Other European Leagues · resolved market
Trabzonspor vs. Fatih Karagümrük SK: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x51f7bd628e3c79a79c1f0bcd3e3ea27d9155fa1596feaecf373884534b9b0c0e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,203
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,535
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,203 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde18…83bcbacked No | 54c | 9,214$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 46c | 7,116$3,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,856.74 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 51c | 1,834$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$898.4 | 435 | 46.7%203 W · 232 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Yes | 46c | 1,596$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.86 | 387 | 47.5%184 W · 203 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed No | 48c | 1,580$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.21 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Yes | 53c | 518.38$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.29 | 89 | 28.1%25 W · 64 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9385…2484backed No | 52c | 416.02$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 48c | 407.77$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.83 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7f…12d5backed Yes | 48c | 396.76$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.34 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 58c | 222.12$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.29 | 582 | 29.2%170 W · 412 L | -19.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7da4…f0a4backed No | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 56 | 16.1%9 W · 47 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 51c | 151.63$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.33 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 49c | 125.28$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.1 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 45c | 125$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.75 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 51c | 124.98$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.74 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Yes | 50c | 120.3$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.3 | 266 | 53.4%142 W · 124 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed Yes | 49c | 106.02$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.07 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3754…9c94backed No | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf39…0e83backed Yes | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe94a…0ff1backed No | 52c | 85.01$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +94.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Yes | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 373 | 41.6%155 W · 218 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 49c | 71.02$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.55 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Yes | 51c | 65$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.85 | 138 | 42.8%59 W · 79 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa0…be2dbacked No | 50c | 47.57$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.86 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d4…3691backed Yes | 54c | 45.94$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.94 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 67cpaid | -21%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb226…4469backed Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7700…2d07backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f53…d57bbacked No | 52c | 38.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.26 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d0…c927backed Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +3.7wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +28%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed Yes | 52c | 34.62$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.62 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 49c | 32.86$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.04 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e2…0dcdbacked No | 51c | 31.7$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe1…e700backed Yes | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1aa…16cfbacked Yes | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 26 | 80.8%21 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 69cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca53…195fbacked Yes | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1f…4eebbacked Yes | 48c | 29.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5558…f9c4backed No | 52c | 29.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.59 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65b3…7fc9backed Yes | 49c | 29.51$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.05 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf1…a57bbacked Yes | 53c | 28.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 47c | 28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed No | 53c | 24.95$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.22 | 241 | 46.9%113 W · 128 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3746…a99fbacked Yes | 47c | 24.95$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.22 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd70e…e0f4backed Yes | 49c | 23.94$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89e6…5501backed No | 52c | 23.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe84…54ddbacked No | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9279…ed18backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc3…1e73backed Yes | 52c | 19.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Trabzonspor vs. Fatih Karagümrük SK: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Spread: Fatih Karagümrük SK (-1.5)Trabzonspor won
- Spread: Fatih Karagümrük SK (-2.5)Trabzonspor won
- Spread: Trabzonspor (-1.5)Trabzonspor won
- Spread: Trabzonspor (-2.5)Fatih Karagümrük SK won
- Trabzonspor vs. Fatih Karagümrük SK: O/U 1.5Over won
- Trabzonspor vs. Fatih Karagümrük SK: O/U 2.5Over won
- Trabzonspor vs. Fatih Karagümrük SK: O/U 3.5Over won
- Trabzonspor vs. Fatih Karagümrük SK: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.