TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x07b6…6faa

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
62
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 53 out of 100; worst MLB at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST2653.8%14 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$22
Will Oscar Piastri finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+31.6%+$21.6
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$13.2
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$75
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 United States Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$29
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 United States Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$30
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$16.62
F1 Singapore GP: Piastri vs. Norrisbacked Piastri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.4
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$35.55
Will Red Bull have the highest constructor score at the 2025 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+79.9%+$12.79
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Italian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$19.69
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Italian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.13
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$8.98
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$17
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Piastri vs. Norris backed Piastri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$22
Verstappen vs. Norris backed Verstappen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$31
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 Canadian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$10.24
Hadjar vs. Tsunodabacked Tsunoda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT+132%+$27.31
Leclerc vs. Verstappenbacked Verstappen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$7.5
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 Spanish Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+37%+$22.19
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 Monaco Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will McLaren have the highest Constructor score at the 2025 Monaco Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$11.32
Tsunoda vs. Hadjarbacked Tsunoda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT1216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-59.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$156.94
NBA Finals: Thunder vs. Pacers backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
NBA Playoffs: Pacers vs. Knicks (To Advance)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$17.37
Pacers vs. Knicksbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2025, EDT+212.5%+$42.5
Will the Denver Nuggets win the Western Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.44
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.53
NBA Playoffs: Thunder vs. Nuggets (To Advance)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.4
NBA Playoffs: Celtics vs. Knicks (To Advance)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.6
Will Jayson Tatum return this series? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.3
Will the Warriors beat the Timberwolves 4-3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.5
Will Stephen Curry Return This Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$26
All 12 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST1145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Colts vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+156.4%+$17.21
Packers vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$94.2
Buccaneers vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$5.6
Steelers vs. Bengalsbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Chiefs vs. Jaguarsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$71.5
Spread: BAL (-7.5)backed DET · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$32.31
Lions vs. Ravensbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT+212.5%+$63.75
Chiefs vs. Giantsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$16.63
Buccaneers vs. Texansbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Jaguars vs. Bengalsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Seahawks vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.34
All 11 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+93.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-56.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$58.4
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$38.2
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+116.3%+$43.02
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.17
Blue Jays vs. Marinersbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$59.62
All 5 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.