Tennis · resolved market
BNP Paribas Open: Elise Mertens vs Belinda Bencic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x56cc67acd42d2824a692baa3f6b6b0c677ec08cc56881a0f197698cfca9e41b7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Belinda Bencicof Elise Mertens, Belinda Bencic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $377,079
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $377,079 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 205 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Elise Mertens | 41c | 26,205$10,631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,631.1 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Belinda Bencic | 51c | 24,568$12,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,991.45 | 162 | 42%68 W · 94 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb57a…b8c3backed Elise Mertens | 50c | 13,500$6,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,750 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…079ebacked Belinda Bencic | 54c | 13,139$7,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,048.09 | 416 | 45.4%189 W · 227 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Belinda Bencic | 58c | 11,604$6,757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,847.26 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Elise Mertens | 46c | 11,110$5,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,110.5 | 237 | 50.6%120 W · 117 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Elise Mertens | 36c | 10,575$3,858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,858.36 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Elise Mertens | 14c | 10,340$1,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,464.94 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…c100backed Belinda Bencic | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,799.97 | 430 | 51.2%220 W · 210 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Elise Mertens | 45c | 9,740$4,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,371.97 | 6,652 | 50.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L | +263.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Belinda Bencic | 55c | 9,575$5,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,287.11 | 1,446 | 48.8%706 W · 740 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cef…71b4backed Elise Mertens | 54c | 9,288$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 200 | 45%90 W · 110 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa82a…a759backed Belinda Bencic | 50c | 7,000$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,500 | 339 | 55.2%187 W · 152 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Elise Mertens | 50c | 5,700$2,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,850 | 291 | 46%134 W · 157 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Elise Mertens | 45c | 5,505$2,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,502.41 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Elise Mertens | 41c | 5,420$2,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,232.42 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67d6…b04bbacked Elise Mertens | 48c | 4,711$2,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,245.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Belinda Bencic | 52c | 2,900$1,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,391.99 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Elise Mertens | 48c | 2,787$1,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,337.76 | 381 | 33.9%129 W · 252 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Belinda Bencic | 51c | 2,756$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,356.18 | 1,683 | 50.6%851 W · 832 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Elise Mertens | 50c | 2,619$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 1,125 | 42.8%482 W · 643 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f07…9d0fbacked Belinda Bencic | 53c | 2,600$1,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,214 | 707 | 52.8%373 W · 334 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c82…1f13backed Elise Mertens | 46c | 2,334$1,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,073.86 | 113 | 43.4%49 W · 64 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabb9…6da4backed Belinda Bencic | 77c | 2,212$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.03 | 33 | 75.8%25 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Elise Mertens | 47c | 2,164$1,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,017.07 | 203 | 36%73 W · 130 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d98…4d2dbacked Elise Mertens | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6aad…20aebacked Belinda Bencic | 54c | 1,835$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$836.27 | 524 | 60.9%319 W · 205 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Elise Mertens | 47c | 1,761$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$827.72 | 313 | 32.3%101 W · 212 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc521…b46abacked Elise Mertens | 49c | 1,503$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740 | 255 | 44.7%114 W · 141 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Elise Mertens | 48c | 1,283$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.04 | 262 | 54.6%143 W · 119 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0121…f82cbacked Belinda Bencic | 50c | 1,234$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Elise Mertens | 49c | 1,153$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.61 | 1,029 | 33.5%345 W · 684 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2057…14eabacked Elise Mertens | 27c | 1,084$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.1 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Elise Mertens | 7c | 1,000$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.08 | 1,437 | 28.5%409 W · 1,028 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Belinda Bencic | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 1,161 | 37.6%437 W · 724 L | -27.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Elise Mertens | 49c | 951.36$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.85 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe622…ea5ebacked Belinda Bencic | 54c | 930$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.8 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00a3…575cbacked Elise Mertens | 28c | 883.64$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.42 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Elise Mertens | 47c | 845.44$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.75 | 958 | 46.6%446 W · 512 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Elise Mertens | 2c | 799.97$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 255 | 0.8%2 W · 253 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Elise Mertens | 49c | 770.72$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.29 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Belinda Bencic | 74c | 691.66$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.14 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa99…f152backed Belinda Bencic | 78c | 619.05$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.05 | 735 | 58.6%431 W · 304 L | -26.1wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Elise Mertens | 47c | 612$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.64 | 213 | 38.5%82 W · 131 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed9…9949backed Belinda Bencic | 51c | 611.11$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.11 | 465 | 53.8%250 W · 215 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Elise Mertens | 47c | 600$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Elise Mertens | 46c | 530$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.5 | 4,082 | 39.7%1,622 W · 2,460 L | +93.1wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1da3…2f94backed Elise Mertens | 48c | 520.83$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 167 | 43.7%73 