F1 · resolved market
Hamilton vs. Leclerc
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x650ce7eb61c19111fa9672cd7973d14ce744d60b7904cc31c8cd2028a9f8eee8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Leclercof Hamilton, Leclerc
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,403
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,714
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,403 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5b1f…1e95backed Hamilton | 12c | 272.88$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.05 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x805a…0635backed Leclerc | 72c | 266.86$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.5 | 159 | 32.7%52 W · 107 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3147…7667backed Hamilton | 56c | 266.72$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 54 | 18.5%10 W · 44 L | -6.9wins | -0.13per pick | 31cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Leclerc | 68c | 244.98$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.42 | 213 | 37.6%80 W · 133 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4f…8de3backed Leclerc | 74c | 207.8$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.48 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2c…8284backed Hamilton | 32c | 200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.24per pick | 40cpaid | +66%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca51backed Hamilton | 31c | 149.98$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.49 | 80 | 27.5%22 W · 58 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked Leclerc | 75c | 133.53$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.04 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd9e…3723backed Leclerc | 69c | 115.94$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.94 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc774…b6e8backed Hamilton | 16c | 99.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 59 | 22%13 W · 46 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Leclerc | 66c | 60.88$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.7 | 208 | 43.3%90 W · 118 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…6c45backed Hamilton | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbba4…f8c6backed Hamilton | 28c | 49.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x827b…01cebacked Leclerc | 51c | 44.49$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.8 | 77 | 33.8%26 W · 51 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a7e…474ebacked Hamilton | 46c | 43.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffc5…3b2fbacked Leclerc | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hamilton vs. Leclerc this page
- Alonso vs. StrollStroll won
- Norris vs. PiastriNorris won
- Sainz vs. AlbonAlbon won
- Tsunoda vs. HadjarHadjar won
- Verstappen vs. RussellVerstappen won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.