TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$463,979

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $463,979 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 318 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3333…15bdbacked Over70c212,431$148,128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148,128.412035%7 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-20.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under30c168,601$50,564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118,036.7310948.6%53 W · 56 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cc6…9df6backed Over45c55,410$25,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,0002634.6%9 W · 17 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-33%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Under59c41,589$24,537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,051.393100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+84.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Under55c20,560$11,217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,342.9211839%46 W · 72 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb3a1…3529backed Over79c15,243$12,042 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,041.841553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick64cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under32c12,692$4,083 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,608.5269142.5%294 W · 397 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under32c11,000$3,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,48024145.2%109 W · 132 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Over41c10,000$4,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,1003946.2%18 W · 21 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under56c9,274$5,165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,108.3890843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over44c7,611$3,346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,346.014,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea00…c1f1backed Under55c7,000$3,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,1505757.9%33 W · 24 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f09…9312backed Over44c5,648$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5002524%6 W · 19 L-4.8wins-0.19per pick43cpaid-52.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under47c5,512$2,616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,896.871,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over41c4,374$1,793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,793.3264046.9%300 W · 340 L-2.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked Under25c3,708$912 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,796.0460147.9%288 W · 313 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+13.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under41c3,573$1,476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,097.263,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb44e…c2c6backed Over80c3,000$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4003441.2%14 W · 20 L-3.9wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-28.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Under55c3,000$1,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,35021957.5%126 W · 93 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over41c2,911$1,194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,193.5150149.5%248 W · 253 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over41c2,500$1,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0259052.2%47 W · 43 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8edf…7eadbacked Under35c2,500$875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,625250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick21cpaid+42.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Over44c2,394$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0607439.2%29 W · 45 L-7.6wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-21.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb5a4…5780backed Over44c2,275$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,001.091566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc2a7…7916backed Over11c2,272$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.92250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid-32.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46e6…d4cdbacked Over60c2,223$1,334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,33422753.3%121 W · 106 L+9.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+19.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa313…1f26backed Over33c2,013$663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$663.473040%12 W · 18 L+4.3wins+0.14per pick26cpaid+44.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Over41c1,585$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6504434.1%15 W · 29 L-5.3wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-32.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x18c4…f6dcbacked Over64c1,500$961 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$960.636468.8%44 W · 20 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72ab…30fcbacked Under61c1,474$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$574.022245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57b5…a549backed Under36c1,371$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$877.391346.2%6 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.16per pick30cpaid+56.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xebba…383cbacked Over41c1,220$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003148.4%15 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over42c1,190$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50022357%127 W · 96 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc01a…b014backed Over78c1,096$851 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$850.921855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc22…5738backed Under28c1,082$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$782.25333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick23cpaid+20.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under38c1,037$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$642.691,41945.6%647 W · 772 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6340…1bd0backed Over39c1,000$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39011120.7%23 W · 88 L-10.9wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-40.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcc39…1564backed Under55c1,000$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4504254.8%23 W · 19 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over39c1,000$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39023255.6%129 W · 103 L+18.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+17.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd178…6703backed Over45c999$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.556051.7%31 W · 29 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under55c955$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.7520159.2%119 W · 82 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Under56c947.6$531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.945927.1%16 W · 43 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-30.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over44c863.64$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3809564.2%61 W · 34 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf88e…0837backed Over68c833$566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$565.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Under56c800$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35622746.7%106 W · 121 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under55c800$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36022552.4%118 W · 107 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over41c792.79$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.3830842.9%132 W · 176 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over43c771.73$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33017458.6%102 W · 72 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Under33c758.33$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$508.081450%7 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c95…8a0bbacked Over79c719.11$568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$568.11241.7%5 W · 7 L-2.9wins-0.25per pick66cpaid-40%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over43c669$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.6411146.8%52 W · 59 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Over39c666.78$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.335520%11 W · 44 L-4.9wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-51.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x57a4…f0c0backed Over60c664.47$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4006061.7%37 W · 23 L+4.9wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under55c652.98$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.692,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba5a…344cbacked Over46c586.96$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2703161.3%19 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6d1…62eabacked Under55c545$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.254334.9%15 W · 28 L-7.0wins-0.16per pick51cpaid-34%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x8226…e35fbacked Over80c525$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420250%1 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick78cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd629…1e72backed Over77c519.48$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40010%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2480…c148backed Under11c500$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4456512.3%8 W · 57 L-0.3wins0.00per pick13cpaid+29.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under56c499.97$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.9989050%445 W · 445 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd93b…cd48backed Under58c499.96$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.983262.5%20 W · 12 L+3.8wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+16.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3497…812bbacked Over57c435.44$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+21.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Over53c427.2$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.0116745.5%76 W · 91 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+18%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a0c…0beebacked Over12c419.53$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.344942.9%21 W · 28 L+6.8wins+0.14per pick29cpaid+88.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x06c2…184fbacked Over50c396$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1983339.4%13 W · 20 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-27.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x782e…b317backed Over43c387.51$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1682934.5%10 W · 19 L-3.4wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-17.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x49ca…5944backed Over79c379.75$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3009071.1%64 W · 26 L+10.3wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+15.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Under57c360$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.812951.9%67 W · 62 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc758…8574backed Over65c353.85$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23019544.1%86 W · 109 L+13.7wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+11.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Under39c352.98$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.6412626.2%33 W · 93 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick30cpaid+9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a94…769cbacked Over44c340.92$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502133.3%7 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-21.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfdf4…40fabacked Over66c303.03$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006852.9%36 W · 32 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc936…c08abacked Over41c300$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1235026%13 W · 37 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-19.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Under55c300$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13527652.5%145 W · 131 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under55c300$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13519750.3%99 W · 98 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Under55c300$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13529053.4%155 W · 135 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under55c300$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13531751.1%162 W · 155 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7205…3377backed Over51c290.24$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.834748.9%23 W · 24 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-4.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over70c285.7$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.9917562.9%110 W · 65 L+32.1wins+0.18per pick45cpaid+64.6%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x3383…b7debacked Under28c280.79$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.791100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+251%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbec3…760ebacked Over29c280.24$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.713655.6%20 W · 16 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over42c280.17$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.5342851.4%220 W · 208 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaab8…a331backed Over73c273.97$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008252.4%43 W · 39 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over11c272.73$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3022729.1%66 W · 161 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick25cpaid-3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over11c269.27$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.6218842%79 W · 109 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over43c265.66$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.2334050%170 W · 170 L+16.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+6.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x82c1…c2c6backed Under21c261.9$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.92352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x15ac…f3babacked Over73c254.79$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1864353.5%23 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Under55c250$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.521849.1%107 W · 111 L-7.8wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under56c249.99$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1101,08150.6%547 W · 534 L+11.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under56c249.98$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.991,03848.1%499 W · 539 L+17.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6249…cee9backed Over77c242.31$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.58580%4 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick70cpaid+19.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f8b…e16abacked Over59c235.59$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13930%0 W · 3 L-2.0wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf38c…d9f2backed Over65c230.77$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15012044.2%53 W · 67 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c93…0fb8backed Over46c230.68$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.628155.6%45 W · 36 L-0.2wins0.00per pick56cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2dad…a040backed Over49c230.61$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11313070.8%92 W · 38 L+9.4wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+13.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Over44c227.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020148.8%98 W · 103 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Over44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004344.2%19 W · 24 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+33.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa6fa…546bbacked Over44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004766%31 W · 16 L+4.8wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+16.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x72e3…a8cabacked Over43c224.79$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.92540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.