TailMyPicks
Menu
Market

College Football · resolved market

Spread: Ole Miss (-7.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Ole Missof Ole Miss, Mississippi State
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$748,573
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$758,358

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $748,573 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in College Football
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2643…39aebacked Mississippi State52c400,793$208,673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208,673.082759.3%16 W · 11 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x006c…16eabacked Ole Miss48c203,837$97,842 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105,995.136832.4%22 W · 46 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Ole Miss48c156,101$74,758 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81,342.7293548.4%453 W · 482 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Ole Miss49c112,053$55,365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56,688.0152449.4%259 W · 265 L-2.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4335…fc2fbacked Mississippi State50c90,000$45,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45,399.9912055%66 W · 54 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d1a…0df6backed Mississippi State52c82,941$43,129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43,129.35851.7%30 W · 28 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd38b…5029backed Ole Miss48c74,410$35,717 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38,693.232745.6%149 W · 178 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Ole Miss47c41,026$19,432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,594.132,01349.6%999 W · 1,014 L+24.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90f6…48f3backed Mississippi State52c21,063$10,949 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,948.94944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Ole Miss47c15,410$7,243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,167.3758850.2%295 W · 293 L+23.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Mississippi State54c12,319$6,652 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,652.0926147.9%125 W · 136 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8717…49a8backed Mississippi State54c10,837$5,853 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,852.7421348.8%104 W · 109 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Mississippi State54c9,330$5,038 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,038.21643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-23.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Ole Miss51c8,804$4,507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,296.7763243.7%276 W · 356 L+34.8wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+138.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4a1e…86d3backed Ole Miss50c7,681$3,841 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,840.5810753.3%57 W · 50 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Ole Miss47c7,500$3,525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,97529055.2%160 W · 130 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a38…8fb5backed Mississippi State52c6,348$3,276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,275.995446.3%25 W · 29 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c81…fce3backed Mississippi State59c5,880$3,469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,469.123056.7%17 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick58cpaid+1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc5b…5b15backed Mississippi State54c5,643$3,047 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,047.4711553%61 W · 54 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x187b…26bfbacked Ole Miss49c5,350$2,622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,728.673151.6%16 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Mississippi State50c5,000$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5006947.8%33 W · 36 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Ole Miss41c4,978$2,044 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,934.5226244.3%116 W · 146 L-1.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdca6…9a97backed Ole Miss48c2,840$1,363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,476.8955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+39.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Mississippi State52c2,788$1,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,449.7681847.9%392 W · 426 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4862…1a17backed Ole Miss50c2,765$1,382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,382.291145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+18%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Ole Miss76c2,530$1,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$609.864841.2%267 W · 381 L+12.4wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e5d…f75dbacked Mississippi State53c2,341$1,245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,245.2310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Ole Miss46c2,039$938 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1013354.5%18 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Ole Miss62c2,001$1,235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$765.57846.2%36 W · 42 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x445e…9be0backed Ole Miss46c2,000$920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,079.9919849%97 W · 101 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Mississippi State50c1,900$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95024348.1%117 W · 126 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab20…6a35backed Ole Miss51c1,186$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$585.99862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x437c…f458backed Mississippi State51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5106842.6%29 W · 39 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-14%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ffb…a834backed Mississippi State50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003759.5%22 W · 15 L+7.6wins+0.21per pick39cpaid+600.4%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Mississippi State52c961.2$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.7638450.5%194 W · 190 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Ole Miss47c947$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501.9149253.5%263 W · 229 L+7.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Ole Miss46c700$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37813452.2%70 W · 64 L+6.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf642…0c19backed Ole Miss48c685.42$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.425147.1%24 W · 27 L+4.9wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+22.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc89d…5909backed Ole Miss49c600$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3063948.7%19 W · 20 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5834…f0cbbacked Mississippi State56c536.31$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30011854.2%64 W · 54 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Mississippi State52c500$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26013444%59 W · 75 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1388…339abacked Mississippi State52c500$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2608448.8%41 W · 43 L+6.8wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+9.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5a61…1787backed Ole Miss50c485.6$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.85339.6%21 W · 32 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Ole Miss47c472.28$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.3848546.8%227 W · 258 L-2.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x88b0…b118backed Mississippi State30c450$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1357143.7%31 W · 40 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-21.