Bundesliga · resolved market
Will RB Leipzig win on 2025-11-28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7c5bbfad1d00d6090bbbc40a42d2110c5fb7131b81ebbc812bf8a05f5c63227c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $405,079
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $407,498
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $405,079 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 251 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1ae5…8342backed Yes | 41c | 198,133$81,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81,219.81 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 58c | 118,853$69,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,723.9 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed No | 59c | 84,952$50,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,830.48 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 63c | 44,620$27,897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,723.42 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 44c | 40,000$17,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,600 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked Yes | 44c | 30,730$13,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,513.91 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -4.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 60c | 22,710$13,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,031.47 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Yes | 41c | 19,999$8,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,199.49 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 61c | 11,908$7,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,676.38 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0f…a318backed Yes | 7c | 10,000$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.34 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 56c | 9,007$5,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,946 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 56c | 8,349$4,674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,674.37 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc16b…8404backed No | 56c | 5,633$3,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,478.37 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 61c | 5,223$3,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,029.53 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed No | 58c | 4,000$2,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,679.98 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4446…1fd0backed No | 79c | 3,296$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.71 | 28 | 82.1%23 W · 5 L | +4.0wins | +0.14per pick | 68cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7104…afefbacked Yes | 32c | 3,106$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Yes | 42c | 2,888$1,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,212.95 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 44c | 2,852$1,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,255.74 | 151 | 34.4%52 W · 99 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 56c | 2,643$1,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,154.68 | 447 | 49.4%221 W · 226 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…d80abacked No | 56c | 2,100$1,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.91 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe76f…39fcbacked No | 59c | 2,042$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$842.23 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7087…c61fbacked No | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.87 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9659…f19abacked Yes | 43c | 1,974$849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +89%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 44c | 1,866$817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$817.18 | 339 | 45.7%155 W · 184 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9678…b4bfbacked Yes | 43c | 1,814$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 20c | 1,737$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.69 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc587…1630backed No | 56c | 1,704$959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.19 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed No | 60c | 1,558$931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.1 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +7.2wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +98.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0a…0809backed Yes | 43c | 1,488$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.68 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -4.8wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed No | 57c | 1,472$845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.54 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd1…4ea6backed Yes | 37c | 1,351$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8414…fe31backed Yes | 44c | 1,321$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19bc…7d78backed No | 61c | 1,269$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.86 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +12%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed No | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 55c | 956.07$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.24 | 237 | 45.6%108 W · 129 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed1e…48c4backed Yes | 43c | 916.99$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.14 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed No | 60c | 855$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342 | 168 | 50%84 W · 84 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 5c | 802.9$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.67 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +5.1wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +815.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 26c | 800$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.06 | 95 | 32.6%31 W · 64 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0148…daf8backed Yes | 45c | 800$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x711d…4e8dbacked Yes | 44c | 795.45$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 37c | 717.27$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.3 | 511 | 36.8%188 W · 323 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 35c | 699.97$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.99 | 96 | 21.9%21 W · 75 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75e1…1b07backed Yes | 43c | 697.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Yes | 45c | 668.89$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 54cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x455f…bd63backed Yes | 44c | 622.3$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed No | 59c | 600$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed No | 54c | 577.25$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.26 | 147 | 56.5%83 W · 64 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 42c | 571.03$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.98 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08be…5b1fbacked Yes | 46c | 546.99$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x663e…8f0dbacked Yes | 43c | 534.53$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.85 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 57c | 528$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.88 | 185 | 45.9%85 W · 100 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4537…491dbacked Yes | 43c | 525.58$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.7wins | +0.27per pick | 45cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x504f…3ddcbacked No | 57c | 523.1$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.1 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba4…c08bbacked Yes | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -6.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4835…8f59backed Yes | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee04…9612backed Yes | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Yes | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d94…40e6backed Yes | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf778…2f09backed Yes | 43c | 499.99$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | -6.2wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Yes | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 63cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x203e…a9b5backed Yes | 45c | 439.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x347c…525abacked No | 59c | 423.91$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.63 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes | 42c | 404.36$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.83 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 43c | 371$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.53 | 204 | 36.3%74 W · 130 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed No | 57c | 369.99$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.1 | 109 | 42.2%46 W · 63 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 43c | 357.31$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.61 | 343 | 42%144 W · 199 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee7…0ba8backed No | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 50c | 341.92$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.81 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb5…6530backed Yes | 43c | 318.19$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.82 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0caf…abfebacked Yes | 41c | 316.56$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.79 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2a…de7dbacked Yes | 37c | 302.82$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.37 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccce…2e6cbacked Yes | 50c | 302$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked Yes | 43c | 300$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc270…1379backed Yes | 26c | 298.5$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 35cpaid | -78.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x454b…5b8bbacked No | 58c | 283.11$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.11 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked No | 58c | 272.17$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.8 | 38 | 76.3%29 W · 9 L | +4.6wins | +0.12per pick | 64cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes | 43c | 267.79$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.15 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Yes | 22c | 261.96$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.23 | 165 | 42.4%70 W · 95 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 58c | 249.22$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.15 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 56c | 237.41$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.46 | 230 | 46.5%107 W · 123 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf08b…9a7dbacked Yes | 42c | 236.97$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.53 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…b1b1backed Yes | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -3.8wins | -0.29per pick | 45cpaid | -62%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf1…16b1backed Yes | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94e5…6cfebacked Yes | 34c | 229.44$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…2ad8backed Yes | 44c | 227.7$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x237e…a5f0backed Yes | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0756…38c9backed Yes | 45c | 221$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a53…8c81backed Yes | 42c | 214.29$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d43…fc99backed No | 63c | 206.28$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.28 | 30 | 93.3%28 W · 2 L | +7.8wins | +0.26per pick | 67cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa8…645bbacked Yes | 22c | 200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 84 | 59.5%50 W · 34 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbd…21d2backed Yes | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x789e…fd45backed No | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Yes | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea63…f54fbacked Yes | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fe…ba40backed Yes | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdca0…140ebacked Yes | 43c | 199.99$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…770cbacked Yes | 36c | 197$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.92 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will RB Leipzig win on 2025-11-28?this page
- Will Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. RB Leipzig end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2025-11-28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.