroic	57c	176.21$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76.21	48	64.6%31 W · 17 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	63cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ba0…ff3abacked Heroic	57c	175.53$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.53	71	57.7%41 W · 30 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Heroic	57c	175.44$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.44	81	60.5%49 W · 32 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	61cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9cfb…df99backed Heroic	58c	171.77$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.82	8	87.5%7 W · 1 L	+2.3wins	+0.29per pick	59cpaid	+47.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdd45…59b2backed Team Tidebound	27c	170.68$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.74	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	-1.3wins	-0.10per pick	25cpaid	-55.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x419b…6ea1backed Heroic	60c	167.46$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.46	224	53.1%119 W · 105 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ab6…078ebacked Team Tidebound	44c	167.25$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.59	119	55.5%66 W · 53 L	+10.3wins	+0.09per pick	47cpaid	+20.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Heroic	79c	161.37$128 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.13	340	63.2%215 W · 125 L	+38.9wins	+0.11per pick	52cpaid	+13%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x99d1…ee7abacked Team Tidebound	40c	160$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.4	243	45.3%110 W · 133 L	+15.1wins	+0.06per pick	39cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb382…c498backed Team Tidebound	44c	137.72$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	71	59.2%42 W · 29 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	58cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98d0…01a4backed Heroic	56c	136.14$77 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.23	110	54.5%60 W · 50 L	-5.6wins	-0.05per pick	60cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f26…c83bbacked Heroic	56c	135.04$76 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.42	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.16per pick	34cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a9c…7fa0backed Team Tidebound	38c	135$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.65	53	35.8%19 W · 34 L	+2.4wins	+0.05per pick	31cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc0c6…a111backed Heroic	74c	134.79$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.38	32	75%24 W · 8 L	+3.2wins	+0.10per pick	65cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6fe9…9c50backed Heroic	60c	133.45$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.45	136	57.4%78 W · 58 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	58cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe286…6896backed Team Tidebound	16c	131.25$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	34	44.1%15 W · 19 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed Heroic	56c	129.98$73 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.19	436	47.5%207 W · 229 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x62b7…f260backed Team Tidebound	34c	123.88$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.17	207	35.3%73 W · 134 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xbdc8…21f0backed Team Tidebound	13c	123.49$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.84	41	41.5%17 W · 24 L	-1.9wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xae8f…e8b1backed Team Tidebound	21c	119.14$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.02	55	40%22 W · 33 L	-5.0wins	-0.09per pick	49cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x983d…933fbacked Team Tidebound	27c	112.63$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	24	41.7%10 W · 14 L	-1.1wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-28.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6365…df4ebacked Team Tidebound	45c	111.11$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	225	38.7%87 W · 138 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe99e…0084backed Team Tidebound	45c	111.11$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	876	45.7%400 W · 476 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Team Tidebound	32c	111$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.29	616	9.7%60 W · 556 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-53.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5fd8…a5bebacked Team Tidebound	48c	105.45$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.17	203	39.9%81 W · 122 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc9c6…72a8backed Heroic	63c	103.33$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.33	15	40%6 W · 9 L	-1.9wins	-0.12per pick	52cpaid	-30%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1351…bebcbacked Heroic	52c	100$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48	73	45.2%33 W · 40 L	-2.9wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Team Tidebound	45c	100$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	35	25.7%9 W · 26 L	-6.9wins	-0.20per pick	46cpaid	-43.1%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Heroic	56c	100$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44	145	47.6%69 W · 76 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f5e…1773backed Team Tidebound	23c	100$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	10	50%5 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e09…a4edbacked Team Tidebound	46c	99.99$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.8wins	+0.19per pick	56cpaid	+27.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6ed…3ae6backed Team Tidebound	41c	97.56$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	34	58.8%20 W · 14 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	56cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd138…7058backed Team Tidebound	41c	97.56$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	115	51.3%59 W · 56 L	-3.3wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xca47…3ef4backed Heroic	56c	90$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.6	5	60%3 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	63cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Dota 2: Heroic vs Team Tidebound (BO1)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market