W · 94 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Elise Mertens | 46c | 500$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229 | 430 | 42.8%184 W · 246 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Elise Mertens | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 265 | 41.9%111 W · 154 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Elise Mertens | 49c | 498.33$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.1 | 475 | 52.4%249 W · 226 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2d…40b1backed Elise Mertens | 47c | 485.26$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.07 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Elise Mertens | 19c | 440$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.6 | 4,650 | 48.2%2,242 W · 2,408 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…6af2backed Elise Mertens | 48c | 400$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 128 | 35.2%45 W · 83 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Belinda Bencic | 52c | 399.24$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.81 | 1,980 | 46.2%915 W · 1,065 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e95…7db1backed Elise Mertens | 50c | 351.54$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.77 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Elise Mertens | 43c | 348.84$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 530 | 58.1%308 W · 222 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9175…bd29backed Elise Mertens | 47c | 343.51$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.45 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed19…83babacked Elise Mertens | 20c | 342.14$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.75 | 847 | 36%305 W · 542 L | -35.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7738backed Elise Mertens | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,123 | 50.3%565 W · 558 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Elise Mertens | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 1,832 | 53%971 W · 861 L | -45.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Belinda Bencic | 54c | 299$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.54 | 1,414 | 41.1%581 W · 833 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Belinda Bencic | 50c | 294.14$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.7 | 279 | 36.2%101 W · 178 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd294…c4dabacked Elise Mertens | 28c | 266.44$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Belinda Bencic | 79c | 254.77$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.5 | 729 | 57.3%418 W · 311 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8090…42c1backed Elise Mertens | 52c | 240.38$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 245 | 60%147 W · 98 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Belinda Bencic | 52c | 222$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.56 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Elise Mertens | 50c | 220$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 434 | 48.4%210 W · 224 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Elise Mertens | 20c | 215$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.54 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Elise Mertens | 49c | 204$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.88 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…82d7backed Elise Mertens | 19c | 200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 279 | 40.1%112 W · 167 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Belinda Bencic | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 871 | 35.4%308 W · 563 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Elise Mertens | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 273 | 44.7%122 W · 151 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d1…e488backed Belinda Bencic | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93b1…934ebacked Belinda Bencic | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed Elise Mertens | 44c | 196.09$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.28 | 609 | 43.3%264 W · 345 L | -24.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…7824backed Elise Mertens | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe08…10ebbacked Elise Mertens | 49c | 190.01$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.1 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…77eebacked Belinda Bencic | 53c | 187.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.25 | 819 | 33.1%271 W · 548 L | -30.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Elise Mertens | 19c | 186.39$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.62 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…5e51backed Belinda Bencic | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 573 | 49.6%284 W · 289 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Elise Mertens | 21c | 174$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.72 | 347 | 44.4%154 W · 193 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04eb…f50dbacked Belinda Bencic | 53c | 169.64$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.73 | 294 | 61.9%182 W · 112 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Elise Mertens | 22c | 166$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.93 | 737 | 45.2%333 W · 404 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55e4…bf8abacked Elise Mertens | 25c | 160.69$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.88 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cff…83c4backed Belinda Bencic | 54c | 160$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.6 | 276 | 64.1%177 W · 99 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Elise Mertens | 48c | 152.67$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.28 | 341 | 54.3%185 W · 156 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Elise Mertens | 47c | 148.61$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.85 | 290 | 63.8%185 W · 105 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa10c…72e1backed Belinda Bencic | 50c | 140$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3365…ce5bbacked Elise Mertens | 51c | 137.25$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Belinda Bencic | 52c | 128.75$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.61 | 328 | 42.7%140 W · 188 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Elise Mertens | 47c | 126$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.22 | 185 | 48.1%89 W · 96 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ace…b219backed Belinda Bencic | 53c | 122.64$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.64 | 124 | 63.7%79 W · 45 L | +9.4wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Belinda Bencic | 52c | 121.49$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.32 | 205 | 42.4%87 W · 118 L | -12.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Elise Mertens | 23c | 120.49$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.02 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x860e…a06dbacked Elise Mertens | 25c | 119.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.97 | 120 | 32.5%39 W · 81 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Belinda Bencic | 52c | 119.8$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.5 | 1,444 | 38%548 W · 896 L | -46.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f49…b482backed Elise Mertens | 48c | 118.75$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d34…3406backed Elise Mertens | 22c | 118.18$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 79 | 63.3%50 W · 29 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Elise Mertens | 49c | 113$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.37 | 600 | 55.7%334 W · 266 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- BNP Paribas Open: Elise Mertens vs Belinda Bencicthis page
- Set Handicap: Bencic (-1.5) vs Mertens (+1.5)Bencic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.