F1 · resolved market
Tsunoda vs. Hadjar
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x74a17f7a2e90d84593e96aa8b76bd8a1c5fffde81fa4c37dcc60669375c1f308
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hadjarof Tsunoda, Hadjar
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,390
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,570
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,390 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa2c9…2c23backed Hadjar | 76c | 407.22$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.79 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 72cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x805a…0635backed Hadjar | 50c | 137.38$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.01 | 159 | 32.7%52 W · 107 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11a1…7afebacked Tsunoda | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4f0…bb35backed Tsunoda | 15c | 91.97$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2702…0495backed Tsunoda | 60c | 66.45$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.87 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 61cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07be…8bf9backed Tsunoda | 55c | 59.98$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.99 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…e1fabacked Tsunoda | 60c | 41.92$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +96%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x616f…6012backed Hadjar | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked Tsunoda | 51c | 39.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.39 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19af…dd83backed Tsunoda | 60c | 33.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07b6…6faabacked Tsunoda | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed Tsunoda | 46c | 30.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.27 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b29…5a9abacked Hadjar | 52c | 28.03$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.4 | 118 | 60.2%71 W · 47 L | +9.9wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x22b0…6faebacked Tsunoda | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a67…af26backed Hadjar | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 76cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed65…b1b2backed Hadjar | 75c | 18.67$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.67 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x358a…d45fbacked Tsunoda | 59c | 17.79$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tsunoda vs. Hadjarthis page
- Alonso vs. StrollStroll won
- Hamilton vs. Leclerc Leclerc won
- Norris vs. PiastriNorris won
- Sainz vs. AlbonAlbon won
- Verstappen vs. RussellVerstappen won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.