Other European Leagues · resolved market
Trabzonspor vs. Fatih Karagümrük SK: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x24bf65e64a71fe9fb66604d055fed4c72ba8e8f99bdef864ac819ca3e9fdeb9a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,135
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,989
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,135 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 42c | 3,358$1,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,406.18 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 29c | 2,392$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.84 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 59c | 2,315$1,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$949.03 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46cf…42eabacked Over | 57c | 1,802$1,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$767.41 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 43c | 1,435$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.85 | 435 | 46.7%203 W · 232 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 56c | 886.78$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.78 | 178 | 50.6%90 W · 88 L | -8.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Over | 57c | 877.19$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.19 | 115 | 48.7%56 W · 59 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 30c | 846.29$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.84 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Under | 41c | 400$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 145 | 42.8%62 W · 83 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd829…d60ebacked Over | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +35%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 55c | 309.09$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.09 | 371 | 49.6%184 W · 187 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a40…afaabacked Over | 55c | 299.99$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 58cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Under | 40c | 288$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.2 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 42c | 274.01$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.39 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…5a4abacked Under | 45c | 252.63$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.68 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 42c | 246.98$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.73 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 17c | 236.34$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.91 | 387 | 47.5%184 W · 203 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 60c | 235$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 478 | 42.9%205 W · 273 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fca…5f02backed Under | 19c | 200.23$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.43 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Over | 58c | 172$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.24 | 232 | 56.9%132 W · 100 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8942…1e76backed Over | 60c | 166.75$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.75 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 28c | 129.94$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.54 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 56c | 107.43$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.43 | 266 | 53.4%142 W · 124 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 58c | 103.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.45 | 316 | 61.7%195 W · 121 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 44c | 100.82$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.45 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Under | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 133 | 57.1%76 W · 57 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 513 | 56.3%289 W · 224 L | +23.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked Under | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 81 | 24.7%20 W · 61 L | -10.8wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 44c | 92.57$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.32 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 55c | 90$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 212 | 54.7%116 W · 96 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 373 | 41.6%155 W · 218 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Over | 59c | 67.8$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.8 | 318 | 60.4%192 W · 126 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa295…98bcbacked Over | 58c | 65.52$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.52 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Over | 60c | 55$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 258 | 59.7%154 W · 104 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0079…b852backed Over | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed Over | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -4.1wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Under | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c1…df2dbacked Under | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc96…e37cbacked Over | 59c | 44.2$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cae…db7fbacked Over | 60c | 43.33$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Over | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 215 | 40.5%87 W · 128 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcf…6c9bbacked Over | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff0…271bbacked Over | 58c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5558…f9c4backed Over | 55c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x167b…6075backed Over | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06fd…2a05backed Over | 58c | 20.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9db…dd44backed Over | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Trabzonspor vs. Fatih Karagümrük SK: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: Fatih Karagümrük SK (-1.5)Trabzonspor won
- Spread: Fatih Karagümrük SK (-2.5)Trabzonspor won
- Spread: Trabzonspor (-1.5)Trabzonspor won
- Spread: Trabzonspor (-2.5)Fatih Karagümrük SK won
- Trabzonspor vs. Fatih Karagümrük SK: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Trabzonspor vs. Fatih Karagümrük SK: O/U 1.5Over won
- Trabzonspor vs. Fatih Karagümrük SK: O/U 3.5Over won
- Trabzonspor vs. Fatih Karagümrük SK: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.