TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

F1 · resolved market

Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
F1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$201,899
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$147,945

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $201,899 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 206 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in F1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6512…5291backed Yes0c20,050$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick14cpaid-74%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6485…be05backed Yes33c18,712$6,165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,164.726225.8%16 W · 46 L0.0wins0.00per pick26cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecb1…5da3backed Yes17c18,135$3,062 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,061.938939.3%35 W · 54 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-8.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x85b8…6b6abacked Yes0c15,552$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.0311547%54 W · 61 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb747…b050backed Yes34c9,478$3,178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,178.285733.3%19 W · 38 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Yes18c9,066$1,660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,660.179219.6%18 W · 74 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-32.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No64c6,783$4,358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,424.022378.3%18 W · 5 L+4.9wins+0.21per pick57cpaid+39.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No75c6,121$4,592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,528.5114356.6%81 W · 62 L+9.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Yes31c5,209$1,596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,596.4812523.2%29 W · 96 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-30.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4fcb…0426backed Yes25c4,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-51%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f88…ca51backed Yes10c3,733$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.48027.5%22 W · 58 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-12%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No69c3,499$2,412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,087.0921337.6%80 W · 133 L+0.6wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No66c3,413$2,242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,170.96866.2%45 W · 23 L+10.7wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+26.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xe49b…edbfbacked Yes53c3,363$1,782 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,782.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc9c8…44fbbacked No71c3,080$2,191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$889.687433.8%25 W · 49 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-34.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Yes5c3,024$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.53345.5%15 W · 18 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick39cpaid-10.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x551b…dfd1backed Yes30c2,412$729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$729.04633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No69c1,905$1,311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$594.1712353.7%66 W · 57 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bbe…c65dbacked No32c1,834$578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,255.451546.7%7 W · 8 L+4.4wins+0.30per pick17cpaid+109.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x0a44…d80abacked No66c1,763$1,164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$599.231580%12 W · 3 L+4.0wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+54.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa7b3…246abacked Yes20c1,754$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.821723.5%4 W · 13 L-3.0wins-0.18per pick41cpaid-67.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf27c…b5d8backed Yes17c1,739$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.370%0 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Yes34c1,502$511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511.311811.1%2 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.15per pick27cpaid-83%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked No74c1,499$1,116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.815759.6%34 W · 23 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+7.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcd59…c3a5backed Yes24c1,402$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3403619.4%7 W · 29 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-43.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7ad…d11dbacked Yes34c1,400$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4725137.3%19 W · 32 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+26.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes20c1,331$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.138622.1%19 W · 67 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-60.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a6f…6b82backed Yes20c1,301$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.6660%0 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes42c1,261$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527.52321.7%5 W · 18 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick23cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bcc…f8b2backed Yes24c1,225$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004040%16 W · 24 L-0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-28.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes13c1,188$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.37570%0 W · 57 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x155c…1b09backed Yes30c1,161$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.62020%4 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-26.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd34b…0004backed No79c1,154$916 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.2412246.7%57 W · 65 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-19.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x904f…50c6backed Yes7c1,127$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.0515922%35 W · 124 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick20cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf9d…a540backed No78c1,060$832 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.791050%5 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-31.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x396d…756abacked Yes2c1,054$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed No80c1,000$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2008330.1%25 W · 58 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-27.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0a3…cc69backed Yes23c1,000$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-43.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5006…b409backed Yes2c999.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20520%1 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick6cpaid+25%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x76dc…17b4backed No72c937.96$677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.6212646.8%59 W · 67 L+10.3wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+35.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x101c…4392backed Yes25c895.94$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.04714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick20cpaid-42.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a49…15e6backed Yes25c832.59$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.67922.2%2 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick22cpaid-55.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a45…cf97backed Yes29c824.32$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.825420.4%11 W · 43 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-36.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe65f…a749backed Yes24c815.26$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.852924.1%7 W · 22 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-25.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8db4…2bcbbacked Yes13c814.01$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.130%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22eb…ad17backed Yes17c805.64$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135137.7%1 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick22cpaid-81.