TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Us Midterms · resolved market

Will Andrew Cuomo win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,997,756
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,614,332

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,997,756 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,012 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe899…0899backed Yes77c30,522$23,413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,108.192250%11 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-16.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2615…c16dbacked Yes78c27,577$21,413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,163.37250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-35.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6622…d7a9backed Yes55c24,428$13,443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,985.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a56…adabbacked Yes72c21,449$15,466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,982.77650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-32.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ab6…fa77backed No8c16,625$1,323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,322.68611.6%1 W · 60 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick5cpaid-71%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3a6…fd55backed No25c16,291$4,029 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,029.465841.4%24 W · 34 L+6.1wins+0.11per pick31cpaid+20%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb747…b050backed Yes69c15,578$10,799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,779.273336.4%12 W · 21 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-43.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed No8c15,193$1,245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,245.42638.5%10 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-32.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2f6…5817backed Yes55c15,000$8,219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,781.085545.5%25 W · 30 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+20.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf501…8852backed Yes49c14,584$7,128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,455.82366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+14%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x28ca…5d19backed No8c14,202$1,067 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,067.1521161.1%129 W · 82 L+9.0wins+0.04per pick57cpaid-2.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaa56…f232backed Yes16c12,923$2,105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,817.86540%2 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.19per pick21cpaid+89%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x889e…09e0backed Yes53c12,369$6,526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,843.622944.8%13 W · 16 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+35.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x000d…758ebacked Yes57c11,815$6,782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,032.462152.4%11 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-24.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x30e4…5102backed Yes59c10,589$6,253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,335.734141.5%17 W · 24 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+7.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a1f…1a9fbacked No8c9,606$758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$757.52924.1%7 W · 22 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick19cpaid+54.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5037…38f4backed Yes54c9,310$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,310.47837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-39.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc99…e0a3backed Yes51c9,058$4,619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,438.321216.7%2 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.16per pick32cpaid-69.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5235…c04abacked Yes34c8,793$2,954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,838.883630.6%11 W · 25 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick29cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37a5…e5f0backed No7c8,532$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60020%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3413…5204backed No23c8,199$1,922 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,922.361118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick28cpaid-58.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed No14c8,171$1,112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,112.1134333.5%115 W · 228 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-30%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa82b…5220backed Yes75c7,466$5,597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,869.093740.5%15 W · 22 L+0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-20.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19de…442fbacked No7c7,092$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50040%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x355f…0df8backed Yes68c6,912$4,675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,237.11922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-68.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb014…b3fabacked No7c6,833$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466.4770%0 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8c6…44e8backed Yes78c5,325$4,169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,155.011637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-47.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x958d…3501backed Yes69c5,009$3,477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,532.111464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick59cpaid-6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x63b1…1676backed Yes48c5,000$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,600450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7fa…16cbbacked Yes65c4,997$3,248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,748.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed No29c4,830$1,393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,392.941729.4%5 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-19.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7853…36d8backed Yes50c4,743$2,391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,351.515540%22 W · 33 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+92.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x614d…1546backed Yes45c4,696$2,109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,586.551662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1fc9…ace5backed No10c4,429$463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463.37585.2%3 W · 55 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick7cpaid-35.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7bb2…682cbacked Yes52c4,397$2,291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,1061735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-42.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa43…cbdfbacked Yes69c4,332$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,331.74250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-27.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7804…7025backed No6c4,196$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.582420.8%5 W · 19 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-65.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ce5…7c13backed Yes56c4,072$2,267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,805.45933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-47.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa66c…cd67backed No51c3,913$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00050%0 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb608…ebdfbacked Yes21c3,893$825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,068.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.79per pick21cpaid+372%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x993c…6787backed No42c3,724$1,551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,550.975328.3%15 W · 38 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-32.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4483…c565backed Yes63c3,720$2,354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,366.411145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-34.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9def…d1a5backed No48c3,629$1,732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,732.372729.6%8 W · 19 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-44.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6f6…d257backed Yes56c3,571$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,571.432100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+59.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x83a2…9452backed No10c3,500$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.49922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-55.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9ee…cf2cbacked Yes74c3,498$2,575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923.012100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a61…af24backed No52c3,451$1,791 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,791.192119%4 W · 17 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-60.