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Ole Miss46c402.44$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.691,09041.7%455 W · 635 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe832…7abbbacked Ole Miss50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2005554.5%30 W · 25 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Mississippi State52c384.62$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20022437.5%84 W · 140 L-17.3wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x412a…802cbacked Mississippi State54c362.91$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.97850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2cea…2d58backed Ole Miss63c320$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.41968.4%13 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+17.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc85f…15f8backed Mississippi State37c320$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.42540%10 W · 15 L-3.8wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-27.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0d5c…aad0backed Ole Miss50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1502161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x205f…0189backed Mississippi State53c245.28$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1301546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Ole Miss42c239.6$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.9554243.2%234 W · 308 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc07d…5bd8backed Ole Miss63c207.07$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.14548.9%22 W · 23 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01db…16e3backed Ole Miss50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1002568%17 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+16.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x137b…2fd5backed Ole Miss49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1021942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6236…6881backed Mississippi State54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10813253.8%71 W · 61 L+8.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd942…f9d3backed Mississippi State43c200$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.15per pick38cpaid-60.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5cfe…ed69backed Ole Miss50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10011354.9%62 W · 51 L+7.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8d4e…18debacked Mississippi State53c199.96$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.986949.3%34 W · 35 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ed4…4547backed Ole Miss50c199.87$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.57254.2%39 W · 33 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x020b…ddfabacked Mississippi State41c191.99$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.3630%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4259…936fbacked Ole Miss49c190$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.93164.5%20 W · 11 L+5.1wins+0.16per pick48cpaid+22.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0974…003dbacked Ole Miss49c186.02$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.8726846.3%124 W · 144 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed Mississippi State50c182.6$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.531631.3%5 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-42%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a05…0329backed Mississippi State52c164.95$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.16933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-29.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb964…a6edbacked Ole Miss62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.29633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-29.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a87…fb21backed Ole Miss49c150$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.511056.4%62 W · 48 L+7.6wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+13.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Ole Miss44c146.42$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.9486243.7%377 W · 485 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd45…59b2backed Ole Miss47c145.1$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.92240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6215…2158backed Ole Miss50c144.8$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.41060%6 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a25…c24dbacked Mississippi State52c127.02$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$663647.2%17 W · 19 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4bdf…9652backed Ole Miss50c126$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6311752.1%61 W · 56 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Mississippi State52c115.96$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.0265945.2%298 W · 361 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd547…5ed7backed Mississippi State52c110$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.15728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-34.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Ole Miss49c104$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.7626939.8%107 W · 162 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Ole Miss48c100.01$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.3928032.9%92 W · 188 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-1.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc4de…b91ebacked Ole Miss50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f79…c16cbacked Mississippi State53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533342.4%14 W · 19 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-20.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Mississippi State51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5114055.7%78 W · 62 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x258e…d16cbacked Ole Miss50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5017450%87 W · 87 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Mississippi State53c95$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.3556844.5%253 W · 315 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9da3…a7efbacked Mississippi State53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504450%22 W · 22 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7795…1db8backed Ole Miss49c91.84$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.848868.2%60 W · 28 L+10.5wins+0.12per pick56cpaid+27.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x602d…3534backed Mississippi State43c81.82$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3516750.3%84 W · 83 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99f6…f838backed Ole Miss49c73.47$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.477749.4%38 W · 39 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdaa9…bad5backed Mississippi State52c71.58$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.464854.2%26 W · 22 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xed57…e0a0backed Ole Miss49c71$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.217847.4%37 W · 41 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Ole Miss45c66.59$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.639444.7%42 W · 52 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3185…7c83backed Mississippi State52c62.56$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.53333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-57.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x68a0…3efbbacked Mississippi State52c61.94$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.1130%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2b81…fa2fbacked Mississippi State52c61.94$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.1110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44ac…a025backed Ole Miss50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303953.8%21 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe398…ee2ebacked Mississippi State52c57.69$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3030%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf4d5…79f9backed Mississippi State53c57.04$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fbd…3d15backed Mississippi State52c57$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.4311545.2%52 W · 63 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99af…fedcbacked Mississippi State45c55.56$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+30.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2359…f72bbacked Mississippi State52c48.08$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2514055%77 W · 63 L-0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2db9…846cbacked Ole Miss49c40.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.822650%13 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.