Other European Leagues · resolved market
Trabzonspor vs. Fatih Karagümrük SK: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x325ad3cf63cf654874d1887db4a949202370932b77eb6e3022fb98a235ac8ea3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,829
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,790
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,829 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 51c | 3,952$2,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,029.19 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 57c | 1,792$1,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$776.44 | 371 | 49.6%184 W · 187 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c67…a813backed Under | 77c | 1,234$951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950.53 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 77cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Over | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670 | 473 | 25.4%120 W · 353 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 18c | 449.06$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.76 | 387 | 47.5%184 W · 203 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 33c | 440.74$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.38 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6eb…bc82backed Under | 3c | 400.83$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.02 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1af3…fbe3backed Over | 35c | 275$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed Under | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 37c | 200$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 478 | 42.9%205 W · 273 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 24c | 196.73$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.24 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Under | 63c | 180$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.4 | 145 | 42.8%62 W · 83 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x906c…bc9bbacked Under | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Under | 18c | 133.64$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.05 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 33c | 125$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.75 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 27c | 111$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.03 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x816e…2663backed Under | 11c | 110$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 33c | 109.09$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.09 | 266 | 53.4%142 W · 124 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 39c | 67$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.87 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x371e…0f81backed Under | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 17c | 62.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 648 | 42%272 W · 376 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 40c | 54$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa87b…968bbacked Over | 34c | 47.5$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 146 | 28.1%41 W · 105 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe94a…0ff1backed Over | 33c | 44.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.94 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +94.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd69e…3393backed Over | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Over | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 318 | 60.4%192 W · 126 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbec3…22b6backed Over | 27c | 40.59$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.63 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7700…2d07backed Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 33c | 35.06$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.49 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Under | 77c | 23.24$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.89 | 283 | 49.1%139 W · 144 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0316…2bfdbacked Under | 69c | 21.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 63c | 21.61$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 65c | 18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Trabzonspor vs. Fatih Karagümrük SK: O/U 3.5this page
- Spread: Fatih Karagümrük SK (-1.5)Trabzonspor won
- Spread: Fatih Karagümrük SK (-2.5)Trabzonspor won
- Spread: Trabzonspor (-1.5)Trabzonspor won
- Spread: Trabzonspor (-2.5)Fatih Karagümrük SK won
- Trabzonspor vs. Fatih Karagümrük SK: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Trabzonspor vs. Fatih Karagümrük SK: O/U 1.5Over won
- Trabzonspor vs. Fatih Karagümrük SK: O/U 2.5Over won
- Trabzonspor vs. Fatih Karagümrük SK: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.