TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

F1 · resolved market

Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
F1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$248,239
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$252,365

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $248,239 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 190 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in F1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb747…b050backed Yes63c23,717$14,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,856.845733.3%19 W · 38 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xecb1…5da3backed No18c22,617$4,034 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,034.118939.3%35 W · 54 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-8.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked No20c11,358$2,258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,257.713345.5%15 W · 18 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick39cpaid-10.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc851…cd2abacked No0c11,000$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2430%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85b8…6b6abacked Yes62c9,698$6,049 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,649.311547%54 W · 61 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No11c7,276$829 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$828.968622.1%19 W · 67 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-60.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No15c6,254$946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$945.7612353.7%66 W · 57 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa815…a3c3backed Yes72c5,034$3,632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,401.761776.5%13 W · 4 L+2.9wins+0.17per pick59cpaid+40.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcd59…c3a5backed Yes77c4,878$3,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,138.083619.4%7 W · 29 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-43.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No24c4,523$1,094 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,094.4214356.6%81 W · 62 L+9.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed No31c4,335$1,346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,345.778330.1%25 W · 58 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-27.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No66c4,060$2,670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,669.676866.2%45 W · 23 L+10.7wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+26.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x76dc…17b4backed No22c3,494$759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$758.7512646.8%59 W · 67 L+10.3wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+35.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No66c3,228$2,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,130.2221337.6%80 W · 133 L+0.6wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fcb…0426backed Yes68c3,000$2,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-51%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d18…b702backed No34c2,919$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00030%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b60…76d5backed No55c2,870$1,592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,592.44134.1%14 W · 27 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-35.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Yes43c2,500$1,065 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,435.4912523.2%29 W · 96 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-30.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x827f…7f59backed Yes44c2,276$1,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,269.772425%6 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-15.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd34b…0004backed Yes45c2,150$977 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,172.8812246.7%57 W · 65 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-19.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed No33c2,050$676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$676.4913219.7%26 W · 106 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Yes48c2,000$958 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,041.385759.6%34 W · 23 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+7.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4c4b…3fd4backed Yes80c1,507$1,199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.9425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-68.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67a7…86cebacked No32c1,500$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4801931.6%6 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-20.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x22eb…ad17backed No11c1,491$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170137.7%1 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick22cpaid-81.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4b7a…4817backed No12c1,455$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.626845.6%31 W · 37 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8406…0176backed Yes71c1,413$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.891050%5 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+45%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0432…6621backed No31c1,262$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.92520%1 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick22cpaid+28%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x101c…4392backed No31c1,250$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.5714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick20cpaid-42.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1be…d6a2backed Yes80c1,200$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-21.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9c8…44fbbacked No67c1,189$796 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$796.377433.8%25 W · 49 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-34.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed No51c1,020$521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521.236633.3%22 W · 44 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Yes68c1,000$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3202055%11 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c9d…d327backed Yes67c1,000$672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+36.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked No8c950.1$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.8570%0 W · 57 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6dd6…f5f4backed Yes72c946.99$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.442360.9%14 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick61cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09c8…23d8backed Yes32c930$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$632.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+212.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7ad…d11dbacked Yes27c899.99$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6575137.3%19 W · 32 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+26.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x616f…6012backed Yes69c760$524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.934228.6%12 W · 30 L-3.6wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-35.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed No50c751.42$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.221811.1%2 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.15per pick27cpaid-83%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb663…bedfbacked No5c710$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.51711.8%2 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick21cpaid-25.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Yes59c695.62$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.749219.6%18 W · 74 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-32.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3503…b8babacked No31c650$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.5650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a45…cf97backed Yes48c619.07$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.515420.4%11 W · 43 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-36.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc6d…10fabacked No33c606.06$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001526.7%4 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-42.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x477f…6c45backed No15c600$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$906331.7%20 W · 43 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbc2…b496backed No37c600$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x651f…c190backed Yes68c592$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.44450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-29.