Other European Leagues · resolved market
Trabzonspor vs. Fatih Karagümrük SK: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0206e6875c97db72ec3e772282ec34d19a7647d8625f71cc4446c5a52536bf82
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,526
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,848
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,526 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 19c | 5,803$1,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,078.09 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc3…0b17backed Over | 75c | 2,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 82 | 57.3%47 W · 35 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 19c | 1,937$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.72 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 80c | 1,346$1,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.3 | 435 | 46.7%203 W · 232 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Under | 20c | 566.82$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.6 | 89 | 28.1%25 W · 64 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 22c | 563.1$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.23 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 80c | 494.43$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.89 | 220 | 54.1%119 W · 101 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 19c | 463.17$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.7 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Over | 80c | 400$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 145 | 42.8%62 W · 83 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf035…d35fbacked Over | 80c | 375$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 20c | 323.56$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.8 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 75c | 220$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 88 | 73.9%65 W · 23 L | +8.0wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 19c | 210.48$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 473 | 25.4%120 W · 353 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafce…c2f6backed Over | 80c | 200$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.89 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a3c…84c5backed Over | 80c | 174.53$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.78 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Under | 23c | 171.33$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.63 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 79c | 163.61$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.61 | 252 | 63.5%160 W · 92 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 21c | 142.8$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.39 | 341 | 58.9%201 W · 140 L | +25.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa21f…adddbacked Over | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75e1…1b07backed Over | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Over | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 139 | 59%82 W · 57 L | -9.8wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 21c | 125$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 77c | 97.4$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 23c | 82.65$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 387 | 47.5%184 W · 203 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 21c | 71.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.77 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…e91cbacked Over | 75c | 66.66$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.66 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 77c | 66.65$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 212 | 54.7%116 W · 96 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe937…d46abacked Over | 80c | 65$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 21c | 61$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.56 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9de5…e8f5backed Over | 80c | 50.23$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.05 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05f5…740bbacked Over | 80c | 32.85$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11ab…f911backed Over | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0316…2bfdbacked Over | 79c | 18.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf9…1646backed Over | 80c | 17.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.5 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38e9…736dbacked Over | 78c | 16.95$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.73 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9867…bc76backed Over | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 71cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Trabzonspor vs. Fatih Karagümrük SK: O/U 1.5this page
- Spread: Fatih Karagümrük SK (-1.5)Trabzonspor won
- Spread: Fatih Karagümrük SK (-2.5)Trabzonspor won
- Spread: Trabzonspor (-1.5)Trabzonspor won
- Spread: Trabzonspor (-2.5)Fatih Karagümrük SK won
- Trabzonspor vs. Fatih Karagümrük SK: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Trabzonspor vs. Fatih Karagümrük SK: O/U 2.5Over won
- Trabzonspor vs. Fatih Karagümrük SK: O/U 3.5Over won
- Trabzonspor vs. Fatih Karagümrük SK: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.