F1 · resolved market
Leclerc vs. Verstappen
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7e64c5fac505b58fea45f468fe42736097b66f9038f16a4b2a9d6da9924b1987
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Verstappenof Leclerc, Verstappen
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,152
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,141
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,152 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 11 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x805a…0635backed Leclerc | 10c | 5,021$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.13 | 159 | 32.7%52 W · 107 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…89b5backed Leclerc | 15c | 590.64$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.02 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c8c…2e4bbacked Verstappen | 70c | 73$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.7 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -71.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b87…0eddbacked Leclerc | 30c | 68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…4bcabacked Leclerc | 37c | 54.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffc5…3b2fbacked Verstappen | 74c | 54.06$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc774…b6e8backed Leclerc | 27c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 59 | 22%13 W · 46 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Verstappen | 63c | 44.32$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 71 | 33.8%24 W · 47 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07b6…6faabacked Verstappen | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab9…5f7abacked Verstappen | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b29…5a9abacked Verstappen | 73c | 22.6$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.1 | 118 | 60.2%71 W · 47 L | +9.9wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Leclerc vs. Verstappenthis page
- Albon vs. SainzSainz won
- Alonso vs. Stroll Alonso won
- Hadjar vs. TsunodaTsunoda won
- Hamilton vs. LeclercLeclerc won
- Hamilton vs. RussellRussell won
- Leclerc vs. RussellRussell won
- Piastri vs. Norris Piastri won
- Verstappen vs. Norris Verstappen won
- Verstappen vs. PiastriVerstappen won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.