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x612f…aa53backed Yes28c590$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.64047.5%19 W · 21 L+4.5wins+0.11per pick36cpaid-2.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9196…c311backed No23c575.69$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.54827.1%13 W · 35 L0.0wins0.00per pick27cpaid-20.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9445…07c3backed No26c570.55$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.4610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe07…d839backed Yes67c543.79$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.36835.3%24 W · 44 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd44e…67e2backed No23c541.68$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-52.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x825b…385abacked No68c520$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.610%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8688…5039backed Yes70c516.96$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.091040%4 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-27.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked No29c500$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14520843.3%90 W · 118 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+22.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ab0…d582backed No33c500$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.15per pick40cpaid+32.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb0a3…cc69backed No31c499.99$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-43.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xac53…6133backed Yes68c499.99$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+62.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c43…fb9bbacked No23c499.85$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.9111250%56 W · 56 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x53f9…e920backed Yes75c459.03$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.991758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x66d8…8611backed No68c450$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30610%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes67c441$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.311926.3%5 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-42.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e60…b440backed No31c412.77$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.8312419.4%24 W · 100 L+0.5wins0.00per pick19cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a61…e424backed No35c402.67$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14120%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0781…c4ffbacked No64c400$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.76827.9%19 W · 49 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick30cpaid+19.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x46a6…8c21backed No30c399.98$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.994242.9%18 W · 24 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e48…6fd3backed No46c368.43$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb78d…1d48backed Yes69c362.32$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.32580%4 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick70cpaid+14.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d51…f56cbacked No31c332.99$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.23633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-50%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9968…a104backed No45c300$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-59.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0065…02f3backed Yes28c300$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2161233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33c9…858bbacked Yes70c286.3$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.33432.4%11 W · 23 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick39cpaid+35.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1c20…9e4fbacked No12c281.99$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.95185.6%1 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick13cpaid-84.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9781…bc2abacked No36c278.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-30.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x28f0…ceabbacked No8c274.53$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.491010%1 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick9cpaid+26.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec63…85ddbacked No40c251.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x94a5…4eb8backed Yes69c243.59$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.64944.9%22 W · 27 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x904f…50c6backed Yes56c231.86$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.8615922%35 W · 124 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick20cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x420b…965bbacked Yes68c229.99$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f88…ca51backed No33c222.63$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.798027.5%22 W · 58 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-12%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x934f…5bd8backed No27c215.62$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.255763.2%36 W · 21 L+6.0wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+12.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfd50…c17bbacked Yes68c199.98$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.992445.8%11 W · 13 L+2.6wins+0.11per pick35cpaid+42%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd878…74efbacked Yes69c186.43$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.351844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-10.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd073…b757backed No33c182.41$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.43742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-33.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x01e9…3b95backed Yes28c178.57$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.572725.9%7 W · 20 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick23cpaid-21%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ac7…3a34backed No35c170.42$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.49366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+68.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b1e…e465backed No33c168.46$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.263571.4%25 W · 10 L+5.3wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+27.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9567…e505backed No30c160$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.430%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5825…4ffbbacked No24c157.07$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.946966.7%46 W · 23 L+8.9wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+20.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6810…2051backed No32c156.25$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07be…8bf9backed No33c150$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.51546.7%7 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick60cpaid-26.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaf9d…a540backed No69c147.99$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.021050%5 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-31.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2515…a008backed Yes75c146.48$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.482339.1%9 W · 14 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-38.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x67a3…7eecbacked Yes69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.93475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xacb2…e1fabacked Yes69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.932623.1%6 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick23cpaid+96%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba35…613ebacked Yes72c143.2$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a56…695bbacked No23c140.2$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.45650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-24.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7879…4345backed Yes69c136.07$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.181752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x312d…6814backed No25c129.34$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.539165.9%60 W · 31 L+10.1wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+13.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.