Us Midterms · resolved market
Will Eric Adams win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdab6eabf31fcde6a2daf55d074af0b0f56057073d67b76bd19201155e83d9ff3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $940,555
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $499,382
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $940,555 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x71e5…d10bbacked Yes | 1c | 140,449$2,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.76 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…5204backed Yes | 9c | 55,982$4,786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,786.18 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbab9…9d74backed Yes | 0c | 25,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa66c…cd67backed Yes | 30c | 24,104$7,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,342.85 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbe…05babacked Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed Yes | 10c | 20,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | +6.1wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +20%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb40d…c72dbacked Yes | 0c | 18,223$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c87…9bd4backed Yes | 26c | 17,197$4,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,483.29 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed Yes | 2c | 8,962$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.86 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Yes | 5c | 8,554$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.9 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1085…2d69backed Yes | 2c | 6,382$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.2 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 30cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 1c | 5,507$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.61 | 52 | 26.9%14 W · 38 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Yes | 17c | 5,492$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.83 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Yes | 25c | 5,474$1,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,366.03 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Yes | 17c | 5,205$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$884.83 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd602…0105backed Yes | 17c | 4,847$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$826.72 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed Yes | 6c | 4,346$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.17 | 83 | 31.3%26 W · 57 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…1245backed Yes | 17c | 4,320$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 0c | 4,198$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 132 | 0.8%1 W · 131 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80da…4f6dbacked Yes | 20c | 3,527$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.18 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed No | 47c | 3,069$1,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,640.3 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80a4…22ccbacked Yes | 42c | 2,653$1,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,127.59 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9e…db3dbacked Yes | 1c | 2,485$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.06 | 104 | 1%1 W · 103 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -88.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…6787backed Yes | 18c | 2,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 53 | 28.3%15 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 19c | 1,960$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.38 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +92.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50ff…e0b8backed Yes | 38c | 1,717$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b9…de6dbacked Yes | 43c | 1,579$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.15 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 1c | 1,255$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.28 | 61 | 1.6%1 W · 60 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 5cpaid | -71%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57ca…b707backed Yes | 1c | 1,237$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2034…8daebacked Yes | 4c | 1,200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.06 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Yes | 16c | 1,100$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f77…a9a9backed Yes | 8c | 986$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.37 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 2c | 928.52$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.69 | 58 | 5.2%3 W · 55 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Yes | 10c | 859.94$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.01 | 77 | 31.2%24 W · 53 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 18c | 852.99$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.54 | 343 | 33.5%115 W · 228 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e2a…07bfbacked Yes | 42c | 834.57$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 79c | 759.83$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.25 | 332 | 38.6%128 W · 204 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 9c | 757$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.4 | 495 | 11.5%57 W · 438 L | -17.6wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb6f…25f0backed Yes | 32c | 692.46$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.39 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe781…5e52backed Yes | 46c | 653.15$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -65%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc057…ce21backed Yes | 54c | 644.12$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5c…4302backed Yes | 49c | 567.04$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8107…4f39backed Yes | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a9…2948backed Yes | 15c | 550$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7b…ae8bbacked Yes | 18c | 548.42$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5235…c04abacked Yes | 46c | 516.43$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.14 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x614d…1546backed No | 66c | 502.86$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.94 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef72…3c45backed Yes | 16c | 500$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x461a…4030backed No | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc54…680fbacked Yes | 18c | 414$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.66 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7842…4d91backed Yes | 18c | 400$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 23c | 397.08$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.64 | 133 | 17.3%23 W · 110 L | -10.0wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 20c | 384.98$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 272 | 22.1%60 W · 212 L | -15.0wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc77b…a526backed Yes | 17c | 380.94$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.6 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed Yes | 3c | 370$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +62.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39f7…48c1backed Yes | 4c | 315$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc7c…0fdbbacked Yes | 53c | 288.31$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed Yes | 16c | 280$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.4 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6238…57c8backed Yes | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x064c…2de1backed No | 67c | 266.78$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.86 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1547…d066backed Yes | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x564f…7034backed Yes | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +87.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08ec…b5fcbacked No | 55c | 249.93$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.37 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1633…190cbacked Yes | 10c | 243$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x094e…f10bbacked No | 78c | 222$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.84 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 18c | 205$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.9 | 450 | 35.1%158 W · 292 L | -37.8wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 32c | 200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 180 | 26.1%47 W · 133 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3106…d672backed No | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11f3…d859backed Yes | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +1,201.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b6e…04abbacked Yes | 48c | 195.67$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2893…1534backed Yes | 51c | 194.42$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x912a…0f92backed Yes | 17c | 193.52$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.86 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -78.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd370…6adfbacked No | 52c | 191.4$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +94.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed Yes | 21c | 190.5$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 244 | 33.2%81 W · 163 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 11c | 188.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.15 | 166 | 32.5%54 W · 112 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f1e…50d8backed Yes | 50c | 182.28$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2219…346ebacked No | 55c | 174.16$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf88…bc20backed Yes | 16c | 170.94$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8999…c497backed No | 55c | 165.27$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb747…b050backed Yes | 12c | 164.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.79 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb482…7730backed Yes | 49c | 160.2$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9394…37dabacked Yes | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe89…b88cbacked Yes | 21c | 145.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb6…8f5dbacked Yes | 31c | 144.25$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.11 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5446…18f6backed Yes | 19c | 136$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.56 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa03…c6c4backed No | 49c | 120.11$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.99 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 65cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 34c | 109$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.71 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Yes | 24c | 109$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.14 | 87 | 18.4%16 W · 71 L | -8.5wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes | 22c | 107$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.04 | 196 | 31.1%61 W · 135 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39d0…4fe8backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3de…e227backed Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 74 | 25.7%19 W · 55 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x111b…bad9backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6518…f798backed Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30bc…021cbacked Yes | 39c | 93.36$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9d…a540backed No | 80c | 82$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ef…5e3ebacked Yes | 41c | 72.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d08…733dbacked Yes | 45c | 70.92$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.68 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5607…fd15backed Yes | 32c | 59.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa95f…2bdbbacked Yes | 19c | 57.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b54…5680backed Yes | 53c | 53.97$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Eric Adams win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?this page
- Will Adrienne Adams win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No won
- Will Andrew Cuomo win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes won
- Will Andrew Yang win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No won
- Will Brad Lander win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No won
- Will Curtis Sliwa win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No won
- Will Jim Walden win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No won
- Will Rudy Giuliani win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No won
- Will Scott Stringer win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No won
- Will Zellnor Myrie win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No won
- Will Zohran Mamdani win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.