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a86…dea8backed No49c3,380$1,658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,658.248331.3%26 W · 57 L-4.9wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-35.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked No19c3,272$623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$622.9234129.3%100 W · 241 L-11.3wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-25.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3007…763abacked Yes63c3,168$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,168.32560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-14.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6b9…de6dbacked Yes48c3,159$1,515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,644.23125.8%8 W · 23 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-14.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd093…962bbacked Yes61c3,000$1,839 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,160.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No28c2,978$839 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$838.6433238.6%128 W · 204 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-30%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x37b4…d5e5backed No10c2,679$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.631526.7%4 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-48.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked No9c2,535$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.1670%0 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes43c2,392$1,037 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,354.62725.9%7 W · 20 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-42.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x342e…7e88backed Yes74c2,327$1,728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$599.85250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-32.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc624…ee24backed Yes51c2,315$1,175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,139.886355.6%35 W · 28 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe709…9d39backed Yes9c2,312$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,092.472634.6%9 W · 17 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick29cpaid+41.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b41…5dedbacked Yes13c2,188$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,905.01250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick17cpaid+286.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2aac…dfadbacked Yes76c2,176$1,653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522.951741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe3da…4b5ebacked Yes51c1,961$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960.78475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+16.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdeb6…8f5dbacked Yes17c1,860$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,535.67812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick19cpaid-28.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x38cb…2752backed Yes74c1,829$1,347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481.46450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-23.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe504…70efbacked Yes44c1,799$790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,008.76560%3 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.27per pick33cpaid+34.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x38c2…6ff6backed No6c1,770$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.69250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick10cpaid+233.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc59f…c364backed Yes52c1,750$907 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$843.1757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed Yes40c1,652$666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$986.7815445.5%70 W · 84 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a29…729ebacked No7c1,649$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.1930%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbae5…45e3backed No9c1,611$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.212450%12 W · 12 L+3.1wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+9.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked No6c1,610$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.31551.8%1 W · 54 L-0.1wins0.00per pick2cpaid-85.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdacb…af2bbacked Yes65c1,578$1,022 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$555.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+54.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c7f…be25backed Yes72c1,502$1,083 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.86475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16bd…e288backed No47c1,500$708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$708616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick22cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…34e1backed Yes62c1,440$897 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$543.01966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.25per pick41cpaid+46.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xbab9…9d74backed No9c1,425$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12250%0 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e35…1a6cbacked Yes58c1,249$723 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$526.1116544.2%73 W · 92 L+10.8wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+5.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6773…e551backed No6c1,248$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.8710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2651…3471backed Yes69c1,199$827 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2cc7…5536backed No14c1,171$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1643026.7%8 W · 22 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-36.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x38e5…95e7backed No14c1,158$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.321033.3%70 W · 140 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-20.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed No9c1,148$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.8449511.5%57 W · 438 L-17.6wins-0.04per pick15cpaid-27.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f78…57e3backed Yes68c1,143$773 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.14250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-26.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed7c…da06backed Yes67c1,132$756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.09862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed No20c1,099$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.2113317.3%23 W · 110 L-10.0wins-0.07per pick25cpaid-25.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x80da…4f6dbacked Yes13c1,098$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$950.192030%6 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Yes39c1,095$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$668.865129.4%15 W · 36 L0.0wins0.00per pick29cpaid-28.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb70e…1eeabacked No7c1,080$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7540%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0970…5ae4backed Yes9c1,050$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$954.142123.8%5 W · 16 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick20cpaid+19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8b7…ee3cbacked No65c1,024$661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661.187731.2%24 W · 53 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-47.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fc0…843dbacked Yes70c1,000$698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.011100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaef5…5ee2backed Yes52c1,000$523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$477.23450%2 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick20cpaid+76.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e25…d7a7backed Yes67c977.51$658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.523145.2%14 W · 17 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+5.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xac8c…415cbacked No6c960.91$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.91922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-60.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3106…d672backed Yes75c892.15$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.152842.9%12 W · 16 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-32.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4ea…9b59backed Yes57c883.07$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.071100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf737…9f0dbacked Yes77c858.92$665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5cf…9fc6backed No17c853.95$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.182825%7 W · 21 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-52%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8956…755fbacked Yes67c853.22$571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.621154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+49%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8ad…ff58backed Yes71c850$601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.553066.7%20 W · 10 L+3.5wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+29.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.