NBA · resolved market
NBA Playoffs: Thunder vs. Nuggets (To Advance)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6e932dc3af3b016fcbf1fcdbe3c8b6f24fcedb4e6266bdda4fcd78289246b954
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thunderof Thunder, Nuggets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,991,647
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,936,582
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,991,647 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 287 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc5f4…bc4fbacked Nuggets | 12c | 679,414$82,751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82,750.89 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x245b…00c5backed Thunder | 71c | 179,621$128,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,571.52 | 140 | 52.1%73 W · 67 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Thunder | 77c | 141,278$108,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,728.56 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae36…8fb5backed Nuggets | 33c | 127,205$41,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,799.23 | 103 | 57.3%59 W · 44 L | +9.1wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93fc…34b6backed Nuggets | 20c | 89,456$17,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,814.98 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -5.2wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Nuggets | 11c | 57,000$6,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,270 | 109 | 26.6%29 W · 80 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6790…5e06backed Nuggets | 24c | 49,398$11,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,750.15 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Thunder | 79c | 47,280$37,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,937.5 | 135 | 60.7%82 W · 53 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Nuggets | 30c | 38,124$11,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,466.66 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Thunder | 75c | 30,589$22,948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,640.41 | 282 | 41.1%116 W · 166 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Nuggets | 24c | 30,014$7,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,203.42 | 464 | 26.1%121 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Nuggets | 14c | 25,000$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 191 | 49.7%95 W · 96 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe47c…3afabacked Nuggets | 16c | 21,786$3,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,400 | 233 | 42.9%100 W · 133 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03cb…4bf9backed Nuggets | 25c | 21,426$5,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,388.98 | 266 | 40.2%107 W · 159 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00a6…9343backed Nuggets | 12c | 20,600$2,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,448 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73cb…b0d0backed Thunder | 37c | 19,635$7,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,367.46 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Nuggets | 21c | 18,873$3,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,899.54 | 131 | 33.6%44 W · 87 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef5…8898backed Thunder | 66c | 12,622$8,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,291.47 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f8…b76fbacked Thunder | 79c | 12,253$9,716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,537.28 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +4.3wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +41%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Nuggets | 18c | 11,291$2,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,003.31 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9db3…0d97backed Nuggets | 27c | 11,111$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Nuggets | 19c | 10,370$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 475 | 42.3%201 W · 274 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc9…4534backed Nuggets | 24c | 10,157$2,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,396.27 | 81 | 67.9%55 W · 26 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef5c…ae33backed Nuggets | 12c | 10,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +104.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Thunder | 73c | 10,000$7,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,699.99 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Nuggets | 17c | 8,464$1,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,438.84 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Nuggets | 15c | 6,941$1,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,041.14 | 368 | 43.8%161 W · 207 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc82e…9460backed Nuggets | 21c | 6,735$1,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,429.27 | 170 | 44.1%75 W · 95 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8aa…ae12backed Nuggets | 15c | 6,254$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965.22 | 78 | 29.5%23 W · 55 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10fb…c66cbacked Nuggets | 20c | 5,443$1,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,082.86 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b42…ae6ebacked Thunder | 74c | 5,419$4,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,412.71 | 136 | 36.8%50 W · 86 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…d2e5backed Thunder | 79c | 5,000$3,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 67cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33c2…9818backed Nuggets | 27c | 5,000$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…d424backed Nuggets | 26c | 5,000$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc49e…3ce0backed Nuggets | 18c | 4,983$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.98 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd602…0105backed Nuggets | 26c | 4,615$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc458…52c7backed Nuggets | 26c | 4,271$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110.43 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.21per pick | 37cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6dd…c9efbacked Nuggets | 26c | 4,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0292…4211backed Nuggets | 9c | 3,696$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.64 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc06d…485bbacked Nuggets | 13c | 3,542$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50dc…ed37backed Thunder | 75c | 3,401$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850.14 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…a3c3backed Nuggets | 26c | 3,343$883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$883.05 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Nuggets | 19c | 3,283$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.2 | 1,113 | 41.6%463 W · 650 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…0772backed Thunder | 74c | 3,000$2,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.99 | 117 | 41.9%49 W · 68 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb71…8756backed Nuggets | 34c | 2,941$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb5f…0848backed Nuggets | 17c | 2,520$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.58 | 25 | 12%3 W · 22 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 24cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b29…8373backed Nuggets | 17c | 2,513$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.21 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad25…7678backed Thunder | 73c | 2,294$1,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.43 | 90 | 38.9%35 W · 55 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a50…7f3abacked Nuggets | 24c | 2,288$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.68 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 34cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Nuggets | 27c | 2,222$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 255 | 36.9%94 W · 161 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cce…6e85backed Nuggets | 14c | 2,200$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 220 | 39.1%86 W · 134 L | +14.0wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked Thunder | 69c | 2,196$1,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.02 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Thunder | 74c | 2,100$1,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f3…4bcebacked Nuggets | 28c | 2,051$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.3 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -35%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f7…00f9backed Nuggets | 25c | 2,036$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.98 | 40 | 22.5%9 W · 31 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d4…ad20backed Nuggets | 12c | 2,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Nuggets | 1c | 1,956$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.52 | 98 | 4.1%4 W · 94 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeadc…7db5backed Nuggets | 18c | 1,798$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.85 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +144.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Nuggets | 26c | 1,795$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.6 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26e9…4a51backed Nuggets | 28c | 1,786$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Nuggets | 5c | 1,696$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.21 | 1,132 | 17%192 W · 940 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Nuggets | 23c | 1,645$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.87 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51c7…17e4backed Nuggets | 12c | 1,624$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.93 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x295a…60bebacked Nuggets | 26c | 1,520$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Thunder | 70c | 1,517$1,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.43 | 222 | 43.7%97 W · 125 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c81…3b0cbacked Nuggets | 44c | 1,403$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.83 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed Nuggets | 27c | 1,400$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | 0%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd3…2a3cbacked Nuggets | 15c | 1,356$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.4 | 87 | 14.9%13 W · 74 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Nuggets | 17c | 1,296$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.5 | 377 | 34%128 W · 249 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…5295backed Nuggets | 28c | 1,268$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.16 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Nuggets | 14c | 1,260$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.37 | 333 | 48.9%163 W · 170 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Nuggets | 8c | 1,196$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.7 | 575 | 50.3%289 W · 286 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa02f…e4b1backed Nuggets | 32c | 1,192$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.82 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -70.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed Nuggets | 24c | 1,122$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.58 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaea6…674dbacked Nuggets | 18c | 1,108$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad1…5d7cbacked Nuggets | 27c | 1,085$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cbb…89abbacked Nuggets | 28c | 1,008$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.43 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Nuggets | 19c | 1,000$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 173 | 35.8%62 W · 111 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…59abbacked Nuggets | 21c | 1,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 180 | 44.4%80 W · 100 L | +15.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b5…a5cabacked Nuggets | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde97…e43ebacked Nuggets | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe468…926ebacked Thunder | 74c | 1,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab26…0c0cbacked Nuggets | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 306 | 19.9%61 W · 245 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Thunder | 78c | 1,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 88 | 40.9%36 W · 52 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d4a…2215backed Nuggets | 26c | 999.99$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 198 | 38.9%77 W · 121 L | -13.2wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Thunder | 74c | 999.98$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78a5…50b7backed Nuggets | 34c | 988.21$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.99 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…5353backed Nuggets | 31c | 986.56$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed Nuggets | 18c | 951.58$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.66 | 79 | 29.1%23 W · 56 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8af…325ebacked Nuggets | 26c | 865.38$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 88 | 23.9%21 W · 67 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c20…2256backed Nuggets | 18c | 833.33$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 61cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Nuggets | 21c | 814.9$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.7 | 447 | 40.7%182 W · 265 L | -27.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked Nuggets | 26c | 799.99$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 141 | 29.1%41 W · 100 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f04…033cbacked Nuggets | 26c | 785.18$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Nuggets | 26c | 769.23$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x771a…5dd9backed Thunder | 68c | 765.6$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed Thunder | 77c | 760$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.6 | 190 | 47.4%90 W · 100 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9340…cce9backed Nuggets | 27c | 701.19$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.32 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Nuggets | 29c | 700$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206 | 617 | 40.7%251 W · 366 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x348a…9dd0backed Nuggets | 27c | 700$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 42cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.