F1 · resolved market
Will George Russell win the 2025 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9b6767bafb2acbf2f42031b03b8fe0f07b2b87c2538ab50b8c6c9e4ba2fb957d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,863
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,119
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,863 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Yes | 11c | 8,227$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 22cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fca…f72ebacked Yes | 10c | 6,570$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.72 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 1,423$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.17 | 376 | 6.9%26 W · 350 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd34b…0004backed Yes | 4c | 1,269$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.06 | 122 | 46.7%57 W · 65 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba6…09eabacked Yes | 2c | 1,269$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -71.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b98…3959backed Yes | 2c | 1,003$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb46d…7093backed Yes | 7c | 710.5$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.45 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba71…290bbacked Yes | 9c | 586.8$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | +115.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01e9…3b95backed Yes | 9c | 555.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -21%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Yes | 4c | 552.37$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.8 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54a0…4134backed Yes | 4c | 526.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Yes | 9c | 519.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.38 | 92 | 19.6%18 W · 74 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc02e…ba56backed Yes | 8c | 497.73$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd229…fcd6backed Yes | 3c | 443.23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed Yes | 5c | 430.41$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.52 | 143 | 56.6%81 W · 62 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa708…9abbbacked Yes | 13c | 412.7$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x490f…17e5backed Yes | 7c | 408$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.01 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…6598backed Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d70…629cbacked Yes | 7c | 222.8$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa221…5b1fbacked Yes | 14c | 219.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 18cpaid | +28%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef60…d6c2backed Yes | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 19cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb1…e9f4backed Yes | 13c | 186.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10e9…2887backed Yes | 12c | 167.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa573…0149backed Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd243…2dcfbacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bef…9f67backed Yes | 11c | 114.89$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will George Russell win the 2025 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?this page
- Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the 2025 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?Yes won
- Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2025 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Liam Lawson win the 2025 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Yuki Tsunoda win the 2025 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.