College Football · resolved market
O/U 62.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3a19869af9158ab91668e90c36d72ad939e47d290aed506c266f3b3b89b83cfd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $132,751
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $133,400
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $132,751 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Under | 49c | 32,000$15,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,320 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Over | 51c | 26,168$13,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,347.21 | 210 | 55.2%116 W · 94 L | +13.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed Under | 50c | 25,228$12,613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,615 | 118 | 46.6%55 W · 63 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40ea…acdbbacked Over | 52c | 23,655$12,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,300.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e49…c523backed Under | 48c | 23,587$11,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,265.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 51c | 23,384$11,899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,898.57 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8510…ed21backed Under | 48c | 23,337$11,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,135.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3778…8c7fbacked Over | 52c | 23,275$12,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,103 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 399 | 54.1%216 W · 183 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Under | 49c | 5,538$2,714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,824.44 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Over | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040 | 385 | 46%177 W · 208 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 50c | 3,103$1,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,562.43 | 524 | 49.4%259 W · 265 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 49c | 2,551$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,301.02 | 190 | 43.2%82 W · 108 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9376…c075backed Under | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x944e…8c94backed Under | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 46c | 699.23$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.75 | 588 | 50.2%295 W · 293 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x094e…f10bbacked Over | 51c | 555$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.05 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1388…339abacked Under | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 84 | 48.8%41 W · 43 L | +6.8wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Under | 12c | 489$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.32 | 267 | 50.9%136 W · 131 L | +21.7wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Under | 13c | 461$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.07 | 86 | 29.1%25 W · 61 L | +15.2wins | +0.18per pick | 11cpaid | +361.6%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x66fe…e123backed Under | 80c | 431$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.2 | 127 | 55.9%71 W · 56 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Under | 49c | 375$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.25 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd368…1889backed Under | 50c | 375$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.25 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Over | 51c | 356$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.07 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 50c | 302$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151 | 216 | 44.9%97 W · 119 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96ec…fcc4backed Under | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +85.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Under | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…6dddbacked Under | 48c | 290$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.8 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 49c | 288.71$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.43 | 269 | 40.5%109 W · 160 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Over | 52c | 265$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.8 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Over | 50c | 252$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.89 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Over | 56c | 250$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.8 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 49c | 203.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.72 | 262 | 44.3%116 W · 146 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Under | 49c | 199.99$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 422 | 44.5%188 W · 234 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x137b…2fd5backed Over | 50c | 199.99$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Over | 51c | 194.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce32…a145backed Under | 49c | 104.08$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.08 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76dc…28f4backed Under | 49c | 104.08$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.08 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 140 | 55.7%78 W · 62 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8834…a66dbacked Over | 52c | 71$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x282b…3549backed Under | 74c | 62.89$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Over | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 280 | 32.9%92 W · 188 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…129ebacked Under | 28c | 46.43$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.43 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 52c | 38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.34 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa57…dc99backed Under | 49c | 38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 50c | 35.1$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…5bd8backed Over | 53c | 34.32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.21 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- O/U 62.5this page
- Ole Miss vs. Mississippi StateOle Miss won
- Spread: Ole Miss (-7.5)Ole Miss won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.