TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Big Game: Player/HC to cry during National Anthem?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$59,468
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$57,822

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,468 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 209 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3e04…564dbacked Yes57c9,000$5,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,139.9717648.9%86 W · 90 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3d3…d424backed No39c5,129$2,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,127.152638.5%10 W · 16 L+3.3wins+0.13per pick26cpaid-20.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5109…5e9cbacked No43c3,000$1,275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,724.751233.3%4 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick21cpaid+81.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x217e…3a4cbacked No36c2,407$873 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,533.82857.1%16 W · 12 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcc3e…37efbacked No64c2,223$1,418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$805.357736.4%28 W · 49 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd544…4d5ebacked No48c2,102$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,101.92862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x477f…19aabacked Yes1c2,000$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.6wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+10%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdc2a…d0a4backed Yes68c1,929$1,318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,317.97100%0 W · 10 L-4.1wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x533d…ceeebacked Yes6c1,666$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.961414.3%2 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick9cpaid+52.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4bbe…abc6backed Yes67c1,576$1,056 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,056.1580%0 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0a78…4b11backed No44c1,222$535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$686.85714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick24cpaid-67.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb6…57aebacked No42c1,202$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$701.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+140.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a0d…ff14backed No45c1,167$521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$646.811100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+124.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe977…c4d7backed Yes1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1050%0 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88b0…b118backed No38c1,000$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$620.2314342%60 W · 83 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-23.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x58f5…be7bbacked Yes63c1,000$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x33dd…ef8abacked Yes62c1,000$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$620728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.19per pick48cpaid-45.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9ae5…910abacked Yes2c999.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2090%0 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecb1…5da3backed No45c957.34$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$525.0619645.4%89 W · 107 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf55e…0c66backed Yes2c923.76$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.88254%1 W · 24 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick1cpaid-72.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x81ef…39c1backed Yes65c832.67$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.9850%4 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7e1…b0f6backed No32c699.99$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4761030%3 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid-36.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x45b2…cbc1backed Yes15c666$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.92516%4 W · 21 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick11cpaid+52.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd42…8895backed Yes19c630$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.71323.1%3 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick14cpaid+54.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ab0…42b7backed Yes61c616.97$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.91250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c8d…2f80backed Yes2c607.95$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0230%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed No38c558$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.2559453.7%319 W · 275 L+24.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7485…d9f3backed No40c500$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3001100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb840…2089backed Yes61c450$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.530%0 W · 3 L-2.1wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xefc9…b337backed No29c430.53$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.139754.6%53 W · 44 L+9.1wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+13%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf797…0bf2backed No36c428.95$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.53560%3 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick30cpaid+71.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbb50…7bfcbacked No59c406.58$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.17439.2%29 W · 45 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-39%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x562b…dc09backed Yes62c405.3$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.122147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Yes60c399.95$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.9710143.6%44 W · 57 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x14f1…e73cbacked Yes65c385$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250825%2 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-58.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes63c381.28$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.485815.5%9 W · 49 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30aa…2bddbacked Yes63c350$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x41f9…84e6backed No40c340$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.584955.1%27 W · 22 L+5.0wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+10%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xefde…783dbacked Yes59c331.03$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.311957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x97f6…c7c3backed Yes62c324.56$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200825%2 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-59.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5668…eababacked Yes62c322.66$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001921.1%4 W · 15 L-3.7wins-0.20per pick41cpaid-61.5%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xd9c9…f6e0backed Yes62c321.99$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002347.8%11 W · 12 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+21%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x61a9…d092backed Yes65c320$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb835…2e51backed Yes63c301.88$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+49.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39cb…46e8backed No33c299.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.931553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1fb5…cabdbacked Yes67c297.63$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.141060%6 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+19.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xab90…8432backed No39c258.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.57366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick33cpaid+76.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed No40c250$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15121227.8%59 W · 153 L+10.6wins+0.05per pick23cpaid-24.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d1a…324ebacked Yes48c249.99$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick23cpaid-59.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe08e…1d61backed No40c247.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.273941%16 W · 23 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2804…05c7backed Yes62c242.1$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15050%0 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc09b…2cfbbacked Yes65c230.77$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-34.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x198b…0f3abacked Yes60c219.97$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.981030%3 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-36.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x55f6…644bbacked Yes61c200$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.21per pick37cpaid-73.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x35fa…2bd4backed Yes64c200$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.171010%1 W · 9 L-2.7wins-0.27per pick37cpaid-81.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x359f…fa80backed Yes15c200$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30650%3 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.42per pick8cpaid+425.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc671…d1d8backed No33c199.99$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.991241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-22.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed Yes40c191.36$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.5410346.6%48 W · 55 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x270e…2930backed No55c183.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.141526.7%4 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-32.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5e2…e599backed Yes18c175.58$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.62128.6%6 W · 15 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-35.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21c1…692cbacked Yes61c174.57$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Yes62c162.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006946.4%32 W · 37 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae2b…90eabacked Yes65c153.97$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-43.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa522…9bdcbacked No41c152$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.68450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick56cpaid+2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x472c…a000backed Yes63c150$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.33650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97f5…7217backed Yes73c149.88$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x722c…515fbacked Yes60c145.99$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.59728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-47.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf00…0c1abacked No36c144.84$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.15250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+37.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x076c…4e7bbacked No49c143.65$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.318047.5%38 W · 42 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc193…7666backed No37c143.2$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.22785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick65cpaid+34%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1e00…9e93backed Yes70c142.86$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002055%11 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe08d…d5d4backed Yes59c142.48$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.071050%5 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x179d…e18bbacked Yes61c131.15$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80825%2 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-56.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fa5…8f79backed Yes61c131.15$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802240.9%9 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick34cpaid+26.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2693…9a84backed No40c125.43$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.43728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-44%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3af2…5212backed No37c119$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.41361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes66c115.71$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.379947.5%47 W · 52 L-0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e80…f694backed No38c115.36$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.522100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+94.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc49…db74backed No42c114.21$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc77b…74debacked No45c111.97$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.971100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+123.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed No28c110.36$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.495679.9%56 W · 511 L-1.3wins0.00per pick10cpaid-39.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5dfa…9c89backed No44c108.95$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.471100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+129.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0ec…696bbacked No39c104.84$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.982100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+102%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8593…c931backed No39c102.85$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.85933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-32.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xad87…8ee8backed Yes65c101.97$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x39b6…e6e7backed Yes67c100$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$672748.1%13 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x389a…cf3dbacked Yes69c100$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6910%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x635d…5025backed Yes64c100$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$642650%13 W · 13 L+2.6wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+15.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1f5e…3871backed No36c100$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$641346.2%6 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6d1…21c7backed No27c100$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$731100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+270.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Yes59c100$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5924352.7%128 W · 115 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ae9…5b36backed Yes61c100$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick36cpaid-71.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6f19…b9ffbacked No33c99.99$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.994235.7%15 W · 27 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7fe…1e42backed No34c98.77$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.265479.6%43 W · 11 L+8.1wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+26%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked No41c97.56$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.56425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-39%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc135…6563backed No41c97.56$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.56757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6b7…d5f3backed No40c95.07$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.441741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-24.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9703…7620backed Yes66c92.42$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6110%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb1e…985ebacked Yes62c92.16$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.1410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e0b…7421backed No41c90.91$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.73825%2 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-44.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.