La Liga · resolved market
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfe29e37c87aaaab3d16b442d22cf3b8d905c5cfbb905cc6aab2580f2450aec91
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,179
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,179 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 61c | 22,542$13,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,896.69 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3333…15bdbacked Over | 41c | 18,657$7,649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,649.41 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd178…6703backed Over | 22c | 4,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1414…ae7bbacked Under | 77c | 3,909$3,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.11 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 77c | 3,368$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$767.84 | 130 | 54.6%71 W · 59 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 79c | 2,763$2,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.89 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0c…0beebacked Over | 9c | 1,496$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.11 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | +6.8wins | +0.14per pick | 29cpaid | +88.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf425…be71backed Over | 47c | 1,252$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.49 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 43cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Over | 18c | 1,020$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.6 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Over | 23c | 981.04$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.64 | 126 | 26.2%33 W · 93 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 78c | 617.63$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.75 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Over | 35c | 499.99$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 167 | 45.5%76 W · 91 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 28c | 492.13$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137 | 387 | 48.1%186 W · 201 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Over | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 90 | 71.1%64 W · 26 L | +10.3wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 59c | 468.66$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.98 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 65c | 466.14$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.15 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a94…769cbacked Over | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Under | 78c | 362.64$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.78 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1985…8cbdbacked Under | 58c | 321.48$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.48 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd95…e042backed Over | 32c | 300$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 34c | 273.98$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 74c | 257.77$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.19 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 21c | 192$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.32 | 340 | 50%170 W · 170 L | +16.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Over | 24c | 168.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 201 | 48.8%98 W · 103 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 78c | 167.48$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.85 | 501 | 49.5%248 W · 253 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 19c | 131.75$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.26 | 458 | 41%188 W · 270 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56a0…ba20backed Over | 24c | 125$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 45c | 117.6$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.22 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 76c | 114.03$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.37 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked Under | 55c | 107.38$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.05 | 601 | 47.9%288 W · 313 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4986…aacbbacked Over | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 61c | 93.83$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.49 | 411 | 47.9%197 W · 214 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Under | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 154 | 46.1%71 W · 83 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…038cbacked Under | 68c | 88.32$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.26 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -3.4wins | -0.14per pick | 68cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefff…c0efbacked Under | 61c | 82.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.05 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55e4…bf8abacked Under | 79c | 77.24$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 45c | 77.15$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.06 | 118 | 55.1%65 W · 53 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4da5…e32ebacked Over | 24c | 75.79$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.19 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -71%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5152…bfdabacked Over | 37c | 75.29$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Under | 59c | 65.48$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.71 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 77c | 64.93$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.93 | 321 | 45.8%147 W · 174 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 39c | 64.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 154 | 51.3%79 W · 75 L | +14.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +24%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed Over | 23c | 59.95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.69 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Under | 58c | 58.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.83 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20dc…f74cbacked Over | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Over | 22c | 52.32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.51 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 33c | 49.15$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.22 | 335 | 44.2%148 W · 187 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Over | 23c | 49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5565…4b3bbacked Under | 63c | 47.51$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 278 | 50%139 W · 139 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14b2…013fbacked Under | 77c | 46.04$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.6 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Over | 40c | 42.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.94 | 55 | 20%11 W · 44 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…81a1backed Over | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 110 | 46.4%51 W · 59 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6474…7ab8backed Over | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffea…5f0abacked Over | 46c | 38.2$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.44 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5562…3b41backed Under | 80c | 37$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Over | 34c | 35.21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.91 | 108 | 43.5%47 W · 61 L | -7.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa658…f93ebacked Under | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -4.1wins | -0.25per pick | 69cpaid | -39%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…f3c4backed Over | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +4.6wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed Under | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 95 | 71.6%68 W · 27 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 42c | 24.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 188 | 42%79 W · 109 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73b8…020dbacked Under | 66c | 22.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.7wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +88%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Under | 66c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.14 | 143 | 42%60 W · 83 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72e3…a8cabacked Under | 68c | 20.37$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.54 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked Under | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 3.5this page
- RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Oviedo: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 1.5Over won
- RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 2.5Under won
- RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona (-1.5)Real Oviedo won
- Spread: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona (-2.5)Real Oviedo won
- Spread: Real Oviedo (-1.5)RCD Espanyol de Barcelona won
- Spread: Real Oviedo (-2.5)RCD Espanyol de Barcelona won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.