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x95d9…ab03backed Yes12c800$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$933713.5%5 W · 32 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick20cpaid-70.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x63bd…55c9backed Yes8c772.63$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.4683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.28per pick56cpaid+31.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x477f…6c45backed Yes22c700$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1526331.7%20 W · 43 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb663…bedfbacked Yes19c691.98$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.481711.8%2 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick21cpaid-25.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7879…4345backed No69c669.39$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.691752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ca9…9effbacked Yes18c655.65$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.77728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick24cpaid-25.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c27…5893backed Yes11c632.42$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7120%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x02de…44e6backed Yes34c603$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.0110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Yes24c568.56$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1354936.7%18 W · 31 L-4.7wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-27.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcbad…d056backed Yes19c566.81$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xacfb…8c5dbacked Yes23c511.73$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick23cpaid-74.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc51c…2177backed Yes36c500.41$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.0230%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100166.3%1 W · 15 L-4.9wins-0.31per pick37cpaid-90.5%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x25df…6fffbacked Yes20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked No80c500$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10020843.3%90 W · 118 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+22.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8688…5039backed Yes20c498.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001040%4 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-27.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0ec…7f1cbacked Yes36c467.37$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.221216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-60.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x754f…4e38backed Yes36c461.07$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.78742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-39.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x96ac…633bbacked Yes2c456$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0820%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53f9…e920backed Yes43c438.8$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.491758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa147…3fccbacked No69c433.49$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.49666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab3e…6939backed Yes24c431.83$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.261216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick18cpaid+24.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb46d…7093backed Yes34c428.69$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.132025%5 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-46.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2ee…c6f0backed Yes5c406.01$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201136.4%4 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick27cpaid+22.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x54a0…4134backed Yes12c404.98$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501816.7%3 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick15cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46a6…8c21backed No61c400$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1564242.9%18 W · 24 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5522…7590backed Yes39c390.03$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.1820%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd7c8…8b9dbacked Yes35c381.26$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1e5…a32fbacked Yes10c379.98$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.6520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-57.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f71…a368backed Yes40c374.7$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150633.3%2 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xacf7…63c7backed Yes20c355.26$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.16per pick30cpaid+97%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4b7a…4817backed Yes17c336.53$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.856845.6%31 W · 37 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ac1…718abacked Yes25c313$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.951442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-35.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9b2…447ebacked Yes25c299.99$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Yes36c291$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.676633.3%22 W · 44 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b6f…862fbacked Yes35c287.91$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick35cpaid-42.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1afb…e524backed Yes21c286.69$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-15.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x49f7…046bbacked Yes35c279.94$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.6820%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1a8…1b38backed Yes38c272.73$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.946136.1%22 W · 39 L+0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0e1…7c9fbacked No65c260.7$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.731478.6%11 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick68cpaid+14.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa5c6…858ebacked Yes43c259.33$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.2910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe07…d839backed Yes34c255.93$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.026835.3%24 W · 44 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b98…3959backed Yes20c251.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5090%0 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x13a1…b979backed No69c250$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fa5…8f79backed Yes21c239.23$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50837.5%3 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick25cpaid-23.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd175…bb3abacked Yes22c229.18$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick60cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e25…96d6backed Yes22c226.75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbbb1…e9f4backed Yes29c209.52$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b60…76d5backed No78c201$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.374134.1%14 W · 27 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-35.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa708…9abbbacked Yes34c200.88$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.3128.3%1 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick11cpaid+54.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x45a1…d31fbacked Yes33c200$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$662420.8%5 W · 19 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick19cpaid+38.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae5a…2b7cbacked Yes28c200$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c43…fb9bbacked No61c200$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7811250%56 W · 56 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ded…9025backed Yes7c200$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131833.3%6 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+41.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.