Other European Leagues · resolved market
Spread: Trabzonspor (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x234630b4b84ced07f662580fb1d454e3b35191052fdda1890a8a90b92ee36d98
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Trabzonsporof Trabzonspor, Fatih Karagümrük SK
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,073
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,814
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,073 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1467…4372backed Trabzonspor | 41c | 8,556$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,056.22 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Trabzonspor | 33c | 1,972$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,324.81 | 648 | 42%272 W · 376 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Fatih Karagümrük SK | 59c | 1,522$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.84 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Trabzonspor | 43c | 1,500$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859.97 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Trabzonspor | 37c | 1,078$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.28 | 387 | 47.5%184 W · 203 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Fatih Karagümrük SK | 59c | 998.4$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.69 | 435 | 46.7%203 W · 232 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Trabzonspor | 36c | 592.78$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.5 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb672…456fbacked Trabzonspor | 41c | 538.37$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.53 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Fatih Karagümrük SK | 59c | 488.47$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.23 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Trabzonspor | 35c | 483.23$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.06 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Fatih Karagümrük SK | 61c | 372.24$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.53 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…2a5fbacked Fatih Karagümrük SK | 57c | 287.06$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.62 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a0…1f3dbacked Trabzonspor | 43c | 243.49$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.49 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Fatih Karagümrük SK | 59c | 190.41$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 89 | 28.1%25 W · 64 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Trabzonspor | 30c | 163.05$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.61 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Fatih Karagümrük SK | 59c | 163.01$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.18 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb052…7adabacked Trabzonspor | 43c | 127.91$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.91 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Trabzonspor | 43c | 127.91$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.91 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…1ecbbacked Trabzonspor | 40c | 120$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 187 | 49.7%93 W · 94 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Fatih Karagümrük SK | 18c | 98.58$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.58 | 583 | 20.1%117 W · 466 L | -37.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Trabzonspor | 44c | 90.91$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.91 | 373 | 41.6%155 W · 218 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1878…85e2backed Fatih Karagümrük SK | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Fatih Karagümrük SK | 56c | 73$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.88 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55e4…bf8abacked Trabzonspor | 35c | 59.31$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.55 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +62.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb53…c50bbacked Trabzonspor | 51c | 58.71$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.71 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Fatih Karagümrük SK | 77c | 51.31$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.68 | 283 | 49.1%139 W · 144 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Trabzonspor | 41c | 50.98$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.08 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb089…a271backed Trabzonspor | 37c | 50.62$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.89 | 99 | 43.4%43 W · 56 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bb…2753backed Trabzonspor | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Fatih Karagümrük SK | 59c | 43.96$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.9 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Fatih Karagümrük SK | 66c | 39$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.74 | 138 | 42.8%59 W · 79 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Fatih Karagümrük SK | 56c | 36.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.28 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed Trabzonspor | 42c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1248…8db1backed Trabzonspor | 40c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +7.1wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Trabzonspor | 45c | 26.91$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 57 | 77.2%44 W · 13 L | +9.4wins | +0.16per pick | 61cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xee75…f59abacked Fatih Karagümrük SK | 62c | 26.67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.53 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Fatih Karagümrük SK | 49c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 136 | 53.7%73 W · 63 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f88…293bbacked Fatih Karagümrük SK | 58c | 19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfabc…a31bbacked Fatih Karagümrük SK | 61c | 16.56$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x542d…63aebacked Fatih Karagümrük SK | 61c | 16.4$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x546e…ec0cbacked Fatih Karagümrük SK | 62c | 16.29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Trabzonspor (-1.5)this page
- Spread: Fatih Karagümrük SK (-1.5)Trabzonspor won
- Spread: Fatih Karagümrük SK (-2.5)Trabzonspor won
- Spread: Trabzonspor (-2.5)Fatih Karagümrük SK won
- Trabzonspor vs. Fatih Karagümrük SK: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Trabzonspor vs. Fatih Karagümrük SK: O/U 1.5Over won
- Trabzonspor vs. Fatih Karagümrük SK: O/U 2.5Over won
- Trabzonspor vs. Fatih Karagümrük SK: O/U 3.5Over won
- Trabzonspor vs. Fatih Karagümrük